NFL · resolved market
Giants vs. Broncos
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdff0b3538e08b1f3fd036250b7bb1500ccd1fc4ee026477d0932bff20c8fbc31
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Broncosof Giants, Broncos
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,171,107
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,401,133
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,171,107 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 707 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Giants | 27c | 330,135$90,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90,023.6 | 477 | 38.6%184 W · 293 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa987…141dbacked Broncos | 76c | 319,011$243,522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75,489.04 | 100 | 61%61 W · 39 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Giants | 63c | 314,352$199,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199,570.37 | 300 | 43.7%131 W · 169 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Broncos | 77c | 218,368$169,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49,166.01 | 335 | 53.4%179 W · 156 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Giants | 23c | 133,902$31,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,193.68 | 229 | 50.2%115 W · 114 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee50…7ed6backed Broncos | 44c | 108,612$47,659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60,952.69 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…01b4backed Giants | 23c | 100,000$23,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,999.99 | 168 | 36.9%62 W · 106 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…936fbacked Giants | 22c | 76,936$16,734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,733.99 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Broncos | 78c | 67,238$52,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,792.27 | 207 | 55.1%114 W · 93 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d3b…c46bbacked Giants | 25c | 61,722$15,431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,430.57 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Broncos | 76c | 57,886$44,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,694.46 | 259 | 56.8%147 W · 112 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Giants | 26c | 55,847$14,617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,616.72 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Broncos | 75c | 52,169$39,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,955.15 | 244 | 56.6%138 W · 106 L | +17.3wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc703…c3d5backed Broncos | 47c | 46,209$21,790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,418.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa925…e1c8backed Broncos | 30c | 46,183$13,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,352.99 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Broncos | 44c | 45,285$19,748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,536.27 | 99 | 44.4%44 W · 55 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31c5…ede4backed Broncos | 77c | 45,157$34,771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,386.13 | 165 | 45.5%75 W · 90 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Broncos | 61c | 38,143$23,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,731.13 | 318 | 48.1%153 W · 165 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed Giants | 22c | 35,000$7,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,700 | 123 | 52.8%65 W · 58 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Broncos | 29c | 35,000$10,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,851.28 | 136 | 54.4%74 W · 62 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9249…4f16backed Broncos | 74c | 34,425$25,474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,950.42 | 176 | 47.7%84 W · 92 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Giants | 22c | 32,875$7,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,361.35 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Broncos | 69c | 30,085$20,797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,288.3 | 611 | 48.6%297 W · 314 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Giants | 72c | 30,000$21,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,600 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Giants | 22c | 30,000$6,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,599.94 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa21…1438backed Giants | 53c | 28,527$15,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,000 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Broncos | 29c | 27,893$8,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,671.91 | 143 | 51%73 W · 70 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Broncos | 65c | 27,191$17,759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,431.92 | 446 | 52.9%236 W · 210 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…c3a6backed Broncos | 78c | 26,000$20,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,720 | 39 | 79.5%31 W · 8 L | +7.2wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Broncos | 76c | 25,000$19,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,000 | 184 | 35.9%66 W · 118 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Giants | 72c | 25,000$18,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,000 | 138 | 43.5%60 W · 78 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Broncos | 48c | 24,670$11,806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,863.81 | 419 | 47.3%198 W · 221 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Broncos | 76c | 23,399$17,831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,567.81 | 418 | 51.9%217 W · 201 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…0772backed Broncos | 78c | 23,001$17,851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,149.82 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b17…abcdbacked Giants | 70c | 21,406$14,883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,883 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Broncos | 75c | 20,500$15,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,124.95 | 143 | 49%70 W · 73 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b1…a75ebacked Giants | 24c | 20,231$4,926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,925.74 | 55 | 27.3%15 W · 40 L | -6.2wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e1…ee5abacked Giants | 0c | 19,323$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08b6…b789backed Giants | 22c | 17,900$4,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,019 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked Broncos | 47c | 17,682$8,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,349.26 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…cdaabacked Broncos | 75c | 15,666$11,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,915.51 | 116 | 49.1%57 W · 59 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Giants | 22c | 15,550$3,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,385.48 | 143 | 42%60 W · 83 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…ceb2backed Giants | 74c | 14,909$11,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,098.94 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -67.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Broncos | 59c | 13,000$7,637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,363.69 | 362 | 46.7%169 W · 193 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x357e…2a0cbacked Giants | 22c | 13,000$2,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,860 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Giants | 21c | 12,680$2,663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,662.84 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00d6…aa44backed Giants | 22c | 12,099$2,662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,661.79 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2b…8e50backed Giants | 26c | 11,832$3,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,044.35 | 100 | 26%26 W · 74 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae0f…f647backed Broncos | 53c | 11,820$6,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,526.61 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Broncos | 75c | 11,796$8,867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,929.17 | 318 | 54.7%174 W · 144 L | +16.