Premier League · resolved market
Will Wolves win on 2025-10-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb9904b03747bbf884d4a8f90426a8fa4849819fce4f707839902ec90c5e13f90
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,078
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,474
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,078 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Yes | 13c | 5,269$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 30c | 5,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 356 | 52.8%188 W · 168 L | +15.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc478…d2e2backed No | 71c | 4,201$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,201.06 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 73c | 3,925$2,852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,073.08 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Yes | 29c | 2,500$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$724.99 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -5.0wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 70c | 2,219$1,549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670.25 | 316 | 55.1%174 W · 142 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Yes | 16c | 2,069$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.08 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 28c | 1,859$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.62 | 178 | 33.7%60 W · 118 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3d…742fbacked Yes | 31c | 1,591$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.88 | 189 | 29.1%55 W · 134 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…eb64backed No | 71c | 1,408$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.45 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad46…65a7backed No | 71c | 1,402$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.08 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf341…d026backed Yes | 30c | 1,312$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 69c | 1,284$891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.43 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 25c | 1,053$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.72 | 272 | 35.7%97 W · 175 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Yes | 29c | 990.03$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.11 | 92 | 63%58 W · 34 L | +9.7wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +28%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Yes | 30c | 656.24$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 87 | 36.8%32 W · 55 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d03…369abacked No | 71c | 600$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked No | 70c | 600$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4aae…d563backed No | 71c | 500$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf6…8e9abacked Yes | 24c | 500$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 112 | 27.7%31 W · 81 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa4…17c0backed No | 68c | 500$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 69 | 63.8%44 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d4…962dbacked No | 71c | 492.96$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.96 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd66f…a19bbacked No | 71c | 325$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.5 | 420 | 43.8%184 W · 236 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8485…c13ebacked No | 71c | 306$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.79 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 30c | 244$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.2 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 30c | 240.22$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.12 | 689 | 42.2%291 W · 398 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Yes | 29c | 200$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 118 | 28%33 W · 85 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed No | 73c | 200$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 306 | 66%202 W · 104 L | +57.3wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked No | 69c | 200$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 310 | 53.2%165 W · 145 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked Yes | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 255 | 45.5%116 W · 139 L | -18.1wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 66c | 190$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.6 | 515 | 42.5%219 W · 296 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Yes | 30c | 170$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 24c | 166.02$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.61 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf778…2f09backed Yes | 30c | 165$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -3.7wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -49%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x350d…b898backed Yes | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed No | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 194 | 60.3%117 W · 77 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…ef6abacked Yes | 32c | 133.47$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.71 | 255 | 32.9%84 W · 171 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…a656backed Yes | 30c | 124.71$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.41 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed No | 80c | 112.5$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 280 | 70%196 W · 84 L | +49.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 70c | 112$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 356 | 61.2%218 W · 138 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f9…86ecbacked Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 97 | 39.2%38 W · 59 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a27…45babacked No | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c08…5c69backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…009fbacked No | 69c | 99.99$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 136 | 56.6%77 W · 59 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 27c | 95.84$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.88 | 262 | 29.8%78 W · 184 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 28c | 87$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.36 | 228 | 34.2%78 W · 150 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed No | 69c | 82.5$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.58 | 253 | 29.2%74 W · 179 L | +11.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb02a…4372backed Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ba…960fbacked No | 70c | 57.14$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.14 | 155 | 58.1%90 W · 65 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa67e…3528backed Yes | 31c | 56.87$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ac…4bdabacked No | 70c | 55.79$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.74 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +71.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50f7…7272backed No | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 87 | 63.2%55 W · 32 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Yes | 30c | 49.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -6.0wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 69c | 42.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.13 | 520 | 60.4%314 W · 206 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a0…4e2fbacked No | 70c | 42.61$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc85f…15f8backed No | 70c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.1 | 115 | 57.4%66 W · 49 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed No | 69c | 38.92$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa40f…2fa3backed No | 70c | 36.83$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.05 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8432…2fd5backed Yes | 31c | 36.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…e041backed No | 70c | 35.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -8.9wins | -0.16per pick | 58cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcf8f…fab4backed Yes | 32c | 35.31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea48…2c08backed No | 70c | 34.29$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.29 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02ac…33b2backed No | 70c | 30.36$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…7724backed No | 70c | 29.36$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2db8…e042backed No | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | -5.5wins | -0.10per pick | 62cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9155…9a1cbacked No | 70c | 25.71$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.71 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc593…17d2backed No | 71c | 21.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b2…16bcbacked No | 71c | 21.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked No | 68c | 18.75$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 179 | 58.1%104 W · 75 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Wolves win on 2025-10-18?this page
- Will Sunderland AFC vs. Wolves end in a draw?No won
- Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-10-18?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.