Champions League · resolved market
Will Páfos FC win on 2025-11-26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6c484e9ec54c602d952eb8c52cc4602b80b6a4223ebd3581455512b8d722042d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $128,165
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $122,675
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $128,165 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x73c5…2f80backed Yes | 0c | 27,000$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 16c | 3,982$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.98 | 190 | 28.9%55 W · 135 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 12c | 3,691$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.59 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x214d…cd09backed Yes | 14c | 3,350$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 34cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb72b…f4e0backed Yes | 15c | 3,333$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 16c | 3,050$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488 | 402 | 22.9%92 W · 310 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Yes | 16c | 3,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes | 15c | 2,887$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.05 | 132 | 38.6%51 W · 81 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 15c | 2,574$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.98 | 368 | 51.1%188 W · 180 L | +15.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 5c | 2,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | +7.3wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7441…cb79backed Yes | 15c | 1,700$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 16c | 1,500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.98 | 243 | 27.2%66 W · 177 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 7c | 1,353$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.17 | 389 | 35.2%137 W · 252 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5675…f99cbacked Yes | 15c | 1,006$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Yes | 13c | 1,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Yes | 14c | 1,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 174 | 26.4%46 W · 128 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed Yes | 3c | 798.33$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.46 | 84 | 27.4%23 W · 61 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 4c | 735.14$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.53 | 343 | 42.3%145 W · 198 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed Yes | 2c | 719.05$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.43 | 80 | 27.5%22 W · 58 L | -9.8wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -50%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 15c | 667.65$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.03 | 86 | 33.7%29 W · 57 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…af4bbacked Yes | 16c | 625.35$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 54 | 16.7%9 W · 45 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c2a…01fabacked Yes | 15c | 616.87$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.53 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Yes | 18c | 546.46$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cef…d4debacked Yes | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 24c | 500$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.38 | 89 | 59.6%53 W · 36 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bd…df80backed Yes | 21c | 467.86$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 15c | 467.45$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.4 | 160 | 47.5%76 W · 84 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb9…f6b3backed Yes | 15c | 417.75$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.37 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76f…39fcbacked Yes | 15c | 400$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb392…28a5backed Yes | 8c | 371.67$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 11cpaid | +176.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x237e…a5f0backed Yes | 14c | 357.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.1 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c67…910abacked Yes | 17c | 352.47$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.92 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4500…e6e1backed Yes | 3c | 350$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1cf…9656backed Yes | 16c | 333$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.28 | 86 | 26.7%23 W · 63 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…8502backed Yes | 5c | 326.53$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 15c | 300$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 79 | 24.1%19 W · 60 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfe…8aaebacked Yes | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89d8…16dbbacked Yes | 15c | 272$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x045d…185dbacked Yes | 19c | 267.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9776…fc56backed Yes | 17c | 228.76$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb84b…95b1backed Yes | 7c | 213.67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.88 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7470…c5bcbacked Yes | 19c | 212$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes | 15c | 203.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.03 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e1d…0374backed Yes | 15c | 202$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.3 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | +150%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Yes | 17c | 189.98$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.6 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee44…0082backed Yes | 16c | 187.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdca0…140ebacked Yes | 14c | 178.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95db…dc65backed Yes | 19c | 153.21$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.11 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb327…0fccbacked Yes | 14c | 141.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x660e…76ccbacked Yes | 15c | 135.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6aa…8882backed Yes | 15c | 134.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.21 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa1…f2a0backed Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80da…2086backed Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6079…81c6backed Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc270…1379backed Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 37cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4522…ff26backed Yes | 15c | 106.67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa69a…5966backed Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c70…0340backed Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x262d…aaaebacked Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa38b…a04dbacked Yes | 15c | 100.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0a…5270backed Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0c…9d02backed Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9041…187dbacked Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +126.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef60…d6c2backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x322e…a2cebacked Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +7.0wins | +0.26per pick | 45cpaid | +59.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7e6c…3b0fbacked Yes | 14c | 99.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc909…1df4backed Yes | 18c | 88.89$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…9dc2backed Yes | 17c | 88.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 53 | 32.1%17 W · 36 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a0f…a1acbacked Yes | 15c | 85.13$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.77 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bb4…e44cbacked Yes | 18c | 79.47$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e2c…e2fdbacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | +90.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b68…0060backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb0b…e2a3backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972f…ed93backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | +71%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Páfos FC win on 2025-11-26?this page
- Will AS Monaco FC win on 2025-11-26?No won
- Will Páfos FC vs. AS Monaco FC end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.