TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xdca0…140e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
344
Categories scored
22
Categories below 50
16

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 56 out of 100; worst Serie A at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT17240.7%70 W · 102 L+11.0wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+22.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 172 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+410.2%+$205.1
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$18.33
France vs. England: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$17.27
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$85
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.7
Norway vs. England: Both Teams to Score in Second Halfbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.44
Norway vs. England: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$42.5
Erling Haaland: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.94
Norway vs. England: Norway 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$24.47
Norway vs. England: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$17.62
Norway vs. England: Both Teams to Score in First Halfbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$60.27
Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Norway vs. England: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.91
Spain vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Score in Second Halfbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
France vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
France vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.1
Luis Díaz: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Switzerland vs. Colombia: 1st Half O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Switzerland 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Showing 25 of 172 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT6030%18 W · 42 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-17.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 60 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.86
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+138.1%+$110.48
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$75
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$60
FC Internazionale Milano vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$100.64
FC Barcelona vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$55.45
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Internazionale Milano end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+42.9%+$10.71
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+61.3%+$24.52
Will PSV win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+900%+$225
Arsenal FC vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+63.9%+$63.93
Will Páfos FC win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+100%+$60
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$35
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+212.5%+$42.5
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Chelsea FC vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$80
Manchester City FC vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Manchester City FC vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Olympique de Marseille vs. Newcastle United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+63.9%+$19.18
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$51.52
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$250
Eintracht Frankfurt vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$85.19
Will Galatasaray SK vs. FK Bodø/Glimt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Will Qarabağ Ağdam FK win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Showing 25 of 60 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT1833.3%6 W · 12 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick25cpaid+61.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Music — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Moldova win the first Eurovision Semi-Final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.6
Will Belgium be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.59
Will Albania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Will Greece be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+118.7%+$157.4
Will Romania be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$58.33
Will Moldova be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+1,318.7%+$426.18
Will Greece be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.06
Will Austria win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+360.4%+$1,261.39
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$192.16
Will Greece finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+182.1%+$118.33
Will Switzerland finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$71
Will Greece finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will Malta finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
Will Israel finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$65
Will Israel finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Will Iceland finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
All 18 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Nov 27, 2025, EST1421.4%3 W · 11 L-2.6wins-0.19per pick40cpaid-65%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2025-11-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$14
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2025-11-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+42.9%+$25.71
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2025-11-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$16.5
Will FC Midtjylland win on 2025-11-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will SK Rapid Wien win on 2025-11-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$37
FC Porto vs. OGC Nice: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$29.76
AS Roma vs. FC Midtjylland: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+85.2%+$17.04
Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. Celtic FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+62.3%+$18.69
Will FC Porto win on 2025-10-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Will GNK Dinamo Zagreb win on 2025-10-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will OGC Nice win on 2025-10-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2025-10-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Rangers FC win on 2025-10-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2025-10-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
All 14 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST1369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+32.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City win on 2025-12-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+75.4%+$49.04
Newcastle vs. Tottenham: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+72.4%+$18.1
Chelsea vs. Arsenal: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+85.2%+$51.11
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Crystal Palace vs. Manchester United: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+100.8%+$41.53
Will Tottenham win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$25.18
Will Arsenal win on 2025-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+47.1%+$47.06
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+156.4%+$117.31
Brentford vs. Liverpool: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$26.92
Will Chelsea win on 2025-10-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Chelsea vs. Sunderland AFC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+100%+$49.99
Will Liverpool win on 2025-10-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$70.93
Will Chelsea win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$46.4
All 13 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Nov 30, 2025, EST1258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SC Freiburg win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+88.7%+$22.17
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$155
Bayer Leverkusen vs. Borussia Dortmund: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$281Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+51.8%+$145.49
Will RB Leipzig win on 2025-11-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$86
Will RB Leipzig win on 2025-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+49.3%+$49.25
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$50.54
Bayer Leverkusen vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$150
Will RB Leipzig win on 2025-10-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$27.98
Eintracht Frankfurt vs. FC St. Pauli: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$80
Will Bayer Leverkusen win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$54.74
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+143.9%+$50.37
All 12 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Barcelona win on 2025-12-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+78.6%+$35.36
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Celta Vigo vs. Espanyol: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Villarreal win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+170.3%+$51.08
Getafe vs. Elche CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$80
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+90.8%+$104.39
Getafe vs. Atletico Madrid: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$92.39
Osasuna vs. Celta Vigo: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$65.3
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$44.59
All 9 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Nov 30, 2025, EST812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.31per pick44cpaid-71.6%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
Serie A — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Nov 25, 2025, EST60%0 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Oct 31, 2025, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-38.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Oct 17, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.42per pick25cpaid+90.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Oct 25, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-31.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-10-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$94.62
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+37%+$36.99
All 2 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Oct 31, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Heroic vs Team Liquid (BO3)backed Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.2
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Falcons (BO3)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$45
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$257Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$256.86
All 2 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.2
Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$253Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$252.66
All 2 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Swiss Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Raphael Collignonbacked Raphael Collignon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Oct 12, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cowboys vs. Panthersbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$70
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.