TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-11-25?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,008,941
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,074,527

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,008,941 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 580 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8605…750fbacked No61c131,006$80,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79,999.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f58…456cbacked No56c88,295$49,445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49,445.32045%9 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Yes44c78,726$34,639 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44,086.3910443.3%45 W · 59 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes39c71,678$28,225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43,452.8246048.5%223 W · 237 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed No55c51,500$28,325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,325.047346.6%34 W · 39 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes48c44,626$21,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,305.541,99443.9%875 W · 1,119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Yes62c42,500$26,299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,201.467060%42 W · 28 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed No15c27,248$4,087 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,087.169857.1%56 W · 42 L+6.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed No55c25,889$14,276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,275.597146.5%33 W · 38 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid+4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x27c9…2278backed Yes44c25,342$11,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,091.67666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.28per pick39cpaid+75.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed Yes45c24,382$10,972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,4101442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Yes44c20,015$8,893 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,121.919348.4%45 W · 48 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad94…85b1backed No56c19,000$10,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,64010040%40 W · 60 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ae5…8342backed No52c17,853$9,213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,213.220%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Yes41c15,674$6,426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,247.413951.3%20 W · 19 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes39c15,000$5,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,15039842.2%168 W · 230 L+1.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2487…fa80backed No56c15,000$8,420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,419.87333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-46.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x062a…c2a3backed Yes44c13,999$6,149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,849.33250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid+13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Yes48c12,467$5,981 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,485.8517048.2%82 W · 88 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes53c10,700$5,656 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,044.2758248.8%284 W · 298 L+2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3eac…4c8cbacked No56c10,400$5,824 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,8248241.5%34 W · 48 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x37e0…024ebacked No2c10,271$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.427346.6%34 W · 39 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5f2…0234backed Yes43c10,000$4,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,699.921464.3%9 W · 5 L+4.4wins+0.32per pick33cpaid+60.4%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xe916…4563backed Yes45c9,042$4,069 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,973.22850%4 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-7.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1bfe…ab8dbacked Yes45c9,000$4,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,9201369.2%9 W · 4 L+3.0wins+0.23per pick46cpaid+62.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes48c8,886$4,242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,64438343.1%165 W · 218 L-0.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked No56c8,392$4,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,699.5317853.9%96 W · 82 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8aec…1158backed No61c8,182$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,000540%2 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick62cpaid-37.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No17c8,130$1,344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,344.1220343.3%88 W · 115 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-30.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2d6…c0f4backed No16c8,079$1,278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,278.46742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb90c…9a6abacked No61c7,699$4,689 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,689.272470.8%17 W · 7 L+5.1wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+43.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No15c7,465$1,123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,122.6920948.8%102 W · 107 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9d8…65adbacked No12c7,295$875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$875.0320%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes70c7,210$5,055 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,154.9235860.6%217 W · 141 L+21.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Yes43c6,650$2,864 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,786.7639746.9%186 W · 211 L+9.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed No56c6,500$3,660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,659.8513538.5%52 W · 83 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf24…15ecbacked No36c6,396$2,328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,328.092445.8%11 W · 13 L+2.4wins+0.10per pick36cpaid+47.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc2c8…5471backed No56c5,863$3,281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,281.318040%32 W · 48 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Yes43c5,598$2,382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,215.449159.3%54 W · 37 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x19fd…5838backed No55c5,555$3,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,060.3110%0 W · 11 L-4.1wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes44c5,431$2,372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,059.3438043.9%167 W · 213 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes40c5,385$2,148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,237.351,51140.2%608 W · 903 L-6.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x927d…f9fbbacked No14c5,374$752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$752.3230%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf209…97e1backed Yes44c5,227$2,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,927.273531.4%11 W · 24 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick33cpaid+4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Yes61c5,147$3,128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,019.0220462.3%127 W · 77 L+19.1wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+19.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x447e…9710backed Yes44c5,002$2,219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,783.075350.9%27 W · 26 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+16.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x43cb…4bccbacked No0c5,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010631.1%33 W · 73 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Yes45c5,000$2,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,7503661.1%22 W · 14 L+4.7wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+52.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x52e8…c4cdbacked No57c5,000$2,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,849.99650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+61%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21d6…86fdbacked Yes42c5,000$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,899.961127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick39cpaid-42%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b3e…1214backed No57c4,912$2,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,80010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf69f…8c8cbacked Yes43c4,902$2,108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,794.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9665…e721backed No56c4,731$2,662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,662.184540%18 W · 27 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab72…0888backed Yes44c4,545$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,545.451758.8%10 W · 7 L+2.4wins+0.14per pick45cpaid+22.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x87ea…f625backed No56c4,524$2,525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,525.026139.3%24 W · 37 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe66f…bfb8backed No57c4,489$2,559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,559633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-43.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8245…4f87backed No58c4,483$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,6003256.3%18 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c07…34a4backed No57c4,000$2,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,259.99837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-31.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4103…9b9ebacked No58c3,809$2,207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,207.213351.5%17 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x06e6…87e6backed No56c3,569$1,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,998.644744.7%21 W · 26 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe76f…39fcbacked No57c3,527