NFL · resolved market
Steelers vs. Bears
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x57a745edc831f0f7df9321ca4d11f680d66d6c1d370821ef1cb2cc74211b4ae6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bearsof Steelers, Bears
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,277,545
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,290,012
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,277,545 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 610 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9158…fa7bbacked Bears | 58c | 190,000$109,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80,299.95 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed Steelers | 42c | 80,551$33,865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,864.69 | 144 | 43.8%63 W · 81 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Steelers | 43c | 59,998$25,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,799.33 | 312 | 40.7%127 W · 185 L | -22.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Steelers | 43c | 58,936$25,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,342.63 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Bears | 57c | 51,859$29,748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,110.48 | 138 | 43.5%60 W · 78 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Steelers | 42c | 50,000$21,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,000 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Bears | 57c | 37,322$21,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,049.69 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Steelers | 40c | 31,383$12,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,667.3 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Bears | 58c | 30,907$17,926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,980.76 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96e1…50aabacked Steelers | 36c | 29,840$10,706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,706.48 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Bears | 57c | 25,441$14,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,939.47 | 473 | 48.4%229 W · 244 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Steelers | 44c | 25,000$11,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,000 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Steelers | 43c | 25,000$10,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,750 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Steelers | 43c | 21,673$9,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,319.46 | 169 | 55%93 W · 76 L | +15.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ab…f2c3backed Bears | 58c | 20,034$11,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,414.23 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Steelers | 59c | 18,919$11,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,222.4 | 300 | 43.7%131 W · 169 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Steelers | 42c | 15,000$6,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,335 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Bears | 60c | 14,071$8,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,683.02 | 212 | 54.2%115 W · 97 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Steelers | 42c | 13,924$5,848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,848.28 | 532 | 53%282 W · 250 L | +19.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Steelers | 60c | 13,740$8,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,287.44 | 207 | 55.1%114 W · 93 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Steelers | 41c | 13,153$5,393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,392.75 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19fd…5838backed Steelers | 42c | 12,150$5,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,130.86 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Bears | 65c | 11,764$7,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,071.75 | 684 | 46.1%315 W · 369 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Steelers | 43c | 11,628$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf4…8860backed Steelers | 40c | 11,609$4,692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,692 | 76 | 26.3%20 W · 56 L | -7.5wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Bears | 56c | 10,564$5,916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,647.97 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2b…8e50backed Steelers | 17c | 10,110$1,714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,714.17 | 100 | 26%26 W · 74 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Bears | 57c | 10,000$5,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,300 | 143 | 49%70 W · 73 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Bears | 56c | 10,000$5,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,400 | 358 | 48.6%174 W · 184 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d9…717bbacked Steelers | 42c | 10,000$4,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,200 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2f…eca9backed Steelers | 41c | 10,000$4,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,099.96 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Bears | 56c | 10,000$5,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,399.94 | 136 | 54.4%74 W · 62 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Steelers | 43c | 9,081$3,897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,896.95 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e4…9241backed Steelers | 44c | 8,523$3,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,750 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -28%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Bears | 50c | 7,683$3,842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,841.17 | 257 | 44.4%114 W · 143 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Bears | 55c | 6,913$3,805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,108.28 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Bears | 56c | 6,810$3,814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,996.4 | 129 | 44.2%57 W · 72 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Steelers | 14c | 6,486$939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$938.57 | 200 | 26%52 W · 148 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Bears | 56c | 5,943$3,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,597.32 | 273 | 48.7%133 W · 140 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Steelers | 42c | 5,870$2,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,465.45 | 544 | 51.7%281 W · 263 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Steelers | 43c | 5,615$2,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,432.44 | 362 | 46.7%169 W · 193 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Bears | 55c | 5,045$2,759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,286.55 | 318 | 54.7%174 W · 144 L | +16.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Steelers | 60c | 5,005$3,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,002.56 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52e8…c4cdbacked Steelers | 43c | 5,000$2,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,149.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a44…d80abacked Steelers | 42c | 4,914$2,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,064 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Steelers | 42c | 4,860$2,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,041.17 | 373 | 50.9%190 W · 183 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc17f…50aabacked Bears | 58c | 4,800$2,784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,016 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b88…5d08backed Steelers | 44c | 4,545$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +9.