Tennis · resolved market
Wimbledon WTA: Daria Kasatkina vs Naomi Osaka
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8bd798cf5ae4a6dc0d5770852cbd41366481173aae585d1c99f0f7a27beab13c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Naomi Osakaof Daria Kasatkina, Naomi Osaka
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $536,533
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $566,282
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $536,533 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x928b…ccf4backed Daria Kasatkina | 16c | 89,935$14,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,389.6 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Daria Kasatkina | 12c | 45,499$5,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,304.22 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Daria Kasatkina | 6c | 43,406$2,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,580.11 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Daria Kasatkina | 4c | 24,433$1,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008.57 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Daria Kasatkina | 17c | 18,888$3,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,210.96 | 761 | 46.6%355 W · 406 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed Daria Kasatkina | 17c | 16,469$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,799.81 | 579 | 39.7%230 W · 349 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Daria Kasatkina | 12c | 15,805$1,872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,872.14 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Daria Kasatkina | 17c | 15,023$2,536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,536.26 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Daria Kasatkina | 17c | 14,205$2,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,434.45 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Daria Kasatkina | 3c | 14,040$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.48 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Daria Kasatkina | 18c | 12,500$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,249.99 | 144 | 43.8%63 W · 81 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Daria Kasatkina | 16c | 12,132$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Daria Kasatkina | 17c | 11,283$1,918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,918.16 | 1,149 | 41.3%474 W · 675 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Daria Kasatkina | 16c | 10,000$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Daria Kasatkina | 3c | 9,591$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.65 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Daria Kasatkina | 12c | 8,645$1,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,037.77 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Daria Kasatkina | 17c | 7,978$1,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,354.92 | 2,462 | 38.5%948 W · 1,514 L | +93.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x927c…6633backed Daria Kasatkina | 17c | 7,200$1,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,224 | 132 | 53%70 W · 62 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Daria Kasatkina | 17c | 7,002$1,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,171.17 | 785 | 36.1%283 W · 502 L | +36.6wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Naomi Osaka | 80c | 6,011$4,809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,202.26 | 611 | 52.2%319 W · 292 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Daria Kasatkina | 12c | 5,388$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.52 | 1,158 | 44.4%514 W · 644 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Daria Kasatkina | 17c | 5,000$839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.3 | 488 | 42%205 W · 283 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40f7…1f5ebacked Daria Kasatkina | 7c | 3,999$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.96 | 747 | 43.6%326 W · 421 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Daria Kasatkina | 19c | 3,912$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.99 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Daria Kasatkina | 17c | 3,824$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 1,865 | 45.6%851 W · 1,014 L | +50.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5123…2f31backed Daria Kasatkina | 19c | 3,200$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606 | 183 | 15.8%29 W · 154 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a00…9158backed Daria Kasatkina | 17c | 2,941$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.97 | 788 | 40.6%320 W · 468 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Daria Kasatkina | 17c | 2,647$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 1,865 | 44.7%834 W · 1,031 L | +36.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Daria Kasatkina | 3c | 2,131$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.92 | 580 | 21.9%127 W · 453 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Daria Kasatkina | 18c | 2,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 1,510 | 37.7%569 W · 941 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Daria Kasatkina | 18c | 1,915$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.07 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Daria Kasatkina | 15c | 1,887$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.79 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Daria Kasatkina | 14c | 1,876$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.96 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Daria Kasatkina | 6c | 1,750$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.44 | 2,855 | 49.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dbd…e1e3backed Daria Kasatkina | 8c | 1,667$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 274 | 46.7%128 W · 146 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Daria Kasatkina | 5c | 1,531$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.56 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Daria Kasatkina | 20c | 1,000$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Daria Kasatkina | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2,044 | 53.8%1,100 W · 944 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4890…03f1backed Daria Kasatkina | 8c | 999.99$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 99 | 16.2%16 W · 83 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Daria Kasatkina | 11c | 984$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.24 | 2,061 | 48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L | +35.