TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Will FC Red Bull Salzburg win on 2025-10-23?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$91,234
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$95,419

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $91,234 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes47c20,000$9,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,40021237.3%79 W · 133 L-11.1wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-23%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed No53c19,556$10,365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,191.59961.6%61 W · 38 L+7.6wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+14.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc12b…1652backed Yes48c13,881$6,605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,605.3910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No76c9,522$7,199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,323.023,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No52c8,752$4,551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,200.9733055.2%182 W · 148 L+21.0wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+9.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes6c7,476$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480.988345.8%38 W · 45 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb44e…c2c6backed Yes44c5,000$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,200955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick38cpaid+44.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x11be…cbabbacked No58c5,000$2,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,100742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-24.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed No57c2,999$1,701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,297.822259.1%13 W · 9 L+4.6wins+0.21per pick38cpaid+115.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xade8…b0bdbacked No43c2,418$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,367.734165.9%27 W · 14 L+3.8wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+36%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed No53c2,107$1,112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$994.4524557.6%141 W · 104 L+11.1wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked Yes49c1,615$791 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$791.337848.7%38 W · 40 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2232…f6fabacked Yes63c1,605$1,017 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,017.420%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes43c1,500$641 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64113327.8%37 W · 96 L+0.1wins0.00per pick28cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Yes46c1,356$624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$623.56250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+72.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked No50c1,156$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$576.022339.1%9 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-28.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f37…1edcbacked Yes46c1,096$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick33cpaid-40.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xde91…f20abacked No57c999.46$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.77742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes43c859.09$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.4115947.8%76 W · 83 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb96c…6cc6backed No56c775$434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3412166.7%14 W · 7 L+3.1wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+19.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2699…29f6backed No55c743.16$409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.424746.8%22 W · 25 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e49…63f2backed No54c730.04$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.8219027.4%52 W · 138 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+17.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d7b…6e23backed Yes44c681.82$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-14.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed No48c627.52$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.238755.2%48 W · 39 L+7.3wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+18.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked No55c600$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2706949.3%34 W · 35 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3e2…1026backed Yes67c550.1$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.17per pick37cpaid+53.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd14a…e912backed No54c516$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2382352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2619…9f4ebacked Yes48c485$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.84959.2%29 W · 20 L+5.6wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+40.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xfa65…f481backed Yes44c454.55$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20020%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Yes44c454.55$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004141.5%17 W · 24 L+0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes28c400.17$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.812,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No56c320$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.842844.9%192 W · 236 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc648…259cbacked Yes48c300$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1441442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbf6…513abacked Yes48c300$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1445253.8%28 W · 24 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd82a…5fcfbacked No33c299.99$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.994751.1%24 W · 23 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc805…760dbacked No57c280$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1190…936abacked Yes43c280$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1909…c3c6backed Yes68c271.99$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.7910%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x89de…9bc9backed Yes8c264.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20100%0 W · 10 L-2.8wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes47c210.97$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10027437.2%102 W · 172 L-1.2wins0.00per pick38cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd410…3a1bbacked Yes44c199.99$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$889852%51 W · 47 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad28…770cbacked Yes46c160$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.62630.8%8 W · 18 L-4.9wins-0.19per pick50cpaid-40.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x5422…a780backed Yes68c116.07$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.932133.3%7 W · 14 L-2.7wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-29.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1b2c…5e10backed Yes44c113.64$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x33f8…984fbacked Yes43c111.63$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa384…2d8ebacked Yes46c108.7$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-22.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb61…bd7fbacked Yes48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.27per pick50cpaid-64.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yes43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$438456%47 W · 37 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b3b…a2d3backed Yes44c100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+45.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b1d…6a8bbacked Yes46c86.96$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403158.1%18 W · 13 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x588d…099abacked Yes66c86.95$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.395841.4%24 W · 34 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x346e…1eb7backed Yes44c75$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331957.9%11 W · 8 L+2.1wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+26.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4359…1260backed Yes44c70.45$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312050%10 W · 10 L-2.4wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-26%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbed1…331bbacked Yes46c69.57$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked Yes43c68.89$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.8515151%77 W · 74 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc5b…f102backed Yes44c63.64$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284660.9%28 W · 18 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0da5…5adfbacked Yes48c62.5$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301735.3%6 W · 11 L-3.6wins-0.21per pick57cpaid-19.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x23de…05c1backed Yes48c62.5$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301566.7%10 W · 5 L+4.5wins+0.30per pick37cpaid+104.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x17ae…ccf1backed Yes44c59.09$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261850%9 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-13.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5913…3bbebacked Yes68c58.82$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010761.7%66 W · 41 L+7.0wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+10.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8cae…b135backed Yes46c57.39$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.4560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+26.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0909…91cabacked Yes47c53.62$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253171%22 W · 9 L+4.9wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+21.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdaf9…1646backed Yes47c51.06$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241631.3%5 W · 11 L-3.2wins-0.20per pick51cpaid-47%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes43c50.06$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.5374155.9%414 W · 327 L+19.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbbe8…0fedbacked No55c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.6320042%84 W · 116 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1574…bfd9backed Yes44c45.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+17.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x75d3…1b1ebacked Yes44c45.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83ab…2078backed Yes44c45.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x814d…7732backed Yes44c45.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4b55…dfeebacked Yes44c45.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-27.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc21e…94b2backed Yes46c43.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d94…5d78backed Yes48c41.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203844.7%17 W · 21 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e7e…425ebacked Yes48c41.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204946.9%23 W · 26 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb78…cff7backed Yes48c41.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-67.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4244…6221backed Yes43c40.67$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.4930%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x54f2…d0e3backed Yes43c39$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.77850%4 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+37.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f1a…7c47backed No54c37.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.048453.6%45 W · 39 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x347a…83e3backed No57c35.09$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.095135.3%18 W · 33 L-3.9wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-26.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcedc…1603backed Yes44c35$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.4616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.8wins-0.47per pick63cpaid-75.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1d85…228ebacked Yes46c32.61$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15875%6 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+34.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x55fb…4ec4backed Yes46c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.84124.4%10 W · 31 L+0.2wins0.00per pick24cpaid+16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7049…2d56backed Yes68c29.41$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-25.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x624a…287cbacked Yes44c27$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.88366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbcb1…6240backed Yes48c25$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.