TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf068…6184

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
103
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: NFL, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 61 out of 100; worst UFC at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT5158.8%30 W · 21 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 51 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$104.24
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+115.1%+$57.53
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+124.7%+$93.54
Will Switzerland vs. Colombia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$97.06
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+100%+$55
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$28.33
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$155
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$140
Spread: Brazil (-1.5)backed Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$23.57
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$24.63
Australia vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$19.44
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+73.9%+$40.65
Portugal vs. Croatia: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$62.02
Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advancebacked Senegal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Belgium vs. Senegal: Senegal O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$106.25
Will Mexico vs. Ecuador end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Netherlands vs. Morocco end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$106.25
Brazil vs. Japan: Team to Advancebacked Japan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
South Africa vs. Canada: Team to Advancebacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$22.16
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$132.56
Norway vs. France: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$41.49
Norway vs. France: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$29.62
Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Showing 25 of 51 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST3366.7%22 W · 11 L+5.6wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+34.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
NFL — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Marcus Jones win the Super Bowl LX MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+47.1%+$47.06
Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+96.1%+$336.27
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Spread: Patriots (-4.5)backed Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+78.6%+$196.43
Spread: Patriots (-3.5)backed Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$225
Spread: Seahawks (-7.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+112.3%+$252.6
Spread: Broncos (-1.5)backed Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+96.1%+$288.24
Spread: Eagles (-4.5)backed 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+112.8%+$281.91
49ers vs. Eaglesbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+222.6%+$111.29
Spread: Packers (-1.5)backed Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Spread: Rams (-10.5)backed Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Spread: Patriots (-7.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+112.8%+$169.15
Spread: Broncos (-6.5)backed Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$460Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+88.7%+$407.92
Spread: Eagles (-7.5)backed Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$150
Spread: Chiefs (-3.5)backed Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$500
Spread: Lions (-2.5)backed Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+117.4%+$234.78
Spread: 49ers (-7.5)backed 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+108.3%+$216.67
Eagles vs. Cowboysbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$150
Spread: Jaguars (-2.5)backed Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+108.3%+$270.83
Spread: Ravens (-8.5)backed Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+84.5%+$126.73
Eagles vs. Packersbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+100%+$75.98
Spread: Chargers (-3.5)backed Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Raiders vs. Broncos: O/U 42.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+92.3%+$184.62
Spread: Broncos (-8.5)backed Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$75
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-21.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-39.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Indiana (-7.5)backed Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$250
Spread: Texas Tech Red Raiders (-7.5)backed Arizona State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$61.36
Oklahoma vs. Texasbacked Oklahoma · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$113.5
All 3 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-57.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$39.87
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$55
Spread: Galatasaray SK (-1.5)backed FK Bodø/Glimt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$55
All 3 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fight to Go the Distance?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$100
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Pimblett · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$150
All 3 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Oct 22, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Thunder (-7.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$102.27
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.