TailMyPicks
Market

Premier League · resolved market

Will Brentford win on 2025-11-22?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$75,855
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$78,865

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,855 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3eac…4c8cbacked No75c26,833$20,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,708.2210849.1%53 W · 55 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes32c16,324$5,303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,302.576,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed No43c5,397$2,336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,060.4613852.2%72 W · 66 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes37c3,404$1,276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,276.32,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No65c3,245$2,116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,129.374,76841.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked No74c3,000$2,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78037054.9%203 W · 167 L+15.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes25c2,766$692 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$691.5568026.3%179 W · 501 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No53c2,701$1,427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,274.041,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes61c2,650$1,617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,616.512,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No75c2,048$1,528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$519.6290751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0acd…ea40backed Yes24c1,743$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$418.32862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.21per pick42cpaid+85.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb0ff…ca90backed Yes25c1,709$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427.2521353.1%113 W · 100 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdaf2…76f0backed No76c1,650$1,254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes28c1,200$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.8436954.5%201 W · 168 L+50.1wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+91.7%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed Yes24c956.49$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.566150.8%31 W · 30 L+3.6wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+6.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0bab…6832backed Yes26c769.23$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20012441.1%51 W · 73 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed No74c739.09$547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.1621154.5%115 W · 96 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes26c643$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.431,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f18…c9fdbacked Yes26c596.44$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1583941%16 W · 23 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Yes36c560$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.228736.2%104 W · 183 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-30%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb701…7cf6backed Yes26c512.41$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.2622932.3%74 W · 155 L-0.4wins0.00per pick32cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf83…915dbacked Yes25c402.96$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.743438.2%13 W · 21 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+21.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x91f3…0d57backed Yes25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+19.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4702…457fbacked No75c400$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1005848.3%28 W · 30 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe071…f836backed No76c400$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9616453.7%88 W · 76 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a2d…6db9backed Yes26c384.62$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015543.9%68 W · 87 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbd3d…742fbacked Yes24c334.17$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.218929.1%55 W · 134 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9de2…3adbbacked Yes26c332.69$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.58942.7%38 W · 51 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f37…1edcbacked Yes31c322.65$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005637.5%21 W · 35 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick30cpaid+16%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x873a…2066backed No57c302.21$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.9930739.4%121 W · 186 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked Yes31c300$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9325339.1%99 W · 154 L-7.3wins-0.03per pick42cpaid+3.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No42c260$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.841,22440%490 W · 734 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x06c2…184fbacked No50c250$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1257252.8%38 W · 34 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+14.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xad89…f6e1backed Yes40c250$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.55957.6%34 W · 25 L+8.6wins+0.15per pick43cpaid+45%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2bd3…c3a1backed No76c243.38$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.41955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.17per pick38cpaid+36%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No75c210$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.51,24449.4%615 W · 629 L+1.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Yes25c206.83$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.711,00646.6%469 W · 537 L-20.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f93…cb87backed Yes25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501816.7%3 W · 15 L-3.6wins-0.20per pick37cpaid-48.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1947…94bcbacked No75c186.96$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.9629458.2%171 W · 123 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6b8…3539backed Yes27c185.19$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506842.6%29 W · 39 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ad9…65d7backed Yes25c160$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401154.5%6 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick64cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes27c150$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.7561441.2%253 W · 361 L-27.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-19.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf1dc…5460backed Yes30c149.99$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456729.9%20 W · 47 L-7.8wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-40.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x03de…4bfdbacked No74c121.01$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.073145.2%14 W · 17 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes25c117.03$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7468942.2%291 W · 398 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes30c112.72$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.431,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked Yes50c104$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5244036.8%162 W · 278 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed No74c103.85$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2725551.8%132 W · 123 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1346…8502backed No50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505234.6%18 W · 34 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f32…f204backed No76c93$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.321090%9 W · 1 L+3.6wins+0.36per pick54cpaid+94.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x405f…45cebacked Yes54c92.59$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb3…f37fbacked No75c92.5$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.1215764.3%101 W · 56 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a5c…b3f2backed Yes29c90.1$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.8125949.4%128 W · 131 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9678…b4bfbacked Yes16c81.27$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136435.9%23 W · 41 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No74c81$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.0683459.4%495 W · 339 L+25.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7795…1db8backed Yes25c80$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206955.1%38 W · 31 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xac43…4925backed Yes26c76.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2019336.8%71 W · 122 L-14.9wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-19.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb9df…f9fbbacked Yes26c76.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick30cpaid+23.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf64b…7b63backed Yes25c60$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+10.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x84b2…f1dabacked Yes25c60$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510139.6%40 W · 61 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-19.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Yes27c58.89$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.932737.6%123 W · 204 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed No71c57.92$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.7429259.2%173 W · 119 L+14.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcba6…bb05backed Yes30c53.26$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8117549.1%86 W · 89 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc487…dc86backed Yes25c52$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133948.7%19 W · 20 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc13f…c93bbacked Yes27c50$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.53135.5%11 W · 20 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d55…1e94backed Yes30c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1511923.5%28 W · 91 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5cfe…ed69backed Yes25c50$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.55339.6%21 W · 32 L+0.2wins0.00per pick39cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6079…81c6backed Yes27c44.44$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1210552.4%55 W · 50 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a2e…6200backed No58c41.02$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.321855.6%10 W · 8 L+2.6wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+23.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc4e8…0e6dbacked Yes25c40.76$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.19850%4 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c4f…f957backed Yes25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c9a…ff79backed Yes25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104344.2%19 W · 24 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1482…622dbacked Yes25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102360.9%14 W · 9 L+3.8wins+0.17per pick44cpaid+39.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0338…4f11backed No51c39.38$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.383363.6%21 W · 12 L+3.8wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+21.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xde17…68d2backed Yes58c38.32$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.137963.3%50 W · 29 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+19.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4959…a6f5backed No75c37$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.2515461%94 W · 60 L+9.1wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+10.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed No60c35$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1417744.1%78 W · 99 L+0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x165d…79c6backed No70c34.4$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.321758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf75…7623backed No76c29.93$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.293141.9%13 W · 18 L-4.5wins-0.15per pick57cpaid-37.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No74c27$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.0265557.7%378 W · 277 L+26.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4215…f03abacked No74c27$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.0219853%105 W · 93 L+12.2wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No74c27$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.0260557.5%348 W · 257 L+25.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a4f…c4f2backed No48c23.99$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.487146.5%33 W · 38 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked No74c23.85$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.259958.9%353 W · 246 L+26.4wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe22…9a1abacked No76c20.47$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.914100%4 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+89.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0163…9aa0backed No74c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.213163.4%83 W · 48 L+15.8wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+30.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x05e9…39b7backed No76c19.74$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.741931.6%6 W · 13 L-5.1wins-0.27per pick58cpaid-56.4%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed No74c16$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.1637554.9%206 W · 169 L+14.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed No74c16$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.1637557.3%215 W · 160 L+21.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed No74c16$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.1635157.8%203 W · 148 L+18.1wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+13.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No75c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.751,16357.4%667 W · 496 L+40.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.