TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will SS Lazio win on 2025-11-23?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$181,656
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$180,490

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $181,656 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 138 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No18c51,953$9,441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,440.72,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes59c50,000$29,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,30010952.3%57 W · 52 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed No41c47,115$19,083 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,082.537938%30 W · 49 L-6.9wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-23.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xcf24…15ecbacked No9c13,133$1,228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,227.982828.6%8 W · 20 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick33cpaid+9.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No46c8,813$4,074 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,073.7496942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes51c5,427$2,768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,659.257656.6%43 W · 33 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7087…c61fbacked Yes55c4,000$2,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8004658.7%27 W · 19 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+21.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8fdc…2c26backed Yes52c1,923$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923.082100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+69.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed No43c1,868$802 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802.4419549.7%97 W · 98 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe071…f836backed Yes55c1,755$962 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$792.558659.3%51 W · 35 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb6b…7b61backed Yes57c1,400$798 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6021963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+10.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed No45c1,333$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6004040%16 W · 24 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed No44c1,125$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010650%53 W · 53 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x39b3…53b9backed Yes56c1,089$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.29475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+40.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf795…ea82backed Yes56c1,007$564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.31per pick44cpaid+36%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d3e…783bbacked Yes51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4901957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+12.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed No43c995$428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427.8524939.4%98 W · 151 L-12.9wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes76c965.62$735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.5435646.6%166 W · 190 L-0.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No18c915.22$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.6932843.6%143 W · 185 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf515…0805backed Yes57c877.19$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.191650%8 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-24.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Yes56c660.99$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.457631.6%24 W · 52 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed No35c617.98$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.854524.4%11 W · 34 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-45.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes52c600$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2883938.5%15 W · 24 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-4.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xee04…9612backed Yes52c600$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2881546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x034a…2640backed Yes53c567.34$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.341100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+89.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe92c…d27ebacked Yes56c535.71$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.71333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-40.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe78e…55f0backed No41c519.31$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.513537.1%13 W · 22 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick39cpaid+6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ebb…061abacked Yes56c508.93$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.9310259.8%61 W · 41 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed No11c500$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553447.1%16 W · 18 L+5.3wins+0.16per pick31cpaid+169.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0ba4…c08bbacked Yes55c500$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2255747.4%27 W · 30 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad89…f6e1backed No6c500$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.211844.4%8 W · 10 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick34cpaid-0.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x588d…099abacked Yes80c500$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1003551.4%18 W · 17 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed No45c499.99$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22512540%50 W · 75 L-0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb263…6275backed Yes52c480.77$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.773040%12 W · 18 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-29.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes58c469.36$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.6141943.9%184 W · 235 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No34c411.46$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.5759240.7%241 W · 351 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed Yes55c411$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.9522551.6%116 W · 109 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+12.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x336a…1915backed No42c402.38$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-49.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed No44c400$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1761030%3 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-50.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x35b9…1d44backed Yes55c400$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1802250%11 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9020…2cfcbacked Yes51c392.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.161546.7%7 W · 8 L+2.6wins+0.17per pick29cpaid+99.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x203e…a9b5backed Yes52c386.25$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.41250%6 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes58c386$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.1244753.5%239 W · 208 L+17.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd410…3a1bbacked Yes57c352.6$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.0912649.2%62 W · 64 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed No43c350$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.53636.1%13 W · 23 L-4.2wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-28.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes55c323$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.3513840.6%56 W · 82 L-8.2wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-10.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xad28…770cbacked Yes50c320$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1603043.3%13 W · 17 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick51cpaid+11.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6a5c…b3f2backed No19c291.42$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.798952.8%47 W · 42 L+6.0wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed No46c250$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11514254.2%77 W · 65 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed No5c248.03$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.0820033%66 W · 134 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-34.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1466…1d5abacked Yes61c220$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.8333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-45.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x237e…a5f0backed Yes52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.313357.6%19 W · 14 L+7.3wins+0.22per pick35cpaid+44.6%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xd29b…b518backed Yes55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.821546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4caf…6de9backed Yes56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.573141.9%13 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed No41c170$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.717651.7%91 W · 85 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+2.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No41c155.77$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.9538744.7%173 W · 214 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x24a9…caccbacked Yes56c150$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdea9…be41backed Yes52c134.62$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.621861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1401…0707backed No40c133.41$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.3660%0 W · 6 L-3.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x79df…1661backed Yes58c112.07$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.0712033.3%40 W · 80 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb03e…3686backed Yes57c101.01$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.43250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick42cpaid-12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x476b…30a0backed Yes56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe220…f862backed Yes59c100$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412171.4%15 W · 6 L+3.4wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+26.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x11f0…890dbacked Yes56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4411666.4%77 W · 39 L+14.6wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+27%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x66fe…e123backed No40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402152.4%11 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31ed…09dabacked Yes56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443458.8%20 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa52…85b7backed Yes56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$444100%4 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+70%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe6a5…9b72backed Yes54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$462100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+77.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x38dd…c20abacked No48c99.98$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.992748.1%13 W · 14 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+31.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Yes57c98.39$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.3131441.4%130 W · 184 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe9cd…9a4cbacked Yes56c98.21$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.217568%51 W · 24 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9734…bb94backed No42c97$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.7420%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x13f9…3ab4backed Yes55c90.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.913360.6%20 W · 13 L+4.6wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+31%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5634…2001backed Yes55c90.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.91742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-25.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x695a…d3d6backed Yes56c89.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.292334.8%8 W · 15 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-25.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x76d7…5adcbacked Yes59c86.19$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.34450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-22.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0bd4…49b7backed Yes59c84.75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.753655.6%20 W · 16 L+3.2wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+26.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdf06…a200backed Yes50c82$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+64.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d40…f95abacked Yes55c78.36$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.263151.6%16 W · 15 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+15.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xece7…9822backed Yes52c76.92$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.92757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+12.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes56c71.43$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.4326744.6%119 W · 148 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb56a…a485backed Yes66c71.31$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.31875%6 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+47.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4c6c…b6d7backed Yes56c70$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x92fb…18a3backed Yes56c62.5$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.5944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-23.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf64…92bdbacked Yes56c53.57$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.575745.6%26 W · 31 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6fc8…8198backed Yes57c52.85$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.854845.8%22 W · 26 L-5.3wins-0.11per pick57cpaid-22.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x882e…e757backed No41c50$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.5742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc5b…f102backed Yes56c50$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224065%26 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0cff…15d1backed Yes52c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244261.9%26 W · 16 L+6.2wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+35.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8aea…ec91backed Yes58c50$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213262.5%20 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7fb3…c770backed No42c49.38$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.743857.9%22 W · 16 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0257…22b2backed No41c48.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd743…59bdbacked No42c47.62$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202334.8%8 W · 15 L-3.6wins-0.16per pick51cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x3127…cbe8backed Yes56c46.43$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.43683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.19per pick64cpaid+31.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7989…02c9backed Yes55c45.45$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.45250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2544…626cbacked Yes55c45.45$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.451100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed No40c43.46$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.5220841.8%87 W · 121 L-10.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfab1…4e6cbacked Yes56c42.86$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.861258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d33…e208backed Yes51c41.18$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.18944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28d9…17bbbacked No42c39$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.3830%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.