TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Bundesliga · resolved market

Will SC Freiburg win on 2025-11-30?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$82,735
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$93,748

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $82,735 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes53c20,000$10,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,40011445.6%52 W · 62 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No46c18,112$8,330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,329.683,28442.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L-74.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed No46c13,042$5,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,999.3515847.5%75 W · 83 L+10.5wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+18.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes54c10,155$5,484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,671.453645.9%246 W · 290 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c95…ed41backed No47c7,493$3,522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,521.621428.6%4 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-16.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b8e…5c3cbacked No54c2,998$1,629 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,628.911631.3%5 W · 11 L-3.7wins-0.23per pick54cpaid-47%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No49c2,182$1,062 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,061.8223046.5%107 W · 123 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked No25c2,067$521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521.367648.7%37 W · 39 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x80cf…427dbacked Yes52c2,000$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96010445.2%47 W · 57 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+16.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes45c1,945$875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,069.861,35550.9%690 W · 665 L+12.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No46c1,773$822 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$821.875142.5%319 W · 432 L-26.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked No45c1,500$675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67527726.4%73 W · 204 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa225…b903backed Yes80c1,160$928 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2321100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Yes47c1,121$529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$591.6814756.5%83 W · 64 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed Yes52c1,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4803050%15 W · 15 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa01…473cbacked Yes55c1,000$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4501060%6 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0ee…fb4fbacked Yes55c909.64$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.64933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4021…956abacked Yes55c849.09$467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.094753.2%25 W · 22 L+5.2wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+27.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No47c759.09$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.5356547.8%270 W · 295 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No48c644.17$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.0244749.4%221 W · 226 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Yes54c610$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28038055.8%212 W · 168 L-0.9wins0.00per pick56cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked Yes55c545.45$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.452142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4537…491dbacked Yes55c545.45$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.451471.4%10 W · 4 L+3.7wins+0.27per pick45cpaid+68.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No43c529.89$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.7423842.9%102 W · 136 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed No46c500$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23011036.4%40 W · 70 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9678…b4bfbacked Yes54c500$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2302832.1%9 W · 19 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+26.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed No49c499.99$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2453748.6%18 W · 19 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes53c471$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.3710235.3%36 W · 66 L-9.3wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-36.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No38c428.18$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.7651136.8%188 W · 323 L-28.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-24.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3aff…c55ebacked No47c425.53$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ebb…061abacked Yes53c415.09$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.098363.9%53 W · 30 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+9.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x35b9…1d44backed No47c400$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1885044%22 W · 28 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No8c367$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.756347.6%30 W · 33 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c82…b56bbacked Yes55c363.64$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.645552.7%29 W · 26 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed No8c310$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.922332.3%72 W · 151 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-24%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb125…69ebbacked No5c302.79$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.143420.6%7 W · 27 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick14cpaid-9.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9710…80a3backed Yes78c300$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick76cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed Yes48c299.83$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.91837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-30.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Yes53c282.89$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.9624322.2%54 W · 189 L-13.3wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-22.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes52c251.14$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.634342%144 W · 199 L-0.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed No48c249.64$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.334327.9%12 W · 31 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick30cpaid+24.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes53c244.13$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.8210040%40 W · 60 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Yes68c241.41$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.2510463.5%66 W · 38 L+9.8wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+22.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x41e0…a8e0backed No51c240$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.4580%4 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.36per pick44cpaid+106.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6e5e…93ccbacked Yes56c233.93$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.93850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No44c200$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8778248.8%382 W · 400 L-28.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x19bc…7d78backed No46c195.81$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.34452.3%23 W · 21 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+12%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0f66…2ad8backed Yes53c189.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.251747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x13f9…3ab4backed Yes55c185.35$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.413641.7%15 W · 21 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x922d…d82bbacked Yes54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.19250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde17…68d2backed No46c185.19$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.193050%15 W · 15 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-3.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c1b…adcdbacked Yes55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.82771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick55cpaid+29.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf70…7d5fbacked Yes55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.826147.5%29 W · 32 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.8219943.2%86 W · 113 L-0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6bf2…85b7backed Yes56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.572965.5%19 W · 10 L+2.6wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+17.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8a97…1a9cbacked Yes55c178.4$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.28366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+19.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No17c162.99$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.2816542.4%70 W · 95 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b9b…bc4abacked Yes55c150$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.54639.1%18 W · 28 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7705…a442backed Yes55c145.45$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.4515829.1%46 W · 112 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes51c143$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.0715134.4%52 W · 99 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb052…7adabacked Yes52c134.62$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.621861.1%11 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd12f…e80dbacked Yes79c126.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.583450%17 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked No47c123$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.8113142%55 W · 76 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes49c119.8$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.2119347.2%91 W · 102 L-0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fc9…fa88backed No32c112.5$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0965…f434backed Yes80c112.5$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes57c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4322669%156 W · 70 L+13.1wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+25.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb82b…3a09backed No45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452544%11 W · 14 L+2.6wins+0.10per pick34cpaid+72.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed No22c100$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225623.2%13 W · 43 L+0.2wins0.00per pick23cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3238…1521backed Yes53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-26.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Yes62c100$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3844655.4%247 W · 199 L+22.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x051c…f25dbacked Yes53c95$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.653839.5%15 W · 23 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-18.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x84e5…2303backed Yes53c94.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.343036.7%11 W · 19 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-11.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4c9b…e74abacked Yes53c94.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.349542.1%40 W · 55 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7aad…72b7backed Yes53c94.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.34560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6878…bec2backed No49c81.63$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-22.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x15e3…009fbacked Yes52c79.52$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.174744.7%21 W · 26 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8956…755fbacked Yes51c78.43$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.434740.4%19 W · 28 L-6.0wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-24%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc213…80f7backed Yes56c75$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e8f…6b61backed No33c73.91$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.285532.7%18 W · 37 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-23.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf9ba…134ebacked Yes55c69.56$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.32045%9 W · 11 L+3.0wins+0.15per pick30cpaid+47.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6c7d…d19fbacked Yes53c66.62$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.31633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2269…6304backed Yes78c63.72$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.725166.7%34 W · 17 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c7e…d934backed Yes53c56.6$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.62152.4%11 W · 10 L+2.6wins+0.12per pick40cpaid+24.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3fb4…d481backed Yes53c56.6$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.63959%23 W · 16 L+3.2wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+31.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes55c56.36$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.369856.1%55 W · 43 L-5.6wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-8.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x85c5…8cadbacked Yes80c54.69$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.94875%6 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+11.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8816…7082backed Yes55c54.55$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.555347.2%25 W · 28 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-11.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6f19…b9ffbacked No50c51.04$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.521540%6 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a5c…b3f2backed No46c47.92$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.2110150.5%51 W · 50 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdca0…140ebacked Yes53c47.17$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.171258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfed9…6121backed Yes53c47.17$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.17850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-14.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a7b…fdd1backed Yes48c41.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.673063.3%19 W · 11 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0da9…9d56backed Yes53c37.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.741050%5 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-20.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3875…e1ebbacked Yes53c37.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.74333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-37.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4234…6b87backed Yes53c37.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.743464.7%22 W · 12 L+3.6wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+21.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4fdb…6404backed Yes55c36.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.36633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-41.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e9b…829ebacked Yes55c36.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.366053.3%32 W · 28 L+4.9wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+22.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5309…1975backed Yes55c36.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.361361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+12.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8594…7eedbacked Yes55c36.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.365056%28 W · 22 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.