TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9721…bb3d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
59
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Champions League, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 55 out of 100; worst La Liga at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT2152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+19.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.55
Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs G2 Esports (+1.5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$62
LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.71
LoL: LYON vs Team Secret Whales (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Game Handicap: HLE (-2.5) vs G2 Esports (+2.5)backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$63.63
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Top Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$79
Game Handicap: TES (-2.5) vs Team Secret Whales (+2.5)backed Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$61.11
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSIbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+100%+$27
LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs FlyQuest (BO3)backed CTBC Flying Oyster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$132.14
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO3)backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$305Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$96.32
LoL: Gen.G vs T1 (BO1)backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$275Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$154.69
LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Anyone's Legend (BO3)backed CTBC Flying Oyster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$83
LoL: KT Rolster vs Top Esports (BO3)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+244.8%+$183.62
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Gen.G (BO1)backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$350
LoL: Movistar KOI vs G2 Esports (BO1)backed G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$154.55
LoL: KT Rolster vs Team Secret Whales (BO1)backed Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$50.99
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Anyone's Legend (BO1)backed Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT+150%+$150
LoL: FlyQuest vs T1 (BO1)backed FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs Team Secret Whales (BO1)backed Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$187Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT+56.1%+$104.88
All 21 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 7, 2025, EST1258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Clippers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+72.4%+$59.38
76ers vs. Wizardsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$255Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$143.44
Lakers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$175
Hornets vs. Wizardsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$157.08
Spurs vs. Pelicansbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$108.69
Nuggets vs. Warriorsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$181Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$181
Thunder vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$64.96
Clippers vs. Jazzbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$600
Raptors vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$216Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$216
Nets vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$112.5
Spread: Thunder (-7.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$106.62
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$136.11
All 12 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.85
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$147.84
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$93.18
Spread: Canada (-1.5)backed Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$71.95
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$85
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$138.97
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.91
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.73
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$139.21
Will Brazil win on 2025-10-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$293Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$293.23
Will Brazil win on 2025-10-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,450Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT+47.8%+$693.23
All 12 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Oct 26, 2025, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Oct 22, 2025, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+73.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$202Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+57.2%+$115.36
Will Napoli win on 2025-10-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$174.89
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-09-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$172Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$84.51
All 3 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Oct 18, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sevilla win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$500
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-10-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$300
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Oct 4, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-10-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+44.6%+$147.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 9, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Phillies vs. Dodgersbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.