TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x05a1…d108

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
84
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 58 out of 100; worst La Liga at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 8, 2025, EST2560%15 W · 10 L+2.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+30.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+132.6%+$39.77
Will Manchester United win on 2025-12-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$23
Will Liverpool win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$21
Will Chelsea win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$35
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+75.4%+$18.86
Will Arsenal win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+42.9%+$12.86
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+244.8%+$53.86
Will Tottenham win on 2025-12-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$28
Will Everton win on 2025-12-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+300%+$33
Will Manchester City win on 2025-12-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+63.9%+$14.7
Will Chelsea win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Liverpool win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+75.4%+$19.61
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+49.3%+$13.79
Will Brighton win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+163.2%+$26.11
Will Manchester United win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+212.5%+$44.63
Will Tottenham win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$24
Will Newcastle win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+170.3%+$25.54
Will Brentford win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+47.1%+$10.82
Will Manchester City win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+25%+$6.25
Will Bournemouth win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Manchester City win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$22
Will Liverpool win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+100%+$25
Will Chelsea win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+49.3%+$14.78
All 25 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Nov 19, 2025, EST2080%16 W · 4 L+3.1wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+29.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Colombia win on 2025-11-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+42.9%+$12
Will Austria win on 2025-11-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$35
Will Switzerland win on 2025-11-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$34
Will Wales win on 2025-11-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+75.4%+$18.86
Will Morocco win on 2025-11-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+29.9%+$11.05
Will Mali win on 2025-11-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$24
Will Algeria win on 2025-11-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+127.3%+$38.18
Will Burkina Faso win on 2025-11-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+25%+$9.25
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2025-11-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+81.8%+$27.82
Will Korea Republic win on 2025-11-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+56.3%+$16.88
Will Poland win on 2025-11-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+29.9%+$11.05
Will Croatia win on 2025-11-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+42.9%+$15
Will Germany win on 2025-11-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+25%+$9.75
Will Norway win on 2025-11-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+257.1%+$100.29
Will England win on 2025-11-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+40.8%+$11.03
Will Netherlands win on 2025-11-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Algeria win on 2025-11-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+42.9%+$8.57
Will England win on 2025-11-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+29.9%+$9.86
Will Iceland win on 2025-11-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+56.3%+$16.31
Will Thailand win on 2025-11-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+31.6%+$6.32
All 20 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Nov 26, 2025, EST1650%8 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+110.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+51.5%+$18.03
Will Sporting CP win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+61.3%+$12.26
Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will PSV win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+900%+$90
Will Atalanta BC win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+163.2%+$48.95
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+92.3%+$27.69
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$23
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Juventus FC win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+117.4%+$29.35
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$35
Will SSC Napoli win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+29.9%+$8.96
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+1,150%+$115
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will AFC Ajax vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$15
All 16 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Nov 27, 2025, EST1154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2025-11-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+37%+$7.4
Will SC Braga win on 2025-11-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$27
Will KRC Genk win on 2025-11-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+96.1%+$19.22
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2025-11-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+81.8%+$25.36
Will FC Porto win on 2025-11-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+42.9%+$11.14
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2025-11-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will SC Freiburg win on 2025-11-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$23
Will Ferencvárosi TC win on 2025-11-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will AS Roma win on 2025-11-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+47.1%+$23.53
Will Lille OSC win on 2025-11-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+53.8%+$13.46
Will GNK Dinamo Zagreb win on 2025-11-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 11 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Nov 30, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.31per pick56cpaid-64.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Nov 23, 2025, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+170.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Nov 22, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayer Leverkusen win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+104.6%+$27.2
Will 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2025-11-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$25
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 14, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sabres vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+33.3%+$12.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Nov 15, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CR Flamengo win on 2025-11-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+30.6%+$10.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Taylor Fritz vs Alex de Minaurbacked Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.