TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0f37…1edc

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
120
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Premier League, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 56 out of 100; worst Champions League at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST5637.5%21 W · 35 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick30cpaid+16%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 56 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nottingham Forest FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$225
Wolves vs. Manchester United: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+75.4%+$26.4
Will Leeds United win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Leeds United vs. Liverpool end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+300%+$150
Will Newcastle vs. Tottenham end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+300%+$141
Will Fulham win on 2025-12-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Chelsea vs. Arsenal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+194.1%+$97.06
Will Arsenal win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Chelsea win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Fulham win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+233.3%+$58.33
Will Newcastle win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+163.2%+$40.79
Will Tottenham win on 2025-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$340Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$340
Will Arsenal vs. Tottenham end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$240
Will Leeds United vs. Aston Villa end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Will Manchester City win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Will Brentford win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+410.3%+$820.68
Will Liverpool vs. Nottingham Forest end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will West Ham win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Bournemouth vs. West Ham end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+316.7%+$316.67
Will Manchester City win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+96.1%+$98
Will Brentford win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+212.5%+$212.5
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$150
Will Arsenal win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$321Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$321.09
Will Sunderland AFC vs. Arsenal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+354.5%+$354.55
Showing 25 of 56 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST4022.5%9 W · 31 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-42.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 40 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SSC Napoli win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Villarreal CF vs. FC København end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. AFC Ajax end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$26
Will FC Internazionale Milano vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$24
Will FC Barcelona vs. Eintracht Frankfurt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$24
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. SK Slavia Praha end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$14
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+46%+$110.42
Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+195.4%+$166.07
Will FC Bayern München vs. Sporting CP end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Internazionale Milano end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Club Brugge KV win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Sporting CP vs. Club Brugge KV end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+143.9%+$71.95
Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Liverpool FC vs. PSV end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+222.6%+$222.58
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Showing 25 of 40 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Oct 23, 2025, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick33cpaid-40.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST520%1 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick13cpaid-49.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Nov 18, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-16.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Oct 26, 2025, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 23, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-46.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Grizzlies vs. Mavericks: O/U 226.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Wizards vs. Bullsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Suns vs. Netsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$61.29
All 3 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Oct 20, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Falcons vs. 49ersbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$305Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$304.5
Giants vs. Broncosbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$87.42
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.