Bundesliga · resolved market
Will SC Freiburg win on 2025-11-30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x946fd3cf218e7a772aaf873adad24701d2600978de2c23687385a1d9b6ddfb62
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $82,735
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $93,748
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $82,735 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 53c | 20,000$10,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,400 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 46c | 18,112$8,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,329.68 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed No | 46c | 13,042$5,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,999.35 | 158 | 47.5%75 W · 83 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 54c | 10,155$5,484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,671.4 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed No | 47c | 7,493$3,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,521.62 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked No | 54c | 2,998$1,629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,628.91 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.7wins | -0.23per pick | 54cpaid | -47%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 49c | 2,182$1,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,061.82 | 230 | 46.5%107 W · 123 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 25c | 2,067$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.36 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 45c | 1,945$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,069.86 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 46c | 1,773$822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$821.8 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked No | 45c | 1,500$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675 | 277 | 26.4%73 W · 204 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa225…b903backed Yes | 80c | 1,160$928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Yes | 47c | 1,121$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.68 | 147 | 56.5%83 W · 64 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Yes | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa01…473cbacked Yes | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ee…fb4fbacked Yes | 55c | 909.64$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.64 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4021…956abacked Yes | 55c | 849.09$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.09 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +5.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 47c | 759.09$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.53 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 48c | 644.17$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.02 | 447 | 49.4%221 W · 226 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 54c | 610$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 380 | 55.8%212 W · 168 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Yes | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.45 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4537…491dbacked Yes | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.45 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.7wins | +0.27per pick | 45cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 43c | 529.89$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.74 | 238 | 42.9%102 W · 136 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed No | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 110 | 36.4%40 W · 70 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9678…b4bfbacked Yes | 54c | 500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed No | 49c | 499.99$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes | 53c | 471$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.37 | 102 | 35.3%36 W · 66 L | -9.3wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 38c | 428.18$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.76 | 511 | 36.8%188 W · 323 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3aff…c55ebacked No | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Yes | 53c | 415.09$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.09 | 83 | 63.9%53 W · 30 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35b9…1d44backed No | 47c | 400$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 8c | 367$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.75 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…b56bbacked Yes | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 8c | 310$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.9 | 223 | 32.3%72 W · 151 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb125…69ebbacked No | 5c | 302.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.14 | 34 | 20.6%7 W · 27 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9710…80a3backed Yes | 78c | 300$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Yes | 48c | 299.83$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.91 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 53c | 282.89$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.96 | 243 | 22.2%54 W · 189 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 52c | 251.14$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.6 | 343 | 42%144 W · 199 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 48c | 249.64$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.33 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes | 53c | 244.13$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.82 | 100 | 40%40 W · 60 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 68c | 241.41$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.25 | 104 | 63.5%66 W · 38 L | +9.8wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x41e0…a8e0backed No | 51c | 240$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.4 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.36per pick | 44cpaid | +106.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5e…93ccbacked Yes | 56c | 233.93$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.93 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 44c | 200$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19bc…7d78backed No | 46c | 195.81$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.3 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +12%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…2ad8backed Yes | 53c | 189.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.25 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13f9…3ab4backed Yes | 55c | 185.35$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.41 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x922d…d82bbacked Yes | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…68d2backed No | 46c | 185.19$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.19 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1b…adcdbacked Yes | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf70…7d5fbacked Yes | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 199 | 43.2%86 W · 113 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf2…85b7backed Yes | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a97…1a9cbacked Yes | 55c | 178.4$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 17c | 162.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.28 | 165 | 42.4%70 W · 95 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Yes | 55c | 150$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Yes | 55c | 145.45$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.45 | 158 | 29.1%46 W · 112 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 51c | 143$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.07 | 151 | 34.4%52 W · 99 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb052…7adabacked Yes | 52c | 134.62$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.62 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd12f…e80dbacked Yes | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked No | 47c | 123$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.81 | 131 | 42%55 W · 76 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 49c | 119.8$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.21 | 193 | 47.2%91 W · 102 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc9…fa88backed No | 32c | 112.5$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0965…f434backed Yes | 80c | 112.5$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 226 | 69%156 W · 70 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb82b…3a09backed No | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +72.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed No | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 56 | 23.2%13 W · 43 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3238…1521backed Yes | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 446 | 55.4%247 W · 199 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x051c…f25dbacked Yes | 53c | 95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.65 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84e5…2303backed Yes | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Yes | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 95 | 42.1%40 W · 55 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aad…72b7backed Yes | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6878…bec2backed No | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…009fbacked Yes | 52c | 79.52$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.17 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8956…755fbacked Yes | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -6.0wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -24%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc213…80f7backed Yes | 56c | 75$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed No | 33c | 73.91$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.28 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ba…134ebacked Yes | 55c | 69.56$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.3 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.15per pick | 30cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6c7d…d19fbacked Yes | 53c | 66.62$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.31 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2269…6304backed Yes | 78c | 63.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.72 | 51 | 66.7%34 W · 17 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c7e…d934backed Yes | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb4…d481backed Yes | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 55c | 56.36$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.36 | 98 | 56.1%55 W · 43 L | -5.6wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85c5…8cadbacked Yes | 80c | 54.69$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.94 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7082backed Yes | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked No | 50c | 51.04$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.52 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed No | 46c | 47.92$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.21 | 101 | 50.5%51 W · 50 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdca0…140ebacked Yes | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfed9…6121backed Yes | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a7b…fdd1backed Yes | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0da9…9d56backed Yes | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3875…e1ebbacked Yes | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4234…6b87backed Yes | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +3.6wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4fdb…6404backed Yes | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Yes | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5309…1975backed Yes | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…7eedbacked Yes | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SC Freiburg win on 2025-11-30?this page
- Will FSV Mainz 05 win on 2025-11-30?No won
- Will SC Freiburg vs. FSV Mainz 05 end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.