TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xfe22…9a1a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
63
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: NBA, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 57 out of 100; worst La Liga at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Nov 24, 2025, EST2045%9 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Juárez vs. CF Pachuca: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+117.6%+$78.76
Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2025-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+76.9%+$61.48
CA Boca Juniors vs. CA Talleres: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$40
CA Central Córdoba vs. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+216.4%+$86.56
Will Ceará SC win on 2025-11-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$69.99
Will EC Bahia vs. Fortaleza EC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$22
Will Fortaleza EC win on 2025-11-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will EC Juventude win on 2025-11-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+104.1%+$62.45
Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2025-11-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$14
Will Botafogo FR win on 2025-11-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$27.58
CA Platense vs. Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+72.4%+$18.1
Will CSyD Defensa y Justicia win on 2025-11-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$25
CA Belgrano vs. CA Unión: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+112.8%+$28.19
CSyD Defensa y Justicia vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$20
CA Boca Juniors vs. CA Tigre: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+51.5%+$21.12
Spread: CA Boca Juniors (-1.5)backed CA Boca Juniors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+177.8%+$35.56
CA Newell's Old Boys vs. Racing Club: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$10.82
CA Lanús vs. CA Tucumán: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+128%+$26.88
Will CS Independiente Rivadavia win on 2025-11-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$10.65
AA Argentinos Juniors vs. CA Belgrano: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$15.56
All 20 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Nov 18, 2025, EST1850%9 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Scotland win on 2025-11-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+191.2%+$112.82
Will Sweden win on 2025-11-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$120
Will Georgia win on 2025-11-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$65
Will Mali win on 2025-11-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Cyprus vs. Estonia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will Algeria win on 2025-11-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+213.7%+$64.12
Will Poland win on 2025-11-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+41.7%+$22.92
Will Italy win on 2025-11-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Israel win on 2025-11-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+42.9%+$21.43
Will Iceland win on 2025-11-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$23
Will Hungary vs. Republic of Ireland end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Republic of Ireland win on 2025-11-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+321.8%+$80.45
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2025-11-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+213.6%+$105.11
Will Cyprus vs. Austria end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will Kazakhstan vs. Belgium end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+178.4%+$54.29
Will Slovakia win on 2025-11-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+110.5%+$16.84
Will Portugal win on 2025-11-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$20.35
Will Iceland win on 2025-11-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+58.7%+$6.46
All 18 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Nov 23, 2025, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+21%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 23, 2025, EST4100%4 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+86.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Magic vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+75.4%+$11.32
Grizzlies vs. Mavericksbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+66.7%+$11.33
Warriors vs. Spursbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+104.1%+$18.73
Spread: Cavaliers (-7.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+100%+$12
All 4 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Nov 23, 2025, EST4100%4 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+89.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 23, 2025, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+98.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Patriots (-7.5)backed Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+81.8%+$9
Spread: Seahawks (-11.5)backed Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+114.4%+$45.74
Spread: Cowboys (-3.5)backed Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+100%+$43
All 3 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Nov 20, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.79per pick21cpaid+376.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pakistan Tri-Series: Sri Lanka vs Zimbabwe (Game 2)backed Zimbabwe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+376.2%+$59.14
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Eintracht Frankfurt (-0.5)backed Eintracht Frankfurt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+108.3%+$21.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Nov 18, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$52.71
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Nov 22, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $1B committed to the Monad public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$119
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Nov 10, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$26.26
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Nov 23, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Real Madrid (-1.5)backed Real Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$80
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.