Fifa International · resolved market
Will Montenegro win on 2025-11-17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x43f5741147c0d4d806b9fa65b99bcbbc47ea71bfc31ef82cbdf3c42f18d81b24
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $142,999
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $135,448
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $142,999 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 139 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa925…e1c8backed Yes | 39c | 11,142$4,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,341.7 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d9…717bbacked No | 61c | 7,931$4,838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,093.05 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Yes | 13c | 7,544$981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980.74 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 80c | 6,268$5,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,253.99 | 359 | 42.9%154 W · 205 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 66c | 5,138$3,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,732.49 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9416…991bbacked Yes | 59c | 4,600$2,724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,724.25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 13c | 4,289$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.41 | 605 | 11.4%69 W · 536 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 72c | 4,053$2,914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,913.73 | 103 | 66%68 W · 35 L | +12.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes | 12c | 3,653$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.64 | 145 | 37.2%54 W · 91 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 30c | 3,286$984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$983.89 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 22c | 2,713$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.91 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd461…1d6cbacked Yes | 20c | 2,051$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.62 | 35 | 20%7 W · 28 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb0…5012backed Yes | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | +6.4wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +20%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7087…c61fbacked Yes | 13c | 2,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e60…3736backed Yes | 53c | 1,985$1,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,056 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed No | 42c | 1,892$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,097.22 | 190 | 38.9%74 W · 116 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes | 14c | 1,784$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.76 | 89 | 30.3%27 W · 62 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…9974backed Yes | 11c | 1,742$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 56c | 1,713$954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$954.26 | 218 | 37.2%81 W · 137 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 48c | 1,704$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.81 | 237 | 38.8%92 W · 145 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda0f…f0e7backed No | 28c | 1,522$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,095.58 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33c2…9818backed Yes | 56c | 1,220$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.56 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c91…9df7backed Yes | 3c | 1,200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6f…d853backed No | 63c | 1,112$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf45a…854bbacked Yes | 1c | 1,100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked No | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9921…dcb7backed Yes | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88de…1091backed Yes | 11c | 999.91$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.52 | 210 | 16.7%35 W · 175 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 58c | 963.91$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.87 | 346 | 30.1%104 W · 242 L | -21.8wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0d…ff14backed No | 38c | 900$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +4.0wins | +0.21per pick | 53cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf104…b841backed Yes | 13c | 876.21$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.51 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2de…6e5cbacked No | 62c | 734.82$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.77 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked No | 48c | 706.07$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.27 | 131 | 31.3%41 W · 90 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c80…1c3bbacked Yes | 58c | 700$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd12d…0ac1backed Yes | 56c | 646.48$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf515…0805backed No | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.24 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb375…59d6backed Yes | 14c | 528.37$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.97 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc794…d09cbacked No | 66c | 453.97$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.97 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed No | 63c | 453.21$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.69 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes | 37c | 444.19$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.35 | 137 | 48.2%66 W · 71 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…cfadbacked No | 58c | 418.98$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.72 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Yes | 12c | 417.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 108 | 68.5%74 W · 34 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2752…8ce3backed Yes | 55c | 400$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f3…bb7fbacked Yes | 3c | 388.74$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.82 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 66c | 380.75$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.74 | 1,001 | 53.9%540 W · 461 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed No | 72c | 371.68$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.28 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ab…41c1backed Yes | 55c | 368.64$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4890…0968backed No | 69c | 340.13$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.44 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +136.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 57c | 303.9$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.48 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb04…3ce1backed Yes | 70c | 300$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.92 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x017b…4e46backed No | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.12 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70b0…b71fbacked Yes | 20c | 285.28$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.21 | 62 | 22.6%14 W · 48 L | -7.2wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdd28…2aefbacked Yes | 16c | 280$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.8 | 41 | 12.2%5 W · 36 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked No | 44c | 251.45$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.81 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee44…0082backed Yes | 12c | 250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…017cbacked Yes | 57c | 241.97$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.05 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda10…eeccbacked No | 44c | 227.23$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.23 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +65%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbd…21d2backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 71 | 22.5%16 W · 55 L | +6.4wins | +0.09per pick | 14cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x60e3…7c2fbacked Yes | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca6…0d08backed Yes | 57c | 199.99$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 65cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…359bbacked No | 50c | 198$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0141…c2dabacked Yes | 34c | 194.12$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -67.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed No | 66c | 194.12$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 132 | 35.6%47 W · 85 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f56…9302backed Yes | 11c | 182$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.26per pick | 29cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8deb…d8e2backed No | 51c | 181.72$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.5 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63aa…c5c8backed No | 46c | 180.13$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.13 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf2…3ef7backed Yes | 13c | 174.67$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.3 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -72.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 58c | 171.8$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.03 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked No | 31c | 154.16$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.65 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -4.9wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…5088backed No | 79c | 151.35$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.07 | 369 | 39.6%146 W · 223 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 11c | 148.81$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.37 | 396 | 21%83 W · 313 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f7d…5769backed Yes | 37c | 145.56$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.53 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3600…606fbacked Yes | 43c | 142.52$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.81 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Yes | 58c | 140$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.2 | 172 | 55.2%95 W · 77 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55f8…2e76backed Yes | 12c | 138$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 11c | 135.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 789 | 27.5%217 W · 572 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +4.8wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcf54…e5bebacked Yes | 65c | 120$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 28c | 113.35$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.61 | 1,252 | 39.2%491 W · 761 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x726d…b10dbacked Yes | 38c | 104.76$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2734…22efbacked Yes | 20c | 103.75$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.63 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0f…18e8backed Yes | 39c | 102.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 70cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…9dc2backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 52 | 25%13 W · 39 L | -6.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd42c…aed0backed No | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +298.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x30dd…e2f4backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 57c | 99.99$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 673 | 54.7%368 W · 305 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…fdecbacked Yes | 53c | 93.4$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdce0…2dafbacked Yes | 14c | 92.86$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 169 | 25.4%43 W · 126 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9fa…c365backed Yes | 48c | 83.57$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed No | 44c | 82.05$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.95 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 363 | 49.3%179 W · 184 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Yes | 62c | 64.75$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 195 | 40%78 W · 117 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed No | 63c | 63.49$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.49 | 403 | 55.3%223 W · 180 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 56c | 60$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 226 | 56.6%128 W · 98 L | +18.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 55c | 59.99$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.22 | 287 | 54.7%157 W · 130 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0630…9368backed Yes | 49c | 55.78$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.61 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aae…8dc2backed Yes | 39c | 53.92$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7805…3d87backed Yes | 39c | 53.65$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b6…e5b3backed Yes | 59c | 52.65$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x165d…2922backed Yes | 56c | 51.79$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Montenegro win on 2025-11-17?this page
- Will Croatia win on 2025-11-17?Yes won
- Will Montenegro vs. Croatia end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.