TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Croatia win on 2025-11-17?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$481,195
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$487,431

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $481,195 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 433 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No40c53,436$21,626 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,626.024,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes69c50,000$34,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,499.9927039.6%107 W · 163 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes69c49,141$33,871 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,269.8630031%93 W · 207 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8605…750fbacked Yes69c37,664$26,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,663.921457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.7wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+3.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed No34c36,230$12,356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,355.856643.9%29 W · 37 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8655…39c0backed No31c19,883$6,164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,163.77520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.21per pick41cpaid-73.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No32c18,537$5,864 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,863.9728133.1%93 W · 188 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb875…68a8backed No32c17,500$5,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,599.931560%9 W · 6 L+2.4wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+27.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xeff7…4bb3backed Yes47c16,715$7,873 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,842.5955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Yes68c13,000$8,810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,189.99560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-17.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa925…e1c8backed Yes37c12,771$4,685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,086.451060%6 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+46.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0aa3…64e9backed No30c11,897$3,575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,575.121822.2%4 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick28cpaid-23.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No50c11,297$5,613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,613.4835942.9%154 W · 205 L-16.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-24%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc701…f932backed Yes36c10,948$3,932 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,016.41633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-24.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb65d…4925backed No31c10,000$3,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,100742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick29cpaid+76.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a87…4e00backed No30c9,520$2,829 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,828.523423.5%8 W · 26 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked No62c7,574$4,676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,676.327354.8%40 W · 33 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes12c7,243$885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,357.73,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No32c6,083$1,919 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,918.6317048.2%82 W · 88 L+8.8wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+15.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Yes67c6,000$4,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,979.9912310.6%13 W · 110 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick12cpaid-39.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked No31c5,000$1,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5508359%49 W · 34 L+10.0wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+27.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked No32c5,000$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,599.9912451.6%64 W · 60 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No65c4,931$3,224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,224.4276048.7%370 W · 390 L-2.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No30c4,905$1,452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,452.1916835.1%59 W · 109 L+0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed No44c4,267$1,898 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,898.146845.6%31 W · 37 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7104…afefbacked Yes48c4,167$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,166.673271.9%23 W · 9 L+4.4wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+30.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xec3b…81c0backed Yes68c3,479$2,364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,114.953100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+51.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7865…4af9backed No31c3,195$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$990.3212525.6%32 W · 93 L-0.2wins0.00per pick26cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf778…2f09backed Yes40c3,000$1,210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,789.991855.6%10 W · 8 L+2.7wins+0.15per pick40cpaid+38.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xffbe…0566backed Yes70c2,788$1,951 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$837.6475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick72cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No67c2,722$1,831 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,831.081,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x33c2…9818backed No63c2,501$1,574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,574.253633.3%12 W · 24 L-3.7wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-36.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No56c2,388$1,347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,346.771,00153.9%540 W · 461 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa1b3…4d23backed Yes38c2,350$895 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,455.371275%9 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+26.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d94…40e6backed Yes45c2,000$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,099.523141.9%13 W · 18 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed No31c1,883$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$579.977247.2%34 W · 38 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94e5…6cfebacked Yes48c1,746$847 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$898.95757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick37cpaid+119.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6c74…bd4ebacked Yes67c1,600$1,072 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5282055%11 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick65cpaid-20.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe76f…39fcbacked No32c1,563$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50013860.1%83 W · 55 L+7.6wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+11.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfcca…c460backed No34c1,500$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.983935.9%14 W · 25 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+44.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9921…dcb7backed Yes64c1,493$956 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$537.471216.7%2 W · 10 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick16cpaid+17.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc449…2239backed Yes67c1,493$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.542470.8%17 W · 7 L+3.2wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+25.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x250b…9cb5backed Yes69c1,449$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.284936.7%18 W · 31 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-31.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x43cb…4bccbacked Yes35c1,421$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$921.363534.3%12 W · 23 L+0.1wins0.00per pick34cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe071…f836backed Yes72c1,400$1,011 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3895154.9%28 W · 23 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf515…0805backed Yes55c1,360$752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$608.313959%23 W · 16 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+18%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x723c…01ebbacked Yes32c1,259$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$858.23520%7 W · 28 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7658…fc19backed Yes42c1,180$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$683.71771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick67cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f93…cb87backed Yes69c1,159$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.42366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+52.