NFL · resolved market
Spread: Jaguars (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x819e1494951515c15aa289753ca45e89741128de991eb9b055e95fe43c3fb64a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jaguarsof Jaguars, Cardinals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $107,065
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $108,764
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $107,065 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 131 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1117…3532backed Cardinals | 52c | 40,000$20,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,799.97 | 312 | 40.7%127 W · 185 L | -22.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Jaguars | 48c | 13,538$6,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,039.76 | 446 | 52.9%236 W · 210 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1a…6dc0backed Jaguars | 49c | 12,000$5,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,120 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…cdaabacked Cardinals | 50c | 10,208$5,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,102.1 | 116 | 49.1%57 W · 59 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d6…34e3backed Jaguars | 50c | 9,284$4,642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,641.96 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Jaguars | 48c | 8,719$4,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,523.64 | 473 | 48.4%229 W · 244 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Cardinals | 51c | 8,000$4,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,080 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Cardinals | 52c | 7,071$3,677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,676.71 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Jaguars | 50c | 5,924$2,948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,976.01 | 315 | 43.2%136 W · 179 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Jaguars | 49c | 5,721$2,812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,909.2 | 736 | 51.2%377 W · 359 L | +25.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Cardinals | 50c | 5,439$2,722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,721.52 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2000…df78backed Jaguars | 48c | 4,250$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,209.99 | 208 | 51%106 W · 102 L | +12.1wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Cardinals | 51c | 4,012$2,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,037.99 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Cardinals | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 257 | 44.4%114 W · 143 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca91…978cbacked Jaguars | 48c | 3,974$1,907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,066.29 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Jaguars | 53c | 3,630$1,922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,707.86 | 684 | 46.1%315 W · 369 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Jaguars | 48c | 3,094$1,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,608.67 | 544 | 51.7%281 W · 263 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…adf9backed Jaguars | 55c | 2,683$1,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,195.76 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.17per pick | 41cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Cardinals | 51c | 2,450$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,259.84 | 274 | 54.7%150 W · 124 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Jaguars | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.33 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…5019backed Jaguars | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.33 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe832…7abbbacked Jaguars | 49c | 1,428$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.29 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Cardinals | 45c | 1,047$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.54 | 758 | 52.5%398 W · 360 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda21…8646backed Jaguars | 50c | 1,004$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Cardinals | 51c | 998.04$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509 | 650 | 48.3%314 W · 336 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Cardinals | 41c | 983.3$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.64 | 834 | 47.1%393 W · 441 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Jaguars | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.4 | 125 | 50.4%63 W · 62 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc6…dfe9backed Jaguars | 48c | 831.62$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.62 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Jaguars | 49c | 794$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.1 | 139 | 59%82 W · 57 L | +12.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Cardinals | 52c | 770.79$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 163 | 46%75 W · 88 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Cardinals | 50c | 711.52$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.76 | 343 | 49.3%169 W · 174 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3685…0123backed Jaguars | 58c | 708.56$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.56 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -33%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…5a82backed Jaguars | 47c | 704.69$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.49 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…bd17backed Jaguars | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 131 | 45.8%60 W · 71 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b02…f3d9backed Cardinals | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 211 | 51.2%108 W · 103 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7140…47e3backed Cardinals | 44c | 568.18$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3832…35e1backed Cardinals | 52c | 537.51$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279 | 164 | 51.2%84 W · 80 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Jaguars | 48c | 525$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf068…6184backed Jaguars | 48c | 520.83$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.83 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +5.6wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x502b…a1d5backed Cardinals | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 187 | 44.9%84 W · 103 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc15f…98f9backed Cardinals | 53c | 451.86$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.49 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Cardinals | 44c | 437$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.28 | 1,065 | 51.3%546 W · 519 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a45…1405backed Jaguars | 48c | 435.62$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.52 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Jaguars | 48c | 420$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.4 | 121 | 51.2%62 W · 59 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8839…8a3ebacked Cardinals | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Jaguars | 50c | 389$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.98 | 146 | 41.8%61 W · 85 L | -10.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Jaguars | 49c | 349$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.65 | 205 | 55.6%114 W · 91 L | +15.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Jaguars | 48c | 333$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.98 | 314 | 50%157 W · 157 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Jaguars | 51c | 299.99$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 206 | 50.5%104 W · 102 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2123…8d70backed Cardinals | 53c | 285$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.05 | 117 | 40.2%47 W · 70 L | -10.0wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Jaguars | 49c | 237$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.61 | 163 | 60.1%98 W · 65 L | +16.