TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xfab1…4e6c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
298
Categories scored
23
Categories below 50
15

Best Category: Middle East, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 57 out of 100; worst NHL at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT9055.6%50 W · 40 L-7.3wins-0.08per pick64cpaid-16%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 90 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.61
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$452Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$452.13
Bulls vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$317Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$316.73
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggetsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$299Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$298.99
Hornets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$430Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$430
Suns vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$720Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$719.61
Raptors vs. Celticsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$380Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$380
Cavaliers vs. Pacersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+49.3%+$6.4
Nuggets vs. Heatbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Warriors vs. Netsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+66.7%+$7.33
Raptors vs. Wizardsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$14
Celtics vs. Pacersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+33.3%+$5
Rockets vs. Pelicansbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$16
Pistons vs. Mavericksbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Lakers vs. Jazzbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+37%+$5.55
Warriors vs. Trail Blazersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$13
Lakers vs. Sunsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+88.7%+$11.53
Pelicans vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$14
Bucks vs. Netsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$14
Wizards vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$13
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$14
Knicks vs. Magicbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+51.5%+$7.21
Clippers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+29.9%+$4.18
Trail Blazers vs. Pelicansbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Spurs vs. Pelicansbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+26.6%+$5.32
Showing 25 of 90 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST4447.7%21 W · 23 L-4.9wins-0.11per pick59cpaid-20.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
NHL — the 44 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Avalanche vs. Hurricanesbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+72.4%+$9.83
Stars vs. Blackhawksbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Flyers vs. Blackhawksbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+85.2%+$9.37
Utah vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+42.9%+$4.71
Predators vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Stars vs. Red Wingsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Stars vs. Ducksbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+92.3%+$10.15
Jets vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+42.9%+$6
Avalanche vs. Krakenbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+38.9%+$7.78
Ducks vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$31
Avalanche vs. Rangersbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+61.3%+$7.35
Avalanche vs. Wildbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Canucks vs. Sharksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Flames vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Blues vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+75.4%+$10.56
Sharks vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+29.9%+$7.17
Predators vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$23
Rangers vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$23
Sabres vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+88.7%+$12.42
Panthers vs. Predatorsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+72.4%+$14.48
Blue Jackets vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+66.7%+$13.33
Flames vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$22
Bruins vs. Sharksbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$23
Avalanche vs. Blackhawksbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+44.9%+$9.88
Wild vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$18
Showing 25 of 44 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST1866.7%12 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
College Football — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Florida International vs. Sam Houston Bearkatsbacked Florida International · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+25%+$5
East Carolina vs. Florida Atlanticbacked East Carolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+42.9%+$8.57
Western Michigan vs. Eastern Michiganbacked Western Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+37%+$7.4
Washington vs. UCLAbacked Washington · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+25%+$5
Utah State vs. Fresno Statebacked Fresno State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Arizona State vs. Coloradobacked Arizona State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+38.9%+$7.78
California vs. Stanfordbacked California · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Tennessee vs. Florida Gatorsbacked Tennessee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+61.3%+$12.26
Illinois vs. Wisconsin Badgersbacked Illinois · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$20
New Mexico vs. Air Forcebacked New Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+66.7%+$13.33
East Carolina vs. UTSA Roadrunnersbacked East Carolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Jacksonville State vs. Florida Internationalbacked Jacksonville State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Georgia State vs. Troybacked Troy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+26.6%+$5.32
Tulane vs. Templebacked Tulane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+37%+$7.4
TCU vs. Houstonbacked Houston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Central Michigan vs. Kent State Golden Flashesbacked Central Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+31.6%+$7.89
Western Michigan vs. Northern Illinoisbacked Western Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+44.9%+$8.99
Marshall vs. Georgia Statebacked Marshall · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+37%+$4.81
All 18 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2025, EST1681.3%13 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick73cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Barcelona vs. Saski Baskoniabacked Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+26.6%+$6.65
Zalgiris Kaunas vs. Partizanbacked Zalgiris Kaunas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+38.9%+$9.72
Real Madrid vs. Paris Basketballbacked Real Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+25%+$7.5
Panathinaikos vs. Valenciabacked Panathinaikos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Zalgiris Kaunas vs. Maccabi Tel Avivbacked Zalgiris Kaunas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$31
Panathinaikos vs. Partizanbacked Panathinaikos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+26.6%+$7.97
Zalgiris Kaunas vs. Saski Baskoniabacked Zalgiris Kaunas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+33.3%+$10
Fenerbahce vs. Virtus Bolognabacked Fenerbahce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+28.7%+$5.74
Virtus Bologna vs. Maccabi Tel Avivbacked Virtus Bologna · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+58.7%+$14.68
Olympiacos B.C. vs. Paris Basketballbacked Olympiacos B.C. · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+25%+$8.75
Barcelona vs. Virtus Bolognabacked Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+33.3%+$8.33
Anadolu Efes vs. FC Bayern Munchenbacked Anadolu Efes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+44.9%+$11.23
Olympiacos B.C. vs. Zalgiris Kaunasbacked Olympiacos B.C. · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+35.1%+$5.27
Fenerbahce vs. Maccabi Tel Avivbacked Fenerbahce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+38.9%+$9.72
Anadolu Efes vs. Olimpia Milanobacked Anadolu Efes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Zalgiris Kaunas vs. Valenciabacked Zalgiris Kaunas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+58.7%+$14.68
All 16 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST1668.8%11 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick69cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Commanders vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$16
Eagles vs. Commandersbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+31.6%+$4.11
Broncos vs. Raidersbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+25%+$4.25
Titans vs. Brownsbacked Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Saints vs. Buccaneersbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Seahawks vs. Falconsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+35.1%+$4.57