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…4b74backed Daria Kasatkina | 17c | 944.14$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.98 | 444 | 42.3%188 W · 256 L | +14.5wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93b1…934ebacked Daria Kasatkina | 20c | 876.65$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.33 | 42 | 26.2%11 W · 31 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8a…2562backed Daria Kasatkina | 6c | 833.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Daria Kasatkina | 16c | 794$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.04 | 568 | 27.3%155 W · 413 L | +23.1wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +25%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Daria Kasatkina | 14c | 717.95$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa859…48b9backed Daria Kasatkina | 16c | 663.24$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.1 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28e0…2e6bbacked Daria Kasatkina | 19c | 600$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 517 | 44.7%231 W · 286 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Daria Kasatkina | 16c | 600$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 671 | 44.7%300 W · 371 L | +30.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Daria Kasatkina | 18c | 600$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 2,247 | 42.7%960 W · 1,287 L | +33.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Daria Kasatkina | 17c | 600$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94b9…2592backed Daria Kasatkina | 12c | 599.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 112 | 18.8%21 W · 91 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…f17cbacked Daria Kasatkina | 6c | 578.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.65 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf0…de6dbacked Daria Kasatkina | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07b1…b027backed Daria Kasatkina | 19c | 526$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.94 | 307 | 46.3%142 W · 165 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Daria Kasatkina | 12c | 500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Daria Kasatkina | 14c | 500$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x551d…9326backed Daria Kasatkina | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 277 | 39%108 W · 169 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Daria Kasatkina | 16c | 500$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.1 | 364 | 35.2%128 W · 236 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…84f7backed Daria Kasatkina | 5c | 500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.7 | 353 | 49.9%176 W · 177 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Daria Kasatkina | 8c | 454.31$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.04 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2c…2151backed Daria Kasatkina | 3c | 400$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 389 | 11.6%45 W · 344 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9524…86cfbacked Daria Kasatkina | 16c | 400$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 46 | 26.1%12 W · 34 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf768…7831backed Daria Kasatkina | 4c | 372.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 789 | 57.8%456 W · 333 L | +56.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe99…506bbacked Daria Kasatkina | 14c | 357.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 678 | 52.1%353 W · 325 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d09…7fd6backed Daria Kasatkina | 7c | 321.64$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.48 | 106 | 27.4%29 W · 77 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d4…8b32backed Daria Kasatkina | 4c | 320.65$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.83 | 1,206 | 8%96 W · 1,110 L | +17.2wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54c7…7f52backed Daria Kasatkina | 6c | 300$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde7d…499ebacked Daria Kasatkina | 17c | 300$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 271 | 32.1%87 W · 184 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Daria Kasatkina | 11c | 239.7$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.28 | 1,959 | 43.7%857 W · 1,102 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Daria Kasatkina | 17c | 223.43$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.98 | 834 | 47.5%396 W · 438 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34a1…7622backed Daria Kasatkina | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed Daria Kasatkina | 18c | 165$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 1,556 | 42.4%660 W · 896 L | +20.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Daria Kasatkina | 17c | 139.98$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.2 | 1,151 | 48.7%560 W · 591 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab1…5b1bbacked Daria Kasatkina | 16c | 110.94$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.75 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee5a…9f70backed Daria Kasatkina | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 356 | 41.3%147 W · 209 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b5…ca2dbacked Daria Kasatkina | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.45 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Daria Kasatkina | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 726 | 38.8%282 W · 444 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Daria Kasatkina | 14c | 96$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd155…8250backed Daria Kasatkina | 12c | 95.13$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.63 | 356 | 49.4%176 W · 180 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf21…667bbacked Daria Kasatkina | 18c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 214 | 19.6%42 W · 172 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Naomi Osaka | 79c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7629…226cbacked Naomi Osaka | 80c | 25.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 235 | 81.7%192 W · 43 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 80cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24a4…cf87backed Naomi Osaka | 80c | 24.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -4.9wins | -0.20per pick | 62cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x38b1…6322backed Naomi Osaka | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…8b42backed Naomi Osaka | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wimbledon WTA: Daria Kasatkina vs Naomi Osakathis page
- Set 2 Winner: Kasatkina vs OsakaOsaka won
- Set Handicap: Osaka (-1.5) vs Kasatkina (+1.5)Osaka won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.