TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-10-18?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$144,477
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$162,387

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $144,477 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 170 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes39c30,000$11,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,30031947.6%152 W · 167 L+10.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed No61c26,273$16,026 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,026.386149.2%30 W · 31 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6327…e181backed Yes41c10,902$4,452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,449.681546.7%7 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+16.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed No56c9,976$5,565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,565.1535758%207 W · 150 L+12.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3cda…6e17backed No60c7,401$4,441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,440.699450%47 W · 47 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes39c6,896$2,686 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,209.631,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No52c6,603$3,404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,404.166,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No61c6,000$3,660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,659.9935652.8%188 W · 168 L+15.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe916…4563backed Yes40c5,000$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,00010737.4%40 W · 67 L-8.8wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked No61c4,782$2,909 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,908.6831655.1%174 W · 142 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ef4…4e4ebacked No23c4,600$1,059 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,058.854168.3%28 W · 13 L+8.2wins+0.20per pick48cpaid+73.7%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked No59c4,589$2,713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,712.879263%58 W · 34 L+9.7wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+28%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes50c4,439$2,205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,233.6627235.7%97 W · 175 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes39c4,000$1,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,44041437.9%157 W · 257 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes38c3,150$1,197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,95368026.3%179 W · 501 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed No64c3,000$1,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,92032158.9%189 W · 132 L+13.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes36c1,700$619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,08117833.7%60 W · 118 L+8.2wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No60c1,657$997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$996.5690751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes36c1,606$578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,027.6749254.9%270 W · 222 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06b2…9f35backed Yes73c1,587$1,164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423.183450%17 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa429…792bbacked Yes40c1,500$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9003948.7%19 W · 20 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x78bc…2585backed Yes38c1,320$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$820.372740.7%11 W · 16 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed No36c1,268$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456.3625329.2%74 W · 179 L+11.3wins+0.04per pick25cpaid+7.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc190…02aebacked Yes39c1,173$462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$710.77666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+53.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked No61c1,100$671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$670.821172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.21per pick52cpaid+49.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9721…bb3dbacked Yes40c1,078$431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$646.5742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8097…8a5fbacked Yes38c1,053$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$652.634148.8%20 W · 21 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+29%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Yes70c1,000$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30028736.2%104 W · 183 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-30%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed No59c1,000$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59045936.2%166 W · 293 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe31a…adffbacked No63c1,000$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6306051.7%31 W · 29 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33c2…9818backed Yes70c989.93$692 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.273256.3%18 W · 14 L+3.3wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+4.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0f37…1edcbacked Yes38c879.46$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$546.465637.5%21 W · 35 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick30cpaid+16%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xabbd…f261backed Yes40c875$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5252147.6%10 W · 11 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9514…0dd6backed Yes38c830.35$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.54366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+35.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2967…4517backed No61c700$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Yes38c700$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43421656.9%123 W · 93 L+14.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd410…3a1bbacked Yes39c699.99$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42431053.2%165 W · 145 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x08be…5b1fbacked Yes38c657.89$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.892060%12 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+22.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes58c619.88$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.964,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed No61c599.99$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36630149.5%149 W · 152 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d03…369abacked Yes40c576.56$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.944254.8%23 W · 19 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+3.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No17c527.8$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.2451542.5%219 W · 296 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x46f5…30bcbacked Yes39c519.41$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.843540%14 W · 21 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+12.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x460a…d738backed Yes39c512.82$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.828137%30 W · 51 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc2f1…9599backed Yes39c512.54$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.65250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes69c500$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15567042.2%283 W · 387 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa9d1…4660backed No31c500$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155147.1%1 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick16cpaid-55.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x891d…dd26backed No62c467.74$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2903250%16 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac45…ea33backed Yes40c406.03$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.622572%18 W · 7 L+7.1wins+0.28per pick44cpaid+88.6%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x8d8b…1743backed Yes40c374.32$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.32771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.22per pick49cpaid+46%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed No63c370$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.924062.5%150 W · 90 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes41c369.17$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.8118740.6%76 W · 111 L-7.