Serie A · resolved market
Will SS Lazio vs. US Lecce end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xad1541ffcc52acb6791d4bd7c2e43404eb94eeac5ba4cc80ef24afbe6f1c14bf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,789
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,172
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,789 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 11c | 29,400$3,331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,331.04 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 13c | 1,356$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.86 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Yes | 29c | 1,034$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.86 | 57 | 26.3%15 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 67c | 1,029$694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.18 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 5c | 800$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.32 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +5.3wins | +0.16per pick | 31cpaid | +169.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9cef…d4debacked Yes | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 216 | 50.5%109 W · 107 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd461…1d6cbacked Yes | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes | 5c | 453$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.17 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | +7.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe92c…d27ebacked Yes | 30c | 403.45$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed Yes | 13c | 368.93$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.65 | 136 | 39.7%54 W · 82 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b7…37d5backed Yes | 8c | 316.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed Yes | 5c | 300$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.36 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5635…6953backed Yes | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Yes | 13c | 211.97$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.56 | 89 | 52.8%47 W · 42 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafe8…5f44backed Yes | 18c | 211.28$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3439…4f64backed Yes | 11c | 207.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.88 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 17c | 173.87$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.81 | 356 | 46.6%166 W · 190 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 115 | 46.1%53 W · 62 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed No | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 314 | 41.4%130 W · 184 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 26c | 99.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 196 | 52%102 W · 94 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x985c…e5d2backed Yes | 33c | 98.73$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb03e…3686backed Yes | 26c | 90$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…63fcbacked No | 72c | 48.19$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.49 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x979f…4e13backed Yes | 35c | 34.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3009…d675backed No | 71c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcec0…82ddbacked No | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked No | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +6.0wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 70c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 284 | 45.4%129 W · 155 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SS Lazio vs. US Lecce end in a draw?this page
- Will SS Lazio win on 2025-11-23?Yes won
- Will US Lecce win on 2025-11-23?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.