Premier League · resolved market
Will Brighton win on 2025-11-09?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x57cf06341faa59cf6b675df4c714fab4e2ac8b200aaaac23d735e004addd7c1c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,776
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,051
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,776 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0d0f…a318backed Yes | 10c | 5,943$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.98 | 110 | 29.1%32 W · 78 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Yes | 9c | 4,097$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.85 | 253 | 29.2%74 W · 179 L | +11.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 31c | 3,050$946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$945.5 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Yes | 32c | 2,496$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798.72 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | +7.2wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 70c | 2,313$1,616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696.92 | 316 | 55.1%174 W · 142 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked No | 69c | 1,499$1,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.69 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 69c | 1,037$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.5 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 78c | 878.76$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.6 | 292 | 53.4%156 W · 136 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +30%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4500…e6e1backed Yes | 8c | 755$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb49…43febacked No | 71c | 703.99$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.16 | 79 | 63.3%50 W · 29 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 16c | 689.91$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.8 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 32c | 500$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 449 | 39.6%178 W · 271 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 270 | 24.8%67 W · 203 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf075…6e4abacked Yes | 30c | 466.99$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7aba…7442backed Yes | 34c | 441.18$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 68c | 398.54$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.81 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed No | 69c | 380$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Yes | 29c | 379.09$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.94 | 189 | 58.7%111 W · 78 L | +12.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 31c | 356$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.36 | 272 | 35.7%97 W · 175 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4702…457fbacked No | 71c | 350$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.5 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15ba…f30dbacked Yes | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 152 | 45.4%69 W · 83 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15df…9465backed Yes | 32c | 309.38$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 30c | 300$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1,220 | 49.8%607 W · 613 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked No | 70c | 300$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 216 | 56.9%123 W · 93 L | +14.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x931f…d15dbacked No | 71c | 281.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.69 | 110 | 52.7%58 W · 52 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9493…7988backed Yes | 35c | 270$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.5 | 208 | 40.9%85 W · 123 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1dc…5460backed Yes | 19c | 250$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 67 | 29.9%20 W · 47 L | -7.8wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 30c | 225.9$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.77 | 262 | 29.8%78 W · 184 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked No | 71c | 211.27$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.27 | 118 | 55.1%65 W · 53 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…93d7backed Yes | 31c | 210$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.1 | 86 | 32.6%28 W · 58 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1c…a0a4backed No | 70c | 207$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.17 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 67c | 191.69$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.1 | 413 | 44.8%185 W · 228 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b35…a749backed Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 126 | 23%29 W · 97 L | -11.6wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x52b6…b02ebacked Yes | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…995abacked Yes | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x857b…8eeebacked Yes | 31c | 135.48$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 74 | 29.7%22 W · 52 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…8502backed Yes | 31c | 131.43$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.69 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc3…f957backed Yes | 30c | 115.71$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb5…9846backed Yes | 31c | 113.45$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 75 | 65.3%49 W · 26 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Yes | 32c | 110.03$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 297 | 35.4%105 W · 192 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 282 | 46.1%130 W · 152 L | -12.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf70…7d5fbacked Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 253 | 39.1%99 W · 154 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 177 | 48%85 W · 92 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Yes | 29c | 83.97$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.35 | 92 | 63%58 W · 34 L | +9.7wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +28%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9006…385abacked No | 71c | 82.3$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.87 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x985c…e5d2backed Yes | 32c | 75$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 71 | 36.6%26 W · 45 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd774…e11fbacked Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -4.8wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Yes | 35c | 69$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.15 | 395 | 61.3%242 W · 153 L | -21.3wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1468…2ca9backed Yes | 32c | 65.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.12 | 81 | 22.2%18 W · 63 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x922d…f049backed Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +20%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3185…937abacked Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85dc…a6b7backed No | 69c | 60.87$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.87 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes | 24c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 178 | 49.4%88 W · 90 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70b0…b71fbacked Yes | 19c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 170 | 17.6%30 W · 140 L | -27.5wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked No | 68c | 58.82$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.82 | 233 | 50.2%117 W · 116 L | -14.9wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c8…1790backed Yes | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d55…1e94backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 119 | 23.5%28 W · 91 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed No | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Yes | 30c | 47$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.16 | 200 | 39.5%79 W · 121 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7082backed No | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 142 | 52.8%75 W · 67 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed No | 69c | 40.58$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.58 | 194 | 60.3%117 W · 77 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5119…a581backed Yes | 31c | 35.41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a2…7f83backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80fe…290cbacked No | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 77 | 40.3%31 W · 46 L | -11.1wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x428b…d8aebacked No | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 72cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed No | 69c | 26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.95 | 152 | 38.8%59 W · 93 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Brighton win on 2025-11-09?this page
- Will Crystal Palace vs. Brighton end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-11-09?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.