NFL · resolved market
Spread: Bears (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x87acdf1af2e40e29ea7ecbea2349965103165d6968a41d98278964ac9a708135
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bearsof Bears, Steelers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $189,424
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $192,243
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $189,424 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 132 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4335…fc2fbacked Bears | 53c | 50,000$26,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,500 | 111 | 68.5%76 W · 35 L | +18.5wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Bears | 53c | 48,032$25,457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,575.11 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | +9.7wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2c57…c94dbacked Steelers | 47c | 42,800$20,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,116 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Bears | 52c | 30,340$15,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,563.1 | 168 | 60.7%102 W · 66 L | +18.7wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Steelers | 47c | 27,965$13,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,216.61 | 212 | 54.2%115 W · 97 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Steelers | 47c | 25,000$11,809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,809.36 | 446 | 52.9%236 W · 210 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…cdaabacked Steelers | 48c | 15,000$7,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,199.93 | 116 | 49.1%57 W · 59 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Steelers | 48c | 13,122$6,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,276.29 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Bears | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,799.99 | 144 | 50%72 W · 72 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a38…8fb5backed Steelers | 47c | 7,982$3,789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,788.71 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x753b…3d0fbacked Steelers | 45c | 5,592$2,516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,516.38 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00e1…4976backed Bears | 55c | 5,558$3,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,501.26 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Steelers | 48c | 5,371$2,578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,578.16 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Bears | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,450 | 358 | 48.6%174 W · 184 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c09…c9b4backed Bears | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 181 | 40.9%74 W · 107 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb123…0a15backed Steelers | 47c | 4,260$2,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,002.2 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Bears | 53c | 3,054$1,621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,432.6 | 473 | 48.4%229 W · 244 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Steelers | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,410 | 513 | 52.2%268 W · 245 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Bears | 51c | 2,858$1,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,414.8 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Steelers | 49c | 2,134$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 112 | 55.4%62 W · 50 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…a656backed Steelers | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.84 | 140 | 35%49 W · 91 L | -12.0wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…5019backed Steelers | 49c | 2,024$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Bears | 52c | 2,000$1,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970 | 149 | 45.6%68 W · 81 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Steelers | 48c | 1,862$894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$893.83 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Steelers | 49c | 1,799$881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$881.39 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -4.6wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…5a82backed Bears | 52c | 1,743$906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$836.46 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd5c…8ae8backed Steelers | 49c | 1,714$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -22%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Steelers | 49c | 1,573$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$769.91 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed Bears | 51c | 1,200$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Steelers | 48c | 1,163$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.47 | 544 | 51.7%281 W · 263 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed Bears | 51c | 1,140$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.56 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5276…74ddbacked Steelers | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5f…d795backed Steelers | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77a3…0e3fbacked Steelers | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Bears | 55c | 913.07$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.07 | 163 | 51.5%84 W · 79 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Steelers | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 163 | 46%75 W · 88 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Steelers | 48c | 722$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.52 | 146 | 41.8%61 W · 85 L | -10.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Steelers | 47c | 679.64$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.62 | 834 | 47.1%393 W · 441 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x258e…d16cbacked Bears | 52c | 673.08$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.08 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Bears | 42c | 592.57$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.58 | 69 | 34.8%24 W · 45 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Steelers | 48c | 562.6$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.13 | 363 | 41.9%152 W · 211 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5834…f0cbbacked Bears | 53c | 550$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.5 | 186 | 50.5%94 W · 92 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Bears | 55c | 549.22$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.22 | 125 | 50.4%63 W · 62 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Steelers | 44c | 535.71$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.71 | 150 | 44.7%67 W · 83 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ed…47d8backed Bears | 53c | 528.3$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.3 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Steelers | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 236 | 47%111 W · 125 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Bears | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 77 | 31.2%24 W · 53 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x502b…a1d5backed Bears | 51c | 499.99$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 187 | 44.9%84 W · 103 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e52…9434backed Bears | 52c | 480.77$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.77 | 111 | 56.8%63 W · 48 L | +7.