South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CSyD Defensa y Justicia win on 2025-11-17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbb5dea23fd201dfc17c260948f8c077bb1bef6717daf4c157ce433b34a251462
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,931
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,846
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,931 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4021…956abacked Yes | 24c | 833.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 96 | 38.5%37 W · 59 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 65c | 592.94$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.36 | 332 | 51.8%172 W · 160 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 76c | 522.88$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.4 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 66c | 319.64$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.14 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 59c | 269.55$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.34 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe466…3f88backed No | 52c | 260$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5809…8b04backed Yes | 48c | 260$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Yes | 18c | 200$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 57 | 21.1%12 W · 45 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -33%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe02a…8e83backed No | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x981f…cf4fbacked Yes | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…2ad8backed Yes | 51c | 196.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9020…2cfcbacked Yes | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…0dd9backed No | 49c | 176.2$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.86 | 144 | 22.9%33 W · 111 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49c…6dcabacked Yes | 50c | 169$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.5 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a51…4cc0backed Yes | 27c | 129.63$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe22…9a1abacked Yes | 21c | 119.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbb…1594backed Yes | 51c | 112$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.12 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 51c | 99.98$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.99 | 179 | 50.8%91 W · 88 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2da0…2f48backed Yes | 53c | 84.91$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd1…0100backed No | 50c | 79$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.5 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed Yes | 48c | 68.75$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed No | 46c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 100 | 54%54 W · 46 L | +8.6wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 184 | 33.2%61 W · 123 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5f…1dc6backed Yes | 53c | 52.83$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…aeb8backed No | 49c | 46$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.46 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95c4…a93bbacked No | 49c | 45$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.95 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…4345backed Yes | 49c | 43.2$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.17 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f9e…17c3backed No | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a1…87edbacked Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda54…dcaabacked No | 50c | 36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd67a…304cbacked No | 50c | 34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8987…3b52backed Yes | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc135…a01abacked Yes | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd08c…0598backed No | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 50c | 28.83$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1238…31b0backed Yes | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.41per pick | 66cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 50c | 20.8$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 125 | 62.4%78 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc889…175cbacked No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CSyD Defensa y Justicia win on 2025-11-17?this page
- Will CS Independiente Rivadavia win on 2025-11-17?Yes won
- Will CSyD Defensa y Justicia vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.