Euroleague · resolved market
Real Madrid vs. Paris Basketball
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2af74d9c3626dafb4111a72efc6139db059d12917aeabe89710337e31c23bb2e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Real Madridof Real Madrid, Paris Basketball
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,305
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,901
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,305 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Paris Basketball | 22c | 1,620$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.57 | 148 | 47.3%70 W · 78 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1909…a2c9backed Real Madrid | 48c | 1,439$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.65 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Paris Basketball | 19c | 1,200$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.77 | 222 | 31.5%70 W · 152 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Paris Basketball | 44c | 1,147$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Real Madrid | 79c | 1,089$858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.21 | 275 | 57.5%158 W · 117 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Paris Basketball | 26c | 1,043$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.76 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa99f…9c1ebacked Paris Basketball | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Real Madrid | 65c | 966.07$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.85 | 145 | 42.1%61 W · 84 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Paris Basketball | 34c | 839$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.93 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Real Madrid | 61c | 769.76$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.84 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5204…1ca0backed Real Madrid | 54c | 700$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Paris Basketball | 40c | 621.07$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.69 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…1b66backed Paris Basketball | 21c | 466.96$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.06 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Paris Basketball | 21c | 466.5$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.12 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Paris Basketball | 48c | 285.06$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.87 | 369 | 39.8%147 W · 222 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd65…3e60backed Real Madrid | 68c | 190$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.28 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x511a…9745backed Real Madrid | 62c | 190$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.2 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | -4.4wins | -0.13per pick | 73cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Real Madrid | 69c | 181.03$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.96 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Paris Basketball | 41c | 177$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.84 | 316 | 51.6%163 W · 153 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45e1…c872backed Real Madrid | 79c | 176$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e94…9467backed Real Madrid | 76c | 165.68$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.95 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 69cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed Real Madrid | 60c | 162.87$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.43 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked Real Madrid | 65c | 151.56$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.99 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe239…14eabacked Real Madrid | 68c | 146.67$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.47 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…4ffbbacked Real Madrid | 57c | 124.54$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.51 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -8.6wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Paris Basketball | 37c | 121$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.49 | 124 | 54%67 W · 57 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Paris Basketball | 21c | 108$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb32…b21ebacked Real Madrid | 62c | 105.28$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.09 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf795…e90bbacked Paris Basketball | 23c | 101.39$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Paris Basketball | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 33cpaid | +91.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x65be…1c83backed Paris Basketball | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Paris Basketball | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +7.2wins | +0.18per pick | 26cpaid | +69%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a3…ad9ebacked Real Madrid | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Real Madrid | 79c | 87.99$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.48 | 435 | 43.7%190 W · 245 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Paris Basketball | 40c | 80$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.32 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Real Madrid | 53c | 77.72$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.72 | 120 | 41.7%50 W · 70 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x934f…5bd8backed Real Madrid | 66c | 73.53$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Paris Basketball | 21c | 68.69$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.24 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7163…3601backed Real Madrid | 64c | 64.3$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | +7.6wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb82d…5d1ebacked Paris Basketball | 20c | 62$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8679…4420backed Paris Basketball | 34c | 56.01$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b74…b58fbacked Real Madrid | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f91…20ccbacked Paris Basketball | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 60cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b1e…e465backed Real Madrid | 77c | 49$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.27 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e8…a236backed Real Madrid | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 22 | 81.8%18 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 72cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfab1…4e6cbacked Real Madrid | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 73cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb928…fa64backed Real Madrid | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 70cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa741…bd1fbacked Real Madrid | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 72cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd263…54a7backed Real Madrid | 76c | 33.13$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.87 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…e834backed Real Madrid | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf693…584dbacked Real Madrid | 75c | 26.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 70cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda03…7f8cbacked Real Madrid | 80c | 26$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92bf…0297backed Real Madrid | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 72cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Real Madrid | 80c | 23.75$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.85 | 314 | 46.2%145 W · 169 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Real Madrid | 80c | 22.5$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdaf…7556backed Real Madrid | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11ff…39a4backed Real Madrid | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…ca38backed Real Madrid | 80c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 77cpaid | +31%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x674a…ad6cbacked Real Madrid | 79c | 15.29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.