NBA · resolved market
Rockets vs. Thunder
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x778583b50731880ef652c5cfe4e882724a337fa170ad4be1f944e811f5da14ee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thunderof Rockets, Thunder
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,033,296
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,512,612
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,033,296 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 966 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Rockets | 37c | 373,519$138,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138,016.42 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed Rockets | 30c | 336,629$100,991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100,990.75 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff2…dbbdbacked Thunder | 70c | 326,148$228,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97,844.3 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -6.0wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb744…5210backed Thunder | 70c | 268,821$188,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80,646.38 | 154 | 43.5%67 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…936fbacked Thunder | 66c | 201,772$132,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69,440.46 | 83 | 33.7%28 W · 55 L | -7.6wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Rockets | 30c | 121,921$37,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,053.84 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Thunder | 65c | 120,777$78,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42,676.42 | 192 | 49.5%95 W · 97 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc703…c3d5backed Thunder | 42c | 117,500$49,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67,689.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +135.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Rockets | 33c | 113,863$37,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,062.83 | 361 | 48.5%175 W · 186 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Rockets | 31c | 111,665$34,616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,616.17 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Rockets | 30c | 102,000$30,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,600 | 144 | 34%49 W · 95 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa987…141dbacked Thunder | 69c | 96,900$66,861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,039 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x134a…9e42backed Rockets | 45c | 76,026$34,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,509.71 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | 0%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Rockets | 37c | 72,307$27,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,093.52 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78c6…4710backed Thunder | 70c | 70,000$49,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,000 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Rockets | 50c | 68,523$33,948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,948.22 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02fc…2c31backed Thunder | 70c | 63,462$44,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,038.55 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Rockets | 30c | 60,000$18,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,000 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0b…9f41backed Rockets | 45c | 50,899$23,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,139.66 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Rockets | 31c | 50,104$15,532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,532.24 | 202 | 53.5%108 W · 94 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81b1…0f83backed Thunder | 64c | 40,574$26,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,469.81 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…01aabacked Rockets | 30c | 33,334$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000.19 | 105 | 30.5%32 W · 73 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Rockets | 30c | 30,000$9,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,000 | 79 | 39.2%31 W · 48 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Rockets | 48c | 28,037$13,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,456.92 | 471 | 44.2%208 W · 263 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x575a…bba6backed Thunder | 70c | 27,736$19,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,375.97 | 125 | 29.6%37 W · 88 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Thunder | 59c | 27,461$16,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,185.86 | 88 | 40.9%36 W · 52 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Thunder | 69c | 27,136$18,814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,321.64 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f5b…d411backed Thunder | 51c | 27,080$13,811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,269.18 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Rockets | 31c | 26,715$8,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,261.52 | 667 | 44.5%297 W · 370 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Rockets | 30c | 26,139$7,842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,841.66 | 710 | 52.1%370 W · 340 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Rockets | 41c | 22,079$9,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,076.24 | 474 | 48.7%231 W · 243 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Rockets | 47c | 13,521$6,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,365.42 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d85…228ebacked Thunder | 71c | 13,254$9,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,843.52 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…f0cabacked Rockets | 30c | 13,216$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ad…17ddbacked Rockets | 16c | 12,406$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Rockets | 43c | 11,729$4,991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,991.23 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x439b…2c9abacked Thunder | 68c | 11,562$7,849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,712.84 | 128 | 43.8%56 W · 72 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x161e…6ef0backed Rockets | 60c | 11,502$6,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,919.98 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3850…c4b4backed Thunder | 51c | 11,347$5,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,521.55 | 123 | 34.1%42 W · 81 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e56…dee1backed Rockets | 50c | 10,557$5,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,278.59 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x19ff…d0d0backed Thunder | 70c | 10,459$7,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,109.2 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +24%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Thunder | 69c | 10,000$6,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,100 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Thunder | 69c | 10,000$6,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,100 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc153…6c8bbacked Thunder | 70c | 10,000$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.18per pick | 59cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…cdaabacked Thunder | 69c | 10,000$6,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,099.99 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | +7.2wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Thunder | 61c | 9,800$6,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,798 | 346 | 45.4%157 W · 189 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c9e…0b92backed Thunder | 70c | 9,747$6,819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,928.18 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Rockets | 38c | 9,661$3,718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,718.43 | 418 | 48.3%202 W · 216 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…bb9bbacked Thunder | 47c | 9,542$4,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,075.46 | 165 | 47.3%78 W · 87 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9f…f6a3backed Rockets | 31c | 9,523$2,952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,952.13 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2137…0677backed Thunder | 68c | 9,329$6,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,950.01 | 82 | 19.5%16 W · 66 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…9054backed Rockets | 30c | 9,036$2,711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,710.82 | 300 | 53.3%160 W · 140 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…c3a6backed Thunder | 70c | 9,000$6,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,700 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf751…dc0fbacked Rockets | 30c | 8,360$2,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,507.