TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6c70…0340

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
21
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: AI, grading 51 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category AI at 51 out of 100; worst Champions League at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Nov 26, 2025, EST1546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-24.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+37%+$8.14
Will Club Brugge KV win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+44.9%+$9.43
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$23
Will FC København win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+35.1%+$8.08
Will Páfos FC win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will SK Slavia Praha win on 2025-11-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+42.9%+$9.43
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$33
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-11-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$29
Will SSC Napoli win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+29.9%+$5.97
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$24
Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$21
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2025-11-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+132.6%+$29.16
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+112.8%+$27.06
All 15 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+37%+$16.27
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Grizzlies vs. Raptorsbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2025, EST+31.6%+$18.95
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$140.21
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ghislaine Maxwell accuses Trump of sexual misconduct?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$88.97
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2024, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Man City win on 2024-11-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2024, EDT-100%-$22
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$56
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.