TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-11-09?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$200,033
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$201,033

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $200,033 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 186 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes27c60,000$16,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,299.9931947.6%152 W · 167 L+10.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Yes41c30,074$12,459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,459.3320039.5%79 W · 121 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed No72c29,892$21,408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,483.1828355.5%157 W · 126 L+17.4wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+14.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcfda…bedebacked No60c23,200$13,932 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,267.815349.1%26 W · 27 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No71c22,461$15,899 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,562.116,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3eac…4c8cbacked No60c17,350$10,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,939.9910849.1%53 W · 55 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed No70c15,787$10,981 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,805.5921154.5%115 W · 96 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed No65c9,671$6,326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,345.4635758%207 W · 150 L+12.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd735…968ebacked Yes33c7,739$2,571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,571650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No58c5,000$2,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,10079639.6%315 W · 481 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d0f…a318backed Yes12c5,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60011029.1%32 W · 78 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes43c4,008$1,706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,705.931,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked No67c3,777$2,531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,246.4116851.2%86 W · 82 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes43c3,373$1,444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,444.0227235.7%97 W · 175 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed Yes13c3,119$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.7225329.2%74 W · 179 L+11.3wins+0.04per pick25cpaid+7.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x20da…e704backed Yes17c2,312$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3939111%10 W · 81 L-7.4wins-0.08per pick19cpaid-46%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked Yes40c2,239$885 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$885.1531655.1%174 W · 142 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c1c…a0a4backed Yes43c2,141$922 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$921.894456.8%25 W · 19 L+3.4wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+14%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed No60c2,000$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80032158.9%189 W · 132 L+13.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No58c2,000$1,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84046651.9%242 W · 224 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5eb0…5012backed Yes42c2,000$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84019729.4%58 W · 139 L-9.6wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-23%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked No59c1,855$1,095 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$760.6230851.3%158 W · 150 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed Yes40c1,538$615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$615.079450%47 W · 47 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Yes29c1,430$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41027024.8%67 W · 203 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-13.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6bd…270cbacked Yes41c1,300$533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533.2933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9376…c075backed Yes41c1,220$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004050%20 W · 20 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5992…40bfbacked Yes1c1,196$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.823537.1%13 W · 22 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes24c1,036$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.014,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1208…1feabacked Yes42c999.98$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.995160.8%31 W · 20 L+6.0wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+25.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4021…956abacked Yes43c930.23$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4005742.1%24 W · 33 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8dcf…146ebacked Yes41c853.66$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3508243.9%36 W · 46 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa1d7…a70cbacked No59c847.46$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.469537.9%36 W · 59 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No60c763.45$458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.571,00646.6%469 W · 537 L-20.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0974…003dbacked No61c654.59$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.292733.3%9 W · 18 L-3.9wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-46.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed No59c600$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24640953.3%218 W · 191 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes41c577$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.571,20450.7%610 W · 594 L+1.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f37…1edcbacked Yes29c517.24$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1505637.5%21 W · 35 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick30cpaid+16%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Yes41c487.8$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20015757.3%90 W · 67 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3013…e5b2backed Yes41c483.88$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.398842%37 W · 51 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No65c478.29$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.381,16357.4%667 W · 496 L+40.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd538…317cbacked Yes43c465.12$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20022125.8%57 W · 164 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick25cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1fb0…4a73backed Yes43c465$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa43…3215backed Yes41c414.63$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1702556%14 W · 11 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+44%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1946…4959backed No58c390$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe75f…2687backed Yes44c389.31$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1701729.4%5 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a7c…ff74backed Yes43c387$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.4110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed No57c380$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.626247.7%125 W · 137 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x27df…e67cbacked Yes41c365.85$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501973.7%14 W · 5 L+4.1wins+0.22per pick52cpaid+42.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked No57c358.43$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.169263%58 W · 34 L+9.7wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+28%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe931…138bbacked Yes44c318.18$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1402638.5%10 W · 16 L-2.8wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-31.