Eagles vs. Cowboysbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Jaguars vs. Cardinalsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+78.6%+$15.71
Patriots vs. Bengalsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+28.2%+$5.08
Vikings vs. Packersbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+38.9%+$8.94
Steelers vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+75.4%+$13.58
Bills vs. Texansbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Cowboys vs. Raidersbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+56.3%+$11.25
49ers vs. Cardinalsbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+56.3%+$11.25
Texans vs. Titansbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+40.8%+$8.17
Packers vs. Giantsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+31.6%+$6.32
All 16 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT1546.7%7 W · 8 L+2.5wins+0.17per pick30cpaid+22.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Middle East — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$156.6
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$77
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$144
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$302Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$302
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.2
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.8
Houthi strike on Israel by March 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$58
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.7
Houthi strike on Israel by March 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
US forces enter Iran by March 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.14
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+61.3%+$76
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+488.2%+$157.7
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+63.9%+$11.7
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+92.3%+$9.6
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+63.9%+$7.8
All 15 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST1580%12 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.16per pick64cpaid+25.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+49.3%+$6.4
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+92.3%+$11.08
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+38.9%+$5.83
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+26.6%+$3.99
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+58.7%+$6.46
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+75.4%+$8.3
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+72.4%+$9.41
Will Manchester United win on 2025-12-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+69.5%+$12.51
Will Liverpool win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+63.9%+$12.79
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+53.8%+$16.15
Will Arsenal win on 2025-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+47.1%+$10.82
Will Chelsea win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+38.9%+$11.67
All 15 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1573.3%11 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick69cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+100%+$150
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$114.28
Will Korea Republic win on 2025-11-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+53.8%+$10.77
Will Poland win on 2025-11-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+31.6%+$6.32
Will Northern Ireland win on 2025-11-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+72.4%+$14.48
Will Croatia win on 2025-11-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+44.9%+$8.99
Will Germany win on 2025-11-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+26.6%+$10.63
Will England win on 2025-11-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+38.9%+$7.78
Will Serbia win on 2025-11-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+25%+$5
Will Switzerland win on 2025-11-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+61.3%+$12.26
Will Spain win on 2025-11-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+25%+$5
Will Finland win on 2025-11-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$15.2
Will England win on 2025-11-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+28.2%+$5.64
Will Russia win on 2025-11-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Tunisia win on 2025-11-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 15 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 7, 2026, EST1258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will AC Milan win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+38.9%+$7.78
Will Udinese Calcio win on 2025-12-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+31.6%+$9.47
Will SS Lazio win on 2025-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+78.6%+$18.86
Will AS Roma win on 2025-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+66.7%+$15.33
Will SSC Napoli win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+143.9%+$28.78
Will Inter win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+37%+$7.4
Will AS Roma win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+53.8%+$10.77
Will AC Milan win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$27
Will Juventus win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Como win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 12 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 13, 2025, EST1040%4 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.24per pick64cpaid-38.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Groningen win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+42.9%+$4.71
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+42.9%+$6
Will Brøndby IF win on 2025-12-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Will AZ win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$13
Will PSV win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+78.6%+$13.36
Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+52.2%+$13.99
Will FC Groningen win on 2025-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$16
Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2025-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$17
Will AZ win on 2025-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 10 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick31cpaid-32.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$34.5
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$194
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$152.5
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$52
Will Andrew Tate post 0-99 posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$140.81
Will Andrew Tate post 100-129 posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$188
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$51.5
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+376.2%+$39.5
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 19 to February 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+28.2%+$11
All 9 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.18per pick63cpaid-32.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Santos FC win on 2025-11-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+33.3%+$6.67
Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$16
Will CR Flamengo win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Mirassol FC win on 2025-11-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+69.5%+$13.9
Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2025-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+78.6%+$14.93
Will EC Bahia win on 2025-11-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$28
Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2025-11-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2025-11-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$35
Will Botafogo FR win on 2025-11-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+26.6%+$10.63
All 9 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Nov 26, 2025, EST862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick63cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 13, 2025, EST650%3 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-28.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+22.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+33.3%+$3.67
Will Al Taawoun Saudi Club win on 2025-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$11
All 2 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Nov 8, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+49.3%+$9.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 322: Makhachev vs. Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Makhachev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+35.1%+$5.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be 20 or more inches of snow in NYC this weekend?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+31.6%+$4.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Saint Louis Billikens vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Saint Louis Billikens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$229.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Taylor Fritz vs Alex de Minaurbacked Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.