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c82…e0cbbacked Yes43c1,152$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$651.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+130.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No55c1,092$595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$594.9823738.8%92 W · 145 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-30.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2752…8ce3backed Yes71c1,082$773 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.362070%14 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick68cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No62c1,064$655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$654.721837.2%81 W · 137 L-0.5wins0.00per pick37cpaid-18.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5f3…bb7fbacked No6c1,037$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.971546.7%7 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.11per pick36cpaid+14.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x410a…0060backed Yes69c1,014$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.49850%4 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x040f…e98cbacked No32c1,011$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.45339.6%21 W · 32 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+37.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x88de…1091backed No29c1,000$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.921016.7%35 W · 175 L-0.9wins0.00per pick17cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d20…4b27backed Yes69c1,000$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-1.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…db98backed Yes8c1,000$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9202326.1%6 W · 17 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick35cpaid+17.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe78e…55f0backed No30c1,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3009324.7%23 W · 70 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick27cpaid+0.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x06c2…184fbacked No34c914.98$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.793441.2%14 W · 20 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+23.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No33c900.74$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.6646536.1%168 W · 297 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked No34c882.35$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30030431.3%95 W · 209 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33a7…960dbacked Yes33c783.33$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524.724837.5%18 W · 30 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb72b…f4e0backed No32c778.36$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2507135.2%25 W · 46 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+16.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x65eb…4ec2backed Yes69c730.97$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.6475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9020…2cfcbacked Yes35c722.94$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$472.945127.5%14 W · 37 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick25cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes63c704.67$445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.4913748.2%66 W · 71 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed No34c676.96$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.410452.9%55 W · 49 L-0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid+5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4890…0968backed Yes45c666.64$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.654100%4 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+136.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0df8…3e3dbacked Yes23c605.93$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.8613131.3%41 W · 90 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-35.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x331b…3dacbacked Yes48c600$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.9425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-48.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked No34c600$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20411444.7%51 W · 63 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb637…4c42backed Yes30c599.99$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$417.995827.6%16 W · 42 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+67.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe60f…dfdabacked Yes68c583.97$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.97771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick67cpaid+25.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed Yes42c581.51$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.9328731%89 W · 198 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85d9…717bbacked No66c578.43$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.771145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-27.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8097…8a5fbacked Yes36c556.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.272263.6%14 W · 8 L+3.3wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+45.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x61c1…0513backed Yes22c549.79$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.791850%9 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked No56c508.98$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.2518641.4%77 W · 109 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c80…1c3bbacked Yes40c500$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3003129%9 W · 22 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-39.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb125…69ebbacked Yes7c500$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4657038.6%27 W · 43 L+11.0wins+0.16per pick23cpaid+69%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed No30c499.86$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.9638526.8%103 W · 282 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No48c492.09$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.9916841.1%69 W · 99 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-26.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xae4e…67e2backed Yes56c490$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.61346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked No31c476$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.5625848.4%125 W · 133 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe67…26c4backed Yes68c470$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.1366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b94…315bbacked Yes40c459.66$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.521838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-26.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a5c…b3f2backed No40c454.94$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.598145.7%37 W · 44 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ce0…a1ebbacked Yes17c454.92$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.571442.9%6 W · 8 L+3.4wins+0.24per pick18cpaid+117.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdca0…140ebacked Yes68c441.18$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.1817240.7%70 W · 102 L+11.0wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+22.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3a90…e630backed Yes69c425.24$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.91450%7 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+16.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6881…525dbacked Yes57c423.08$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.551100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0191…93f0backed Yes34c421.11$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.811533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-22.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes47c421.06$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.8634630.1%104 W · 242 L-21.8wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-39.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6700…105bbacked No31c375.84$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.51425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-67.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a7e…c00abacked Yes54c368.86$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.866243.5%27 W · 35 L+4.7wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+17.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc22c…bfc7backed Yes13c350.77$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.172025%5 W · 15 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick20cpaid+71.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Yes73c330.48$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.488932.6%29 W · 60 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick27cpaid-11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3d5a…1427backed Yes46c326.09$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.091747.1%8 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+21.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.