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4929…5ba5backed Thunder | 69c | 7,709$5,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,389.88 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78ca…dc46backed Thunder | 70c | 7,150$5,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,145 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe25b…0f1bbacked Thunder | 68c | 7,090$4,854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,236.16 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +26%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe945…a5cbbacked Thunder | 71c | 7,028$4,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,038.16 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe4a…bc74backed Thunder | 70c | 7,000$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Thunder | 58c | 6,900$4,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,899 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8525…bdbabacked Rockets | 53c | 6,776$3,581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,581.22 | 129 | 41.1%53 W · 76 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Rockets | 28c | 6,423$1,819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,819.43 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Rockets | 4c | 6,112$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.99 | 390 | 18.2%71 W · 319 L | +27.6wins | +0.07per pick | 11cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Thunder | 71c | 6,000$4,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,770 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…bdafbacked Rockets | 53c | 5,891$3,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,104.99 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe42e…8d89backed Rockets | 30c | 5,753$1,721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,721.12 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08b6…b789backed Thunder | 70c | 5,700$3,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,710 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2821…a869backed Rockets | 30c | 5,559$1,674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,673.84 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb3…e68cbacked Thunder | 50c | 5,518$2,744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,773.64 | 350 | 50.6%177 W · 173 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Thunder | 71c | 5,485$3,894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,590.7 | 950 | 49.4%469 W · 481 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecf8…f5cdbacked Rockets | 29c | 5,477$1,588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,588.36 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad4…3c1abacked Thunder | 70c | 5,072$3,551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,521.73 | 77 | 48.1%37 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81ea…668bbacked Rockets | 30c | 5,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Rockets | 48c | 4,991$2,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,410.28 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x474b…a13cbacked Thunder | 44c | 4,900$2,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,737.62 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cf0…9363backed Rockets | 29c | 4,763$1,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,381.37 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe7…2f3cbacked Thunder | 67c | 4,500$3,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,485 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x630c…3801backed Thunder | 47c | 4,462$2,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,363.6 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Thunder | 69c | 4,395$3,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,362.31 | 463 | 42.5%197 W · 266 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…366bbacked Thunder | 64c | 4,150$2,641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,509 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 34cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Rockets | 45c | 3,982$1,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,777.2 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Rockets | 63c | 3,962$2,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,496.35 | 524 | 60.1%315 W · 209 L | +35.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd6…23f8backed Thunder | 70c | 3,953$2,787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,166.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b20…ee55backed Thunder | 49c | 3,851$1,891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,959.35 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…12febacked Thunder | 65c | 3,778$2,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,317.4 | 95 | 63.2%60 W · 35 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Thunder | 69c | 3,600$2,484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,116 | 453 | 48.1%218 W · 235 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77ad…ba8abacked Thunder | 56c | 3,429$1,923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,505.62 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a5…0d30backed Thunder | 58c | 3,396$1,968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,428.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf390…79efbacked Thunder | 70c | 3,350$2,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,005 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccf7…836abacked Rockets | 31c | 3,290$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.88 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Rockets | 35c | 3,267$1,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,155.74 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b1…a75ebacked Rockets | 31c | 3,226$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…f5b6backed Rockets | 31c | 3,161$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Thunder | 52c | 3,160$1,643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,516.8 | 477 | 51.8%247 W · 230 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7592…f661backed Thunder | 45c | 3,113$1,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,704.32 | 57 | 28.1%16 W · 41 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Thunder | 70c | 3,056$2,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$916.83 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x698f…ae41backed Thunder | 60c | 3,032$1,826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,205.44 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Rockets | 30c | 3,030$909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$908.92 | 96 | 49%47 W · 49 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa74c…64a0backed Rockets | 65c | 3,029$1,957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,957.18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa576…89a4backed Rockets | 31c | 3,000$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rockets vs. Thunderthis page
- Rockets vs. Thunder: O/U 225.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Thunder: O/U 226.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Thunder: O/U 227.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Thunder: O/U 228.5Over won
- Spread: Thunder (-6.5)Rockets won
- Spread: Thunder (-7.5)Rockets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.