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Steelers | 43c | 4,500$1,935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,934.99 | 265 | 47.2%125 W · 140 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Bears | 54c | 4,181$2,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,930.41 | 116 | 43.1%50 W · 66 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Bears | 60c | 4,081$2,457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,624.38 | 758 | 52.5%398 W · 360 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Steelers | 42c | 4,000$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,680 | 513 | 52.2%268 W · 245 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Bears | 67c | 3,674$2,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,204.16 | 310 | 56.8%176 W · 134 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Steelers | 1c | 3,555$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.55 | 431 | 1.6%7 W · 424 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -82.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff5…f136backed Bears | 73c | 3,507$2,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$964.17 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Steelers | 36c | 3,466$1,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,252.96 | 736 | 51.2%377 W · 359 L | +25.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…4229backed Steelers | 44c | 3,409$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -26%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Bears | 36c | 3,320$1,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,130.22 | 232 | 44.4%103 W · 129 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd041…7b26backed Bears | 39c | 3,013$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,852.9 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Steelers | 43c | 3,000$1,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,282.96 | 206 | 46.1%95 W · 111 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbec7…5977backed Bears | 60c | 3,000$1,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,190 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4762…ba70backed Steelers | 60c | 2,973$1,778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,778.3 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Steelers | 43c | 2,674$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Bears | 57c | 2,638$1,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,134.46 | 115 | 44.3%51 W · 64 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe3…f118backed Bears | 39c | 2,570$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,569.92 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80f0…1ebebacked Bears | 59c | 2,540$1,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,041.25 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Steelers | 38c | 2,537$954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$954 | 85 | 32.9%28 W · 57 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Bears | 60c | 2,512$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,012.37 | 122 | 49.2%60 W · 62 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8198…e96ebacked Bears | 58c | 2,500$1,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Steelers | 45c | 2,370$1,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,066.5 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e0…8913backed Bears | 57c | 2,325$1,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.56 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…8c4cbacked Steelers | 44c | 2,275$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.85 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa313…e124backed Steelers | 44c | 2,273$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 166 | 48.2%80 W · 86 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06e3…cda8backed Steelers | 66c | 2,215$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,469.9 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec0…f7aabacked Steelers | 45c | 2,109$943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$943 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +29%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Bears | 58c | 2,091$1,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$878.08 | 141 | 54.6%77 W · 64 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…a99ebacked Steelers | 42c | 2,002$831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830.83 | 392 | 42.6%167 W · 225 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9146…5f30backed Bears | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -4.9wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x98a3…d61ebacked Bears | 49c | 2,000$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,030 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29bf…25b0backed Bears | 62c | 2,000$1,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.26 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68db…e12bbacked Bears | 48c | 2,000$968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,032.15 | 134 | 35.8%48 W · 86 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb9…3defbacked Steelers | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +33%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e84…1ab4backed Bears | 50c | 1,987$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.45 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc57b…0a2bbacked Steelers | 42c | 1,921$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b9…7874backed Steelers | 44c | 1,818$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27e3…bbd0backed Bears | 57c | 1,818$1,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$781.74 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd56b…903dbacked Bears | 56c | 1,785$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.4 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.49per pick | 52cpaid | +102.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…8e5abacked Steelers | 44c | 1,785$785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$785.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Bears | 72c | 1,784$1,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.12 | 192 | 35.4%68 W · 124 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -35%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Bears | 57c | 1,754$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.39 | 106 | 48.1%51 W · 55 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fba…1404backed Bears | 57c | 1,754$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.39 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcca…c460backed Steelers | 42c | 1,717$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721.2 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b2…d101backed Bears | 60c | 1,667$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.67 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | +6.4wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Steelers | 2c | 1,565$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.55 | 98 | 0%0 W · 98 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Bears | 65c | 1,559$1,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.46 | 162 | 54.9%89 W · 73 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Steelers | 42c | 1,538$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.91 | 650 | 48.3%314 W · 336 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5f…d795backed Steelers | 42c | 1,500$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Steelers | 40c | 1,500$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 75 | 30.7%23 W · 52 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0432…1660backed Bears | 36c | 1,500$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Bears | 58c | 1,500$867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.5 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Steelers vs. Bearsthis page
- Spread: Bears (-1.5)Bears won
- Spread: Bears (-2.5)Bears won
- Spread: Bears (-3.5)Steelers won
- Steelers vs. Bears: O/U 44.5Over won
- Steelers vs. Bears: O/U 45.5Over won
- Steelers vs. Bears: O/U 46.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.