NFL · resolved market
Spread: Broncos (-7.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5f955e06a4229d6518caab73b444f3b9334b80f819d95203b5b06ce6217ca0e6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Giantsof Broncos, Giants
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $172,458
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $173,933
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $172,458 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Broncos | 46c | 51,156$23,534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,534.28 | 418 | 51.9%217 W · 201 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d3b…c46bbacked Giants | 54c | 50,000$27,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,000 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Broncos | 49c | 35,000$17,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,099.99 | 136 | 54.4%74 W · 62 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Giants | 52c | 19,183$9,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,207.8 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Broncos | 52c | 11,064$5,792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,792.18 | 358 | 48.6%174 W · 184 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…cdaabacked Broncos | 50c | 10,000$5,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,039.99 | 116 | 49.1%57 W · 59 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Giants | 50c | 9,288$4,644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,643.79 | 99 | 44.4%44 W · 55 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Giants | 46c | 9,197$4,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,966.13 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Giants | 46c | 8,921$4,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,789.23 | 611 | 48.6%297 W · 314 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d6…3eeebacked Broncos | 54c | 8,333$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Giants | 50c | 8,000$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,000 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…bb9bbacked Broncos | 52c | 6,040$3,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,140.63 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Giants | 47c | 5,029$2,387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,641.34 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe7…2f3cbacked Broncos | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Giants | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 184 | 35.9%66 W · 118 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf1…c324backed Giants | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Giants | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,590 | 513 | 52.2%268 W · 245 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Broncos | 50c | 2,744$1,371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,370.98 | 412 | 48.5%200 W · 212 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Giants | 49c | 2,516$1,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,280.38 | 477 | 38.6%184 W · 293 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Giants | 50c | 2,309$1,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,164.98 | 419 | 47.3%198 W · 221 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7af…9796backed Giants | 51c | 2,133$1,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,045.14 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 49cpaid | +106.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c8d…f3acbacked Broncos | 49c | 2,133$1,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,045.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x223a…286fbacked Giants | 48c | 2,005$962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,042.6 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +99.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e2…5ec0backed Giants | 48c | 1,562$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.5 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b72…1ee8backed Giants | 47c | 1,450$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768.5 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…9054backed Giants | 48c | 1,277$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.39 | 313 | 50.2%157 W · 156 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…f5b6backed Broncos | 54c | 1,202$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.84 | 123 | 43.1%53 W · 70 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Broncos | 1c | 1,100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 567 | 9.9%56 W · 511 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Giants | 46c | 926.34$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.22 | 259 | 56.8%147 W · 112 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Broncos | 51c | 868.66$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.22 | 335 | 53.4%179 W · 156 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Broncos | 53c | 859.99$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.79 | 149 | 45.6%68 W · 81 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b65…f5d9backed Giants | 51c | 810.55$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4343…6ae7backed Broncos | 49c | 810.55$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.17 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Broncos | 46c | 499.97$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.99 | 266 | 48.9%130 W · 136 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…f8bebacked Giants | 53c | 425.52$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 194 | 59.3%115 W · 79 L | +15.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Giants | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 163 | 51.5%84 W · 79 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7292…6bd3backed Giants | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf48d…fe48backed Broncos | 53c | 350.07$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.54 | 149 | 49%73 W · 76 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…a51bbacked Giants | 53c | 292.45$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.45 | 234 | 47.9%112 W · 122 L | -10.9wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Broncos | 49c | 279.59$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137 | 280 | 47.5%133 W · 147 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1498…a10bbacked Broncos | 53c | 235.85$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Broncos | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 594 | 53.7%319 W · 275 L | +24.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x183a…d514backed Giants | 53c | 199.99$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.99 | 143 | 55.2%79 W · 64 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Giants | 54c | 195.3$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.9 | 834 | 47.1%393 W · 441 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e3…68b9backed Giants | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | -6.7wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Broncos | 46c | 177$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.42 | 770 | 52.7%406 W · 364 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72ea…ab9dbacked Broncos | 47c | 159.57$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68df…4815backed Giants | 49c | 150$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 181 | 56.9%103 W · 78 L | +11.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Broncos | 51c | 130$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.3 | 684 | 46.1%315 W · 369 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…fa4ebacked Giants | 52c | 120$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.6 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf35…b327backed Giants | 52c | 115.38$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.38 | 169 | 46.7%79 W · 90 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6941…efd5backed Giants | 54c | 111.11$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.11 | 132 | 53%70 W · 62 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe44b…6e0abacked Giants | 48c | 108.33$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.33 | 169 | 40.8%69 W · 100 L | -7.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x258e…d16cbacked Giants | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdb…cc6bbacked Giants | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c41…42ebbacked Giants | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9e…c4efbacked Giants | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe611…0ae4backed Giants | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 67 | 61.2%41 W · 26 L | +7.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcf70…7d5fbacked Broncos | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7259…a6c4backed Giants | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1316…c716backed Broncos | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f23…b19ebacked Giants | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -6.6wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d15…6914backed Giants | 49c | 81.91$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.91 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed Giants | 47c | 70.99$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.62 | 114 | 50%57 W · 57 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Broncos | 48c | 70$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.3 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b0b…5ba9backed Broncos | 53c | 70$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.1 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c1…012cbacked Giants | 52c | 66.74$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.04 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa794…e7d8backed Broncos | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | -8.0wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…4c0bbacked Broncos | 47c | 53.12$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb48…19b3backed Broncos | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84dc…9c02backed Giants | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Giants | 51c | 49.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 297 | 51.5%153 W · 144 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xced0…c680backed Broncos | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 135 | 55.6%75 W · 60 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3df0…7791backed Broncos | 47c | 47$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf9d…3ea9backed Giants | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 266 | 60.9%162 W · 104 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9da3…a7efbacked Giants | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25b9…f1efbacked Giants | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b36…fd74backed Giants | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e5…ebeabacked Giants | 53c | 37.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.41 | 196 | 51.5%101 W · 95 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0011…74f0backed Giants | 54c | 35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.1 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -7.0wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1171…ff19backed Broncos | 47c | 31.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeba3…1989backed Broncos | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7687…d750backed Broncos | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 40cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb288…ca87backed Broncos | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8699…dcb5backed Giants | 54c | 20.37$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.37 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa1…714ebacked Broncos | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Broncos (-7.5)this page
- Giants vs. BroncosBroncos won
- Giants vs. Broncos: O/U 39.5Over won
- Giants vs. Broncos: O/U 40.5Over won
- Giants vs. Broncos: O/U 41.5Over won
- Spread: Broncos (-6.5)Giants won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.