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf8aa…1342backed Yes39c350$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2137240.3%29 W · 43 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbbe8…0fedbacked No61c328.17$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.7525545.5%116 W · 139 L-18.1wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-21.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4021…956abacked Yes40c325$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1955742.1%24 W · 33 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No62c317.5$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.281,22440%490 W · 734 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Yes38c300$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18621839.4%86 W · 132 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0521…cc4abacked Yes40c300$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1806150.8%31 W · 30 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes39c287.27$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.6568942.2%291 W · 398 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x34cf…7188backed No60c282$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.22520%5 W · 20 L-4.2wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-43%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc7d3…f399backed Yes71c281.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.69250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-29.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f4b…f574backed Yes40c265.64$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.382470.8%17 W · 7 L+3.1wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+30.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf536…e40cbacked Yes39c256.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.4117234.9%60 W · 112 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick30cpaid+19.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9758…caafbacked Yes40c250.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.25560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+27.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4781…336dbacked Yes40c250$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15018562.2%115 W · 70 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick63cpaid+3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03f7…c0ccbacked No60c250$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15014342.7%61 W · 82 L-0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked No29c245.6$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.2215049.3%74 W · 76 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x263c…04cdbacked Yes42c238.1$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.15259.6%31 W · 21 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbf6…513abacked Yes40c225$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1354845.8%22 W · 26 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xade8…b0bdbacked Yes64c222.84$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.0511155.9%62 W · 49 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7272…7135backed Yes38c215$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.22857.1%16 W · 12 L+3.3wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+23.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4959…a6f5backed No60c211.2$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.7215461%94 W · 60 L+9.1wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+10.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked No60c205.46$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.6217958.1%104 W · 75 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+9.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x412a…802cbacked Yes40c202.35$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.416344.4%28 W · 35 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Yes39c200$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12228070%196 W · 84 L+49.8wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+54.1%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x4aa4…17c0backed No60c195.49$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.296963.8%44 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a7b…fdd1backed Yes40c175$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10535247.7%168 W · 184 L-18.2wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc151…2501backed Yes40c165$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$991442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8480…293ebacked No59c155.5$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.752850%14 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x87a4…953ebacked Yes70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.8611946.2%55 W · 64 L-9.0wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-19.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x89cb…574cbacked Yes40c135$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$819941.4%41 W · 58 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xedf4…00fbbacked Yes40c134$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.43033.3%10 W · 20 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick25cpaid+28.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xedbd…06c9backed Yes39c128.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.214841.7%20 W · 28 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1166…a8e1backed Yes40c125$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$759736.1%35 W · 62 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-6.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8784…f1aebacked Yes40c125$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$759151.6%47 W · 44 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xeaf6…8e9abacked No27c125$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.7511227.7%31 W · 81 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+17.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a6a…535fbacked Yes40c125$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$752638.5%10 W · 16 L-2.8wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf241…79cebacked Yes40c125$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$751154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xced0…c680backed Yes38c118.42$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.423148.4%15 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7600…49e5backed Yes40c112.5$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.59949.5%49 W · 50 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85c3…8e02backed Yes40c109.35$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.611100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcba6…bb05backed No61c108.53$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.1517549.1%86 W · 89 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes38c105.26$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.2642240.3%170 W · 252 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7541…09d1backed Yes40c100.64$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.644151.2%21 W · 20 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed No59c100$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.3235661.2%218 W · 138 L+14.0wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4dc4…306fbacked Yes39c100$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$616841.2%28 W · 40 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+14.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e24…cea8backed Yes37c100$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$631533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-38.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7dd1…009bbacked Yes38c100$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$621100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x424d…c756backed Yes40c100$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60825%2 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-43.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4731…cba8backed Yes36c100$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$643129%9 W · 22 L-3.4wins-0.11per pick40cpaid-24.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.