TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Thunder (-7.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Rocketsof Thunder, Rockets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$179,124
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$189,080

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $179,124 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5375…aeeabacked Rockets56c42,920$24,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,900.6885742.6%365 W · 492 L-15.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed Thunder47c29,947$14,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,075.0825847.3%122 W · 136 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ce8…4527backed Thunder45c21,056$9,475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,475.272450%12 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb744…5210backed Rockets53c13,512$7,161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,350.6615443.5%67 W · 87 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Thunder39c11,153$4,357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,356.8459653.4%318 W · 278 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcfeb…620bbacked Rockets54c10,000$5,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,6001266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+21.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9a35…c104backed Thunder46c9,990$4,595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,595.331136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-31.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xae0f…f647backed Rockets55c9,091$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,090.918451.2%43 W · 41 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Thunder45c4,474$2,013 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,013.4669149.1%339 W · 352 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Thunder46c2,500$1,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,15047748.8%233 W · 244 L+1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Thunder46c2,077$955 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$955.4269852%363 W · 335 L+10.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Rockets55c1,818$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$818.1865339.5%258 W · 395 L-24.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Rockets53c1,715$912 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$802.619,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Thunder42c1,544$648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$648.4870147.8%335 W · 366 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfecb…19babacked Rockets54c1,499$809 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$689.411452.6%60 W · 54 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Thunder42c1,461$609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$608.646,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x71b1…ac2cbacked Thunder9c1,135$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.924334.2%83 W · 160 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2630…e941backed Thunder49c1,000$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48542845.1%193 W · 235 L-15.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9bff…6f0cbacked Thunder47c999.99$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4702540%10 W · 15 L-3.5wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-30.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x41a5…fae0backed Thunder47c999.97$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.993138.7%12 W · 19 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44c4…501bbacked Rockets60c956$577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3791546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-25.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb43…9d70backed Thunder47c948.94$446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4468936%32 W · 57 L-6.7wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-18.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Rockets53c910$482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427.72,29851.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L+65.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Thunder34c900$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3093,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5cf…8cc5backed Thunder46c785.67$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361.4143247.5%205 W · 227 L+11.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb22…808abacked Rockets54c560$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.195641.7%399 W · 557 L+1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Thunder45c545.79$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.642,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xccff…e845backed Rockets65c530$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.548137.2%179 W · 302 L-15.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c0f…a394backed Thunder47c526.48$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.52650%13 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Thunder45c501.5$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.792,26543.4%982 W · 1,283 L-26.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d45…9054backed Rockets53c458.35$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.530053.3%160 W · 140 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x61cd…541ebacked Rockets68c316.88$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.83164.5%20 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9721…bb3dbacked Rockets65c304.62$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.621258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Rockets53c301$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.5452240%209 W · 313 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Rockets53c300$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14172647.7%346 W · 380 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c0c…6825backed Rockets55c300$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1356058.3%35 W · 25 L+5.3wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+17.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Thunder15c298.05$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.841,13217%192 W · 940 L+2.5wins0.00per pick17cpaid-25.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30ef…70dfbacked Thunder45c292$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.412143%52 W · 69 L+6.9wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Rockets53c282.96$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.9966153.3%352 W · 309 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Thunder44c245.17$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.8726753.2%142 W · 125 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8058…d023backed Rockets51c233.45$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.397946.8%37 W · 42 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf068…6184backed Rockets55c227.27$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.271100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3989…27b1backed Rockets55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9030641.8%128 W · 178 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe3b3…2e90backed Rockets78c194.57$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.791553.3%8 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick62cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Thunder41c189$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.071,10941.8%464 W · 645 L-20.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Thunder44c167$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.5459743.6%260 W · 337 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa492…a079backed Rockets55c132.73$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.731100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7b3…f97cbacked Thunder47c130$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.15151%26 W · 25 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf0c…2265backed Rockets65c125.25$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.8442241%173 W · 249 L-10.7wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb861…27ffbacked Rockets55c116.36$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.364459.1%26 W · 18 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x20b9…9110backed Thunder47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4713950.4%70 W · 69 L-7.4wins-0.05per pick56cpaid+9.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcbd7…51fcbacked Thunder46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.15per pick50cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x35b9…1d44backed Rockets53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4710246.1%47 W · 55 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x15e3…009fbacked Thunder47c99.92$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.9637357.4%214 W · 159 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc5b…f102backed Rockets55c90.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.9190560.8%550 W · 355 L-2.1wins0.00per pick61cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51d9…cb1abacked Rockets54c90$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.413743.8%60 W · 77 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid+2.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd99…f375backed Thunder42c90$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.3538151.2%195 W · 186 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9714…3014backed Rockets55c88.27$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.7212054.2%65 W · 55 L-9.3wins-0.08per pick62cpaid-13.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x45d1…7017backed Thunder44c88$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.7235447.7%169 W · 185 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Thunder38c87.99$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.28,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5937…cc97backed Rockets55c67.27$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.276357.1%36 W · 27 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12ff…f464backed Thunder47c63.83$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302055%11 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+21.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x602d…3534backed Rockets55c63.64$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.6437755.7%210 W · 167 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Thunder43c61.4$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.41,45149.7%721 W · 730 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb54…4ea5backed Thunder47c60$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.9450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4794…d6e5backed Rockets55c56.37$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.375149%25 W · 26 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5dc…ec43backed Thunder47c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.569049.4%341 W · 349 L-30.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2892…71ddbacked Rockets53c47.17$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.1725642.2%108 W · 148 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0974…003dbacked Thunder37c45$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.818053.3%96 W · 84 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x608d…796abacked Rockets57c43.86$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.86728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick48cpaid-40.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3827…e4b7backed Rockets55c43.51$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.581100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x681d…4cbfbacked Rockets55c42.91$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.3138545.7%176 W · 209 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4f7…ac2cbacked Rockets56c35.73$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.7313969.1%96 W · 43 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick68cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc35b…28b6backed Rockets60c35$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145738.6%22 W · 35 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x08cc…da60backed Thunder48c33.46$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.068248.8%40 W · 42 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0078…bca0backed Thunder46c32.61$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153850%19 W · 19 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8f5…1caabacked Rockets53c31$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.6380148.3%387 W · 414 L-3.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5938…fde2backed Rockets64c30$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.8450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb21a…0d4abacked Rockets53c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.11631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-21.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd9d1…ff0cbacked Rockets55c28.73$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.93366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+27.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x44c7…9bdebacked Rockets78c26.59$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.8514764.6%95 W · 52 L+9.0wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+10.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb7d1…4cb7backed Rockets55c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94647.8%22 W · 24 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x15e3…b3e8backed Rockets55c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96238.7%24 W · 38 L-4.6wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-13.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.