TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will CR Flamengo win on 2025-11-15?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$66,610
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$85,047

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,610 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No18c10,941$1,948 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,948.388,11248.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L+27.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No24c8,042$1,926 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,925.612,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes70c2,877$2,014 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$863.1819239.1%75 W · 117 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No35c2,714$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$959.981,98544.8%890 W · 1,095 L-44.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No12c2,686$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.8749449%242 W · 252 L+22.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed No32c2,050$656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65643618.8%82 W · 354 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9518…c9e3backed Yes65c1,070$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.9650%3 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+26.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No23c742.55$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.8881651.6%421 W · 395 L+12.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4944…e4c7backed Yes71c708.59$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.591060%6 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick71cpaid-16.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe92c…d27ebacked Yes71c704.23$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.23966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+33.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xab77…65edbacked Yes64c701.82$449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.932100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+92.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x14fa…73f0backed Yes54c681.06$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.066142.6%26 W · 35 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85e2…0980backed Yes47c638.3$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.3520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick40cpaid-57.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb893…bf4bbacked Yes72c550$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15410242.2%43 W · 59 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1182…b6bbbacked Yes75c504.74$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.842268.2%15 W · 7 L+2.6wins+0.12per pick56cpaid+8.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb137…4aafbacked Yes71c318.91$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.911060%6 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad28…770cbacked Yes60c297$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.648547.1%40 W · 45 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked No24c287.62$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.3512465.3%81 W · 43 L+5.2wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No21c272.96$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.861,42851.8%740 W · 688 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e73…e5c1backed Yes71c261.35$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.132157.1%12 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed1d…327dbacked Yes75c240.4$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.674729.8%14 W · 33 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick31cpaid+8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd12f…e80dbacked Yes51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.082560%15 W · 10 L+3.0wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+36.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1a51…4cc0backed Yes45c193.33$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.334535.6%16 W · 29 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-22.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x19fe…33debacked Yes69c192.01$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.272744.4%12 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked No23c175.38$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.3413821%29 W · 109 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b94…315bbacked Yes71c169.01$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.01944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-16.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d7d…6020backed Yes46c159.8$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.292100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes75c150$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.2532936.5%120 W · 209 L-10.0wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked No26c149.83$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.8931226.6%83 W · 229 L+1.0wins0.00per pick26cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes59c148.67$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.4963644.7%284 W · 352 L-2.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No25c146.48$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.6281740.8%333 W · 484 L+20.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6882…6f08backed Yes70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.863073.3%22 W · 8 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+19.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a73…c2e5backed Yes44c133.55$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.79944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick64cpaid-29%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8594…7eedbacked Yes79c133.5$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.52556%14 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-6.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked No24c131.53$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.638842%37 W · 51 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked No24c126.49$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.3616234.6%56 W · 106 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+17.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Yes68c116.44$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.266363.5%40 W · 23 L+4.8wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+13.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbd87…01a9backed Yes44c113.64$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.64933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-40.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67d3…0af2backed No31c100$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-25.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b4c…c1ddbacked Yes74c100$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-11.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked No30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3017950.8%91 W · 88 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8afb…3cbfbacked Yes71c98.99$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26ae…97b8backed No27c89.88$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.4113062.3%81 W · 49 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a5c…b3f2backed No20c84.05$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.876056.7%34 W · 26 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+24.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes69c74$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.9423435%82 W · 152 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Yes70c73$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.96944.9%31 W · 38 L-4.4wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-18.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe896…2698backed Yes50c65.55$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.521361.5%8 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.18per pick43cpaid+35.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9041…09b7backed Yes49c64.71$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1889…0714backed No27c64.45$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.6212562.4%78 W · 47 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff7c…3e9fbacked No28c64.03$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.931827.8%5 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-30.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Yes70c57.37$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.3751654.8%283 W · 233 L+0.9wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No30c55.54$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.6826659.8%159 W · 107 L+12.0wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe9ab…44dfbacked Yes74c53.81$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.813265.6%21 W · 11 L+4.0wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+26.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3fab…01e9backed Yes61c51.43$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.061464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x976c…7634backed Yes73c46.32$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.323100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0bb9…1278backed Yes77c45.45$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.45250%1 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick78cpaid-35.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Yes68c44.93$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.3811245.5%51 W · 61 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x05a1…d108backed Yes77c44.4$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd172…2b71backed Yes70c43.17$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.77633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-50.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x00fd…e85dbacked Yes71c42.07$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.071250%6 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-25.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbc77…8603backed Yes74c41.65$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.81250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-32.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b2c…82fabacked Yes73c39.23$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd28…a71abacked Yes77c38.73$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.73450%2 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick76cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7831…66a8backed Yes47c36.17$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.172100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b97…2960backed Yes71c36$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.44666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick71cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf74…210ebacked Yes43c34.88$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7fb9…2772backed Yes75c33.33$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.332650%13 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4570…3551backed Yes76c32.89$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.89250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick77cpaid-34.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed No32c31.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb1d…a925backed Yes47c29.38$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.571643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3dea…26d5backed Yes69c28.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.99633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.32per pick65cpaid-54.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb928…fa64backed Yes69c28.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.99757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick66cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa741…bd1fbacked Yes69c28.91$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.91757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick68cpaid-18%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9963…14acbacked Yes70c28.57$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.572100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x029e…36ddbacked Yes70c28.57$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.57616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.30per pick47cpaid-76.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x98ef…3591backed Yes70c28.57$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.57540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b4c…80edbacked Yes70c28.51$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.511100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbbd6…ac29backed Yes71c28.25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.19850%4 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-33.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xce2e…c77bbacked Yes71c28.17$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.17850%4 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-31.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa0e8…a236backed Yes72c27.78$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.78560%3 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick69cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2664…53f8backed Yes72c27.78$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.78560%3 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick71cpaid-13.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe8f…3186backed Yes72c27.78$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.78728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.5wins-0.36per pick64cpaid-62.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x25b5…b3b5backed Yes77c26.1$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.1475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick69cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b74…b58fbacked Yes75c25$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.251181.8%9 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick76cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9da…1ec7backed Yes76c23.68$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.68250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-34.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x948a…fb30backed Yes74c20.24$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.24862.5%5 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick62cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea5e…0c89backed Yes69c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.2250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83f2…e14cbacked Yes76c18.42$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.42425%1 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.42per pick67cpaid-67.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6ecb…d575backed Yes71c16.44$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.77250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-29.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfd0a…f285backed Yes71c15.59$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.52250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-29.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.