Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will AZ win on 2025-12-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbbbdac2f7583a4e12f3f8e026d5bc388fd9f6cb6ae27a78b13a329bd4213528a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $96,547
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $94,162
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $96,547 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 41c | 56,780$23,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,406.81 | 362 | 43.1%156 W · 206 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked No | 30c | 25,578$7,674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,904.86 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 78c | 22,661$17,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,993.65 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 26c | 3,484$898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$898.17 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb17e…22bebacked Yes | 2c | 3,362$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.9 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 51c | 2,765$1,419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,345.93 | 293 | 57.3%168 W · 125 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes | 53c | 1,877$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked No | 27c | 1,074$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$784.1 | 473 | 25.4%120 W · 353 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd371…4478backed No | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 73c | 919$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670.87 | 396 | 37.1%147 W · 249 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed Yes | 67c | 806.42$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.24 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 67c | 759.6$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.55 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 49c | 595.72$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.71 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 30c | 533.6$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.17 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb693…cfc9backed Yes | 74c | 458.19$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.06 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.5wins | -0.27per pick | 50cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Yes | 23c | 457.9$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.84 | 192 | 41.7%80 W · 112 L | -12.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 56c | 388.88$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.6 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 68c | 319.93$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.22 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb89…46f1backed No | 80c | 303.58$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.23 | 64 | 65.6%42 W · 22 L | +7.9wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Yes | 52c | 286.38$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.92 | 87 | 33.3%29 W · 58 L | -8.1wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 24c | 276.89$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.76 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a51…4cc0backed Yes | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed No | 51c | 194.81$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.81 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -5.3wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9d11…c34dbacked No | 28c | 163.33$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.23 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x426a…128bbacked No | 23c | 151.32$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.11 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 50c | 140$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.44 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfde8…c52fbacked Yes | 40c | 137.23$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b1…815bbacked Yes | 49c | 130$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed No | 29c | 101$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.22 | 495 | 28.7%142 W · 353 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9776…fc56backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 32c | 99.6$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.08 | 490 | 46.9%230 W · 260 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf08b…9a7dbacked No | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbd…1bf5backed Yes | 55c | 90.9$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…97a7backed No | 30c | 64.01$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.81 | 77 | 39%30 W · 47 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcad…0a68backed No | 23c | 58.12$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.76 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa89e…4ab4backed Yes | 70c | 55$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 63c | 48.64$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.8 | 598 | 55.5%332 W · 266 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0501…61ecbacked Yes | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Yes | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 220 | 54.1%119 W · 101 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 68c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 54c | 38.89$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 328 | 35.4%116 W · 212 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a9c…5480backed No | 29c | 37.86$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.88 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd502…4d4cbacked Yes | 71c | 37.86$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.88 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc13f…ca64backed Yes | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d00…a6f3backed Yes | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x65ff…58dbbacked Yes | 69c | 29.84$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.59 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 65cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc8…8198backed Yes | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Yes | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 206 | 47.6%98 W · 108 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Yes | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 320 | 51.9%166 W · 154 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb928…fa64backed Yes | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadd2…350cbacked Yes | 67c | 25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffac…d469backed Yes | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a49…a53bbacked Yes | 73c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70b0…b71fbacked Yes | 67c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.4wins | -0.26per pick | 49cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfab1…4e6cbacked Yes | 73c | 17.81$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce2e…c77bbacked Yes | 71c | 16.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 64cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2664…53f8backed Yes | 70c | 15.71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will AZ win on 2025-12-07?this page
- Will AZ vs. Go Ahead Eagles end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Go Ahead Eagles win on 2025-12-07?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.