Fifa International · resolved market
Will Algeria win on 2025-11-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfd757bb10ac2b3e8fdffa1278639ea26d1c46523c5a39e7852fe6d80c5bfa1ad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,060
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,365
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,060 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 57c | 4,649$2,669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,669.45 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 57c | 3,728$2,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,142.97 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 56c | 3,718$2,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,078.27 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 51c | 2,933$1,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,484.55 | 359 | 42.9%154 W · 205 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9020…2cfcbacked Yes | 45c | 2,208$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,207.93 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd1…4ea6backed Yes | 46c | 2,076$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,116.09 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 70c | 1,851$1,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.88 | 237 | 38.8%92 W · 145 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d94…40e6backed Yes | 35c | 1,200$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780.19 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0191…93f0backed Yes | 43c | 1,150$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.28 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…1081backed Yes | 53c | 1,105$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.95 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x845d…1537backed Yes | 47c | 1,058$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.46 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +68.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 68c | 1,008$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.46 | 1,252 | 39.2%491 W · 761 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 47c | 775$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.38 | 300 | 31%93 W · 207 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9d…e71abacked Yes | 43c | 615.22$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.77 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x045d…d649backed Yes | 42c | 591.42$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.42 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a6…0b89backed Yes | 32c | 439.83$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.67 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 40cpaid | +27%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb47b…c6b1backed Yes | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.33 | 124 | 41.9%52 W · 72 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 53c | 283.06$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.78 | 550 | 45.1%248 W · 302 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60b6…eb2bbacked Yes | 38c | 269.05$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.05 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a4…0ea6backed Yes | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.31 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 29c | 177.03$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.9 | 1,001 | 53.9%540 W · 461 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26ab…41c1backed No | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f6…5ac8backed Yes | 24c | 159.29$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.06 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed No | 48c | 156.11$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.15 | 96 | 33.3%32 W · 64 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0b…cd84backed Yes | 42c | 150$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked No | 56c | 148.4$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.41 | 131 | 31.3%41 W · 90 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc938…af43backed No | 57c | 148$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.36 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 59c | 143.4$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.42 | 170 | 48.2%82 W · 88 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 42c | 107.67$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.45 | 287 | 54.7%157 W · 130 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9380…a275backed Yes | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 71 | 28.2%20 W · 51 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +101.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6149…8a58backed No | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce0…a1ebbacked Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +3.4wins | +0.24per pick | 18cpaid | +117.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc880…a622backed No | 61c | 95$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.95 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -27%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe22…9a1abacked Yes | 32c | 94.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.12 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 55c | 87$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.85 | 423 | 52%220 W · 203 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a3…ad9ebacked No | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 127 | 55.9%71 W · 56 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Yes | 44c | 80.52$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.84 | 168 | 41.1%69 W · 99 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 59c | 80.24$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.14 | 346 | 30.1%104 W · 242 L | -21.8wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33b7…c747backed Yes | 43c | 80$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 39cpaid | +81.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa9…a36dbacked Yes | 44c | 72.44$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.44 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.43 | 164 | 42.7%70 W · 94 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03f9…f78ebacked Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.43 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x221f…d868backed Yes | 38c | 71.05$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.05 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 39cpaid | +154%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfbbb…32e2backed Yes | 48c | 70$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05a1…d108backed Yes | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.18 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6468…e03dbacked Yes | 43c | 68$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ae…6bc8backed Yes | 39c | 64.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.1 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked No | 55c | 62.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.96 | 116 | 46.6%54 W · 62 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd84f…0475backed Yes | 39c | 57$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.77 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.56 | 104 | 31.7%33 W · 71 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2da0…2f48backed Yes | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed No | 56c | 52$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.86 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed No | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 93 | 24.7%23 W · 70 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22a7…1a98backed Yes | 45c | 48.89$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.89 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…7eedbacked Yes | 44c | 45.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.02 | 194 | 61.3%119 W · 75 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972f…ed93backed Yes | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +35%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x165d…79c6backed No | 57c | 43.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.19 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -29%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 41c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.6 | 134 | 61.9%83 W · 51 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed No | 53c | 38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.14 | 789 | 27.5%217 W · 572 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90f9…e894backed No | 55c | 36.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.45 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42f5…4183backed Yes | 37c | 32.24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.24 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 27cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98a4…3c7abacked Yes | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf09d…115fbacked Yes | 38c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed No | 58c | 29.78$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.38 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 55c | 29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.95 | 464 | 53.2%247 W · 217 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked No | 55c | 29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.95 | 168 | 31.5%53 W · 115 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No | 55c | 29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.95 | 397 | 49.9%198 W · 199 L | -16.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x040f…e98cbacked No | 56c | 28.43$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.06 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed No | 56c | 26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 129 | 45%58 W · 71 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b5…5414backed No | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x844b…2580backed No | 56c | 21.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9014…db4abacked No | 55c | 21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 55c | 21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 202 | 45.5%92 W · 110 L | -13.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb54c…8affbacked Yes | 65c | 20.2$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.17 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked No | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 117 | 48.7%57 W · 60 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed No | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 459 | 49.5%227 W · 232 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 358 | 48.3%173 W · 185 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8deb…d8e2backed No | 60c | 19.63$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Algeria win on 2025-11-18?this page
- Will Saudi Arabia vs. Algeria end in a draw?No won
- Will Saudi Arabia win on 2025-11-18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.