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…6881backed Cardinals | 44c | 230$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.2 | 109 | 48.6%53 W · 56 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Jaguars | 50c | 226.98$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.49 | 281 | 51.6%145 W · 136 L | +20.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Jaguars | 49c | 217$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.45 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Cardinals | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 553 | 45%249 W · 304 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1977…32e8backed Jaguars | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 199 | 48.2%96 W · 103 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…b7d4backed Jaguars | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Jaguars | 51c | 185$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.5 | 488 | 47.5%232 W · 256 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Jaguars | 49c | 173$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.05 | 140 | 60.7%85 W · 55 L | +14.3wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Jaguars | 49c | 173$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.05 | 123 | 56.9%70 W · 53 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Jaguars | 49c | 173$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.05 | 176 | 56.3%99 W · 77 L | +16.3wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x31ce…88cdbacked Jaguars | 49c | 170$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.5 | 133 | 57.1%76 W · 57 L | +9.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Jaguars | 49c | 160.1$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.95 | 363 | 41.9%152 W · 211 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Jaguars | 49c | 157$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.89 | 155 | 56.8%88 W · 67 L | +13.4wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6723…a540backed Jaguars | 54c | 143.34$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.94 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Cardinals | 44c | 136.04$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.04 | 532 | 53%282 W · 250 L | +19.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Jaguars | 49c | 129$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.65 | 169 | 57.4%97 W · 72 L | +15.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Jaguars | 48c | 120$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.4 | 243 | 52.7%128 W · 115 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Jaguars | 50c | 111$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.96 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +7.6wins | +0.22per pick | 42cpaid | +103%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6b79…3c8cbacked Jaguars | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 128 | 43%55 W · 73 L | -8.4wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8d8…66a7backed Cardinals | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0915…d08abacked Jaguars | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0078…bca0backed Jaguars | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 227 | 45.4%103 W · 124 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf35…b327backed Jaguars | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 169 | 46.7%79 W · 90 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb225…d86bbacked Jaguars | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 89 | 56.2%50 W · 39 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0b…cd84backed Jaguars | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Jaguars | 49c | 99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 120 | 57.5%69 W · 51 L | +9.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Jaguars | 49c | 99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 117 | 58.1%68 W · 49 L | +9.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Jaguars | 49c | 99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 118 | 59.3%70 W · 48 L | +11.2wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x54ae…32c2backed Cardinals | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6afd…5cb1backed Jaguars | 49c | 93$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.33 | 91 | 62.6%57 W · 34 L | +11.1wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x93b1…934ebacked Jaguars | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Jaguars | 49c | 89$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.39 | 647 | 47.3%306 W · 341 L | +42.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d61…d43cbacked Jaguars | 49c | 85$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.25 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Jaguars | 49c | 85$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.25 | 154 | 53.9%83 W · 71 L | +10.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Jaguars | 49c | 85$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.25 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb01…2783backed Jaguars | 49c | 85$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.25 | 124 | 59.7%74 W · 50 L | +12.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked Jaguars | 49c | 85$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.25 | 101 | 55.4%56 W · 45 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Jaguars | 49c | 85$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.25 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Jaguars | 49c | 85$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.25 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked Jaguars | 49c | 85$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.25 | 110 | 58.2%64 W · 46 L | +11.0wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…3f2fbacked Jaguars | 49c | 85$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.25 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | +11.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0c2d…2570backed Jaguars | 49c | 85$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.25 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf99a…5487backed Jaguars | 49c | 85$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.25 | 105 | 65.7%69 W · 36 L | +16.6wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed Jaguars | 49c | 85$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.25 | 103 | 59.2%61 W · 42 L | +9.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Jaguars | 49c | 85$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.25 | 96 | 59.4%57 W · 39 L | +9.2wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +21%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…810abacked Jaguars | 49c | 85$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.25 | 91 | 64.8%59 W · 32 L | +12.5wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked Jaguars | 49c | 85$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.25 | 114 | 63.2%72 W · 42 L | +14.5wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Jaguars | 49c | 85$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.25 | 97 | 57.7%56 W · 41 L | +7.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…c728backed Jaguars | 49c | 85$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.25 | 107 | 61.7%66 W · 41 L | +12.0wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Jaguars (-2.5)this page
- Jaguars vs. CardinalsJaguars won
- Jaguars vs. Cardinals: 1H MoneylineCardinals won
- Jaguars vs. Cardinals: O/U 45.5Over won
- Jaguars vs. Cardinals: O/U 47.5Over won
- Spread: Jaguars (-1.5)Jaguars won
- Spread: Jaguars (-3.5)Cardinals won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.