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No58c300$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1261,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Yes42c300$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12621656.9%123 W · 93 L+14.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked Yes30c300$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9044036.8%162 W · 278 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bf4…952ebacked Yes43c300$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1294447.7%21 W · 23 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-15.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed No57c297.65$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.295240.4%21 W · 31 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+11.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefe7…0cdfbacked Yes35c287.5$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.965143.1%22 W · 29 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No60c264$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.9283459.4%495 W · 339 L+25.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4cb9…3783backed No60c250$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1002259.1%13 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7aba…7442backed Yes40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012545.6%57 W · 68 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xca38…460bbacked Yes40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003935.9%14 W · 25 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-24%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b5f…1a23backed Yes43c246.33$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.92540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick60cpaid-48%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd9…b1b1backed Yes41c243.9$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005641.1%23 W · 33 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2453…28e2backed Yes43c240$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.225637.9%97 W · 159 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd3d…742fbacked Yes44c232.91$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.4518929.1%55 W · 134 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a2d…6db9backed Yes43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015543.9%68 W · 87 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe96c…3c52backed Yes43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+19.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaf75…7623backed Yes11c225.78$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.523141.9%13 W · 18 L-4.5wins-0.15per pick57cpaid-37.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbbe8…0fedbacked No71c213.83$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.2425545.5%116 W · 139 L-18.1wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-21.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Yes43c200$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8632736.4%119 W · 208 L-21.2wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-19.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8059…c043backed Yes44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8810545.7%48 W · 57 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa7f9…86ecbacked Yes42c199.99$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.999739.2%38 W · 59 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+12.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4341…6451backed Yes40c187.5$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$754341.9%18 W · 25 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf1dc…5460backed Yes23c180$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.26729.9%20 W · 47 L-7.8wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-40.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1d6c…7b9abacked Yes41c171.15$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.179738.1%37 W · 60 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes43c169.77$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$737443.2%32 W · 42 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed No62c169$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.2239561.3%242 W · 153 L-21.3wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-7.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x05ec…7158backed Yes12c165$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.81030%3 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d28…932abacked Yes41c160$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.84953.1%26 W · 23 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x11f0…890dbacked Yes40c153.17$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6218052.2%94 W · 86 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61e1…adf1backed Yes33c152.12$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503240.6%13 W · 19 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4108…a80dbacked Yes41c150.02$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.763040%12 W · 18 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No79c145.94$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.7957744.4%256 W · 321 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7cff…6471backed Yes43c140$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.25633.9%19 W · 37 L-6.4wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-24.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc8b4…1081backed Yes36c138.89$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507755.8%43 W · 34 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd58b…48e8backed No57c130$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.91163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+35.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xac70…d0e7backed Yes40c125$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501855.6%10 W · 8 L+2.9wins+0.16per pick39cpaid+65.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x65ec…8e4bbacked Yes40c125$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506942%29 W · 40 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+12.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb3…f37fbacked No57c124$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.3215764.3%101 W · 56 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x677e…5072backed Yes41c121.95$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5014550.3%73 W · 72 L-8.5wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-11.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdf64…92bdbacked Yes42c120.05$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507949.4%39 W · 40 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xced3…ce6bbacked Yes42c119.05$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+58.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x595f…9d4dbacked Yes43c116.28$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013445.5%61 W · 73 L-8.0wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-19.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1166…a8e1backed Yes43c116.23$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509736.1%35 W · 62 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-6.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1947…94bcbacked No60c116.07$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.0729458.2%171 W · 123 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce3f…67c9backed Yes13c111.24$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154228.6%12 W · 30 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd87…01a9backed Yes43c106.98$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$463330.3%10 W · 23 L-4.9wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-35.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x82c2…2bb3backed Yes41c105.63$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.31728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84b2…f1dabacked Yes44c102.27$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4510139.6%40 W · 61 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-19.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x02d7…2d86backed No58c100.09$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.09540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-28.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03de…4bfdbacked Yes43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433145.2%14 W · 17 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.