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Steelers | 47c | 460.08$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.24 | 1,065 | 51.3%546 W · 519 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Steelers | 47c | 440.37$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.61 | 758 | 52.5%398 W · 360 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c05…4902backed Bears | 53c | 438.8$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Steelers | 45c | 414.62$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.58 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b80…657fbacked Bears | 52c | 411.99$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.64 | 157 | 46.5%73 W · 84 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Steelers | 49c | 404.08$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 141 | 54.6%77 W · 64 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Bears | 53c | 400$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 268 | 57.1%153 W · 115 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe727…5e8dbacked Bears | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 175 | 48%84 W · 91 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Bears | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2123…8d70backed Bears | 53c | 282.34$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.7 | 117 | 40.2%47 W · 70 L | -10.0wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Steelers | 48c | 210$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 553 | 45%249 W · 304 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1375…4c69backed Steelers | 50c | 210$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +4.8wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf36f…fb15backed Bears | 52c | 208$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.84 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Steelers | 76c | 200$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 647 | 47.3%306 W · 341 L | +42.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…65fdbacked Bears | 51c | 199.98$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.99 | 62 | 25.8%16 W · 46 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb43…9d70backed Bears | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 117 | 44.4%52 W · 65 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2203…e5a1backed Bears | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9b…a556backed Bears | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Steelers | 48c | 150$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.65 | 650 | 48.3%314 W · 336 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2630…e941backed Bears | 53c | 150$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.5 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Steelers | 49c | 150$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 245 | 47.8%117 W · 128 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb225…d86bbacked Bears | 54c | 138.89$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.89 | 89 | 56.2%50 W · 39 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacbe…85d4backed Steelers | 48c | 132.7$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.7 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Steelers | 48c | 125$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 280 | 47.5%133 W · 147 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0298…93c4backed Steelers | 47c | 124.44$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.49 | 283 | 37.8%107 W · 176 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Steelers | 48c | 120$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 243 | 52.7%128 W · 115 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Bears | 53c | 107.2$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.44 | 414 | 50.5%209 W · 205 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cab…3280backed Steelers | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93b1…934ebacked Steelers | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0417…a072backed Steelers | 49c | 101.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb98b…7e18backed Steelers | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 278 | 35.3%98 W · 180 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0078…bca0backed Bears | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 227 | 45.4%103 W · 124 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0b…cd84backed Steelers | 47c | 99.99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0e…7432backed Bears | 53c | 93.4$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1228…c4fabacked Bears | 52c | 80.38$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.98 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf1…6ae0backed Bears | 52c | 76.54$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.74 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9038…f74cbacked Steelers | 48c | 75.56$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.27 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked Bears | 51c | 70$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.3 | 83 | 61.4%51 W · 32 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadc8…80edbacked Steelers | 48c | 60.73$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…e839backed Steelers | 48c | 60.15$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c1…012cbacked Bears | 54c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf909…2b17backed Bears | 51c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe44b…6e0abacked Bears | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 169 | 40.8%69 W · 100 L | -7.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf06…a405backed Steelers | 48c | 58.71$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x855d…349fbacked Bears | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd31f…a480backed Bears | 53c | 56.21$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…a99ebacked Steelers | 46c | 55.56$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.56 | 392 | 42.6%167 W · 225 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6092…5cf3backed Bears | 53c | 55.17$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf03…a7aabacked Steelers | 48c | 52.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd647…1377backed Steelers | 48c | 51.4$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4184…13c0backed Bears | 53c | 50.23$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Bears (-2.5)this page
- Spread: Bears (-1.5)Bears won
- Spread: Bears (-3.5)Steelers won
- Steelers vs. BearsBears won
- Steelers vs. Bears: O/U 44.5Over won
- Steelers vs. Bears: O/U 45.5Over won
- Steelers vs. Bears: O/U 46.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.