TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x93b1…934e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
67
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Us Midterms, grading 50 out of 100 (0.00 per pick) — its least-bad Category, not a recommendation. Every Category this wallet trades grades at or below 50, which is what “no edge at all” looks like.

Best Category Us Midterms at 50 out of 100; worst Tennis at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT4226.2%11 W · 31 L-3.7wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-25.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 42 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wimbledon WTA: Daria Kasatkina vs Naomi Osakabacked Daria Kasatkina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$175.33
Wimbledon ATP: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Ethan Quinnbacked Ethan Quinn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Wimbledon ATP: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Daniel Merida Aguilar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Wimbledon ATP: Stan Wawrinka vs Matteo Berrettinibacked Stan Wawrinka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Wimbledon WTA: Serena Williams vs Maya Jointbacked Serena Williams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Wimbledon WTA: Diana Shnaider vs Eva Lysbacked Eva Lys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Wimbledon ATP: Lorenzo Sonego vs Tomas Etcheverrybacked Tomas Etcheverry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.76
Wimbledon ATP: Corentin Moutet vs Marcos Gironbacked Corentin Moutet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Wimbledon ATP: Alexander Blockx vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Blockx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
Wimbledon WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Daria Snigurbacked Elina Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Wimbledon ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Toby Samuelbacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$40.91
Wimbledon WTA: Emma Navarro vs Paula Badosabacked Emma Navarro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$88.89
Wimbledon WTA: Yulia Starodubtseva vs Anna Blinkovabacked Anna Blinkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$188.1
Wimbledon ATP: Otto Virtanen vs Ben Sheltonbacked Otto Virtanen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$283.33
Miami Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs Learner Tienbacked Learner Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Miami Open: Janice Tjen vs Yulia Putintsevabacked Yulia Putintseva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$29.35
BNP Paribas Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakinabacked Elena Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
BNP Paribas Open: Elena Rybakina vs Elina Svitolinabacked Elina Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
BNP Paribas Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Linda Noskovabacked Linda Noskova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
BNP Paribas Open: Jack Draper vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Jack Draper · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$69
BNP Paribas Open: Learner Tien vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Learner Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
BNP Paribas Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Victoria Mbokobacked Victoria Mboko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
BNP Paribas Open: Novak Djokovic vs Jack Draperbacked Jack Draper · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+127.8%+$127.79
BNP Paribas Open: Jessica Pegula vs Belinda Bencicbacked Belinda Bencic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
BNP Paribas Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Alex Michelsenbacked Alex Michelsen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Showing 25 of 42 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2026, EST1936.8%7 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-19.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Eagles vs. Chargersbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$45
Spread: Chiefs (-4.5)backed Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Bears vs. Packersbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Commanders vs. Vikingsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+92.3%+$46.15
Spread: Lions (-3.5)backed Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+108.3%+$54.17
Spread: Broncos (-6.5)backed Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+85.5%+$42.73
Broncos vs. Commandersbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Buccaneers vs. Ramsbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Spread: Jaguars (-2.5)backed Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+85.2%+$42.59
Colts vs. Chiefsbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Spread: Bears (-2.5)backed Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Bills vs. Texansbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+233.3%+$70
Cowboys vs. Raidersbacked Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$31
Chiefs vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+156.4%+$78.21
Ravens vs. Brownsbacked Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Buccaneers vs. Billsbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$19
Commanders vs. Dolphinsbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+66.7%+$33.33
Cardinals vs. Cowboysbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 19 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-24.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 8, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Government shutdown end November 4-7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
McNeese State Cowboys vs. Vanderbilt Commodoresbacked McNeese State Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.88
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.