Premier League · resolved market
Will Crystal Palace vs. Brighton end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe51895b468415d07a6dbaf1fdcdbd4bc061345bdbbadb529e3a9c7df5f842d2a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,814
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $60,541
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,814 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 29c | 7,895$2,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,607.26 | 386 | 49%189 W · 197 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 70c | 7,756$5,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,405.53 | 316 | 55.1%174 W · 142 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 71c | 7,000$4,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,970 | 356 | 52.8%188 W · 168 L | +15.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Yes | 28c | 5,583$1,563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,019.59 | 200 | 39.5%79 W · 121 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 17c | 5,103$872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$872.08 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecc0…e50ebacked Yes | 29c | 3,736$1,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,652.71 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed No | 25c | 3,153$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790.43 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked No | 72c | 2,257$1,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,625.11 | 97 | 63.9%62 W · 35 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 71c | 1,888$1,341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,340.74 | 466 | 51.9%242 W · 224 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed No | 8c | 1,622$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.72 | 253 | 29.2%74 W · 179 L | +11.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Yes | 28c | 1,429$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,028.57 | 87 | 36.8%32 W · 55 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cea…2d58backed Yes | 71c | 1,409$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.63 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.29per pick | 61cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked No | 61c | 823.57$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.38 | 168 | 51.2%86 W · 82 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde44…cb51backed Yes | 39c | 717.95$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.95 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +33%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf75…7623backed No | 40c | 483.67$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.28 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -4.5wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 28c | 464.29$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.29 | 270 | 24.8%67 W · 203 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf536…e40cbacked Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.14 | 172 | 34.9%60 W · 112 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…af4bbacked Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.14 | 194 | 26.3%51 W · 143 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3940…9e72backed Yes | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.83 | 155 | 34.8%54 W · 101 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 197 | 32.5%64 W · 133 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5744…9d5dbacked Yes | 28c | 330.36$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.86 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 30c | 300$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 75c | 299.99$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.75 | 614 | 41.2%253 W · 361 L | -27.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 73c | 273.97$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 291 | 58.4%170 W · 121 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85e2…0980backed Yes | 59c | 269.8$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.8 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0432…1660backed Yes | 65c | 260.43$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.16 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 29c | 250$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.5 | 272 | 35.7%97 W · 175 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 32c | 224.99$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 577 | 44.4%256 W · 321 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 19c | 223.34$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.4 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc76…f087backed Yes | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 42c | 187$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.54 | 255 | 45.5%116 W · 139 L | -18.1wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8adb…50bcbacked Yes | 30c | 177.04$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -21%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61e1…adf1backed Yes | 28c | 160.71$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.71 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 51c | 156.52$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.24 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe96c…3c52backed Yes | 28c | 142.86$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.86 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf0b…7cccbacked Yes | 39c | 115.64$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.54 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Yes | 29c | 114.93$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.6 | 243 | 49%119 W · 124 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480e…3e38backed Yes | 29c | 103.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.57 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +7.1wins | +0.17per pick | 38cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x03de…4bfdbacked No | 72c | 100$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb251…6f5bbacked Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 207 | 50.2%104 W · 103 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 70c | 98.99$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.89 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked No | 72c | 96.43$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.43 | 92 | 63%58 W · 34 L | +9.7wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +28%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 67c | 74.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.25 | 227 | 64.8%147 W · 80 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bda…1e11backed Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.43 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2856…f846backed Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.43 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.97 | 422 | 40.3%170 W · 252 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67bc…4d94backed Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.97 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b2…fcd6backed Yes | 68c | 64.56$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.66 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe327…8ebcbacked Yes | 39c | 64.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.1 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1c…a0a4backed Yes | 28c | 54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.88 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd63c…d8c1backed Yes | 76c | 52.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf18…7a1abacked Yes | 28c | 42.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b68…0060backed Yes | 29c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.4 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x695a…d3d6backed Yes | 29c | 37.93$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.93 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.16per pick | 43cpaid | +34%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 42c | 35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 68c | 33$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.63 | 282 | 46.1%130 W · 152 L | -12.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf84…4ab2backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad4a…ddb8backed Yes | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 61cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed No | 55c | 24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3600…606fbacked Yes | 74c | 20.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.31 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -73%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c43…b289backed Yes | 79c | 17.42$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.66 | 121 | 49.6%60 W · 61 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +95.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xffd1…8f31backed Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x877e…d958backed No | 73c | 14.38$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc6…79d5backed Yes | 80c | 13.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.75 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Crystal Palace vs. Brighton end in a draw?this page
- Will Brighton win on 2025-11-09?No won
- Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-11-09?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.