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb45d…a406backed Broncos | 35c | 11,403$3,941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,462.56 | 121 | 38.8%47 W · 74 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Giants | 67c | 11,362$7,585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,584.54 | 600 | 49.3%296 W · 304 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Giants | 23c | 10,870$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 131 | 42%55 W · 76 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6edc…18cebacked Giants | 26c | 10,239$2,662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,662.05 | 175 | 48%84 W · 91 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe7…2f3cbacked Broncos | 78c | 10,000$7,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,200 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Giants | 22c | 10,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Broncos | 78c | 9,843$7,652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,190.96 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…bdafbacked Broncos | 69c | 9,330$6,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,882.02 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Broncos | 76c | 9,164$6,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,199.43 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +4.2wins | +0.27per pick | 55cpaid | +147.6%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5abb…fa21backed Giants | 24c | 8,700$2,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,088 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Giants | 23c | 8,500$1,955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,954.99 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc874…b3fdbacked Giants | 24c | 7,700$1,848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,848 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…5432backed Giants | 25c | 7,598$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,899.5 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Giants | 70c | 7,471$5,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,214.61 | 192 | 35.4%68 W · 124 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -35%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48f9…8aa2backed Giants | 24c | 7,000$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,680 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…5696backed Broncos | 36c | 6,788$2,474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,313.64 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 44cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Giants | 65c | 6,604$4,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,292.44 | 251 | 37.5%94 W · 157 L | -18.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Broncos | 1c | 6,372$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,316.33 | 148 | 6.8%10 W · 138 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 2cpaid | +296.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Giants | 49c | 6,261$3,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,062.2 | 310 | 56.8%176 W · 134 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8180…f4dabacked Giants | 24c | 6,250$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Broncos | 52c | 6,000$3,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,860.08 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Broncos | 77c | 6,000$4,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380 | 544 | 51.7%281 W · 263 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7197…14c8backed Giants | 43c | 5,808$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -4.4wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd547…8a9fbacked Giants | 23c | 5,740$1,339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,339.2 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Broncos | 68c | 5,403$3,683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,720.08 | 281 | 51.6%145 W · 136 L | +20.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7678…e5f0backed Giants | 22c | 5,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8198…e96ebacked Giants | 21c | 5,000$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea3e…b956backed Giants | 25c | 5,000$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,249.99 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Broncos | 1c | 4,749$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,713.76 | 112 | 8%9 W · 103 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | +413.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Broncos | 28c | 4,456$1,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,208.14 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd2…6456backed Giants | 23c | 4,450$1,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,023.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae76…dce5backed Broncos | 76c | 4,438$3,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060.37 | 273 | 39.2%107 W · 166 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b2…d101backed Broncos | 78c | 4,327$3,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$951.46 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | +6.4wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x759b…2ab3backed Giants | 24c | 4,167$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +4.4wins | +0.20per pick | 39cpaid | +246.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0103…489cbacked Giants | 74c | 4,036$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9733…f034backed Giants | 22c | 4,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 171 | 44.4%76 W · 95 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c65…5915backed Broncos | 78c | 4,000$3,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Giants | 22c | 4,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 513 | 52.2%268 W · 245 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d6e…2bfebacked Broncos | 77c | 3,900$3,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$897 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +67%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75e0…fe50backed Broncos | 33c | 3,864$1,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,588.56 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | +7.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca4b…2410backed Broncos | 77c | 3,600$2,772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$828 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Broncos | 77c | 3,546$2,748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$797.97 | 206 | 61.2%126 W · 80 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…9054backed Broncos | 77c | 3,521$2,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795.5 | 313 | 50.2%157 W · 156 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb61…58ffbacked Broncos | 33c | 3,499$1,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,346.05 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -4.2wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Broncos | 77c | 3,470$2,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790.01 | 412 | 48.5%200 W · 212 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14cf…0856backed Giants | 26c | 3,462$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Broncos | 53c | 3,447$1,838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,609.17 | 502 | 42.4%213 W · 289 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x265e…dcb1backed Broncos | 77c | 3,400$2,618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Broncos | 65c | 3,343$2,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,165.62 | 276 | 44.2%122 W · 154 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc282…6b6abacked Broncos | 77c | 3,300$2,541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 62cpaid | +73.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Giants vs. Broncosthis page
- Giants vs. Broncos: O/U 39.5Over won
- Giants vs. Broncos: O/U 40.5Over won
- Giants vs. Broncos: O/U 41.5Over won
- Spread: Broncos (-6.5)Giants won
- Spread: Broncos (-7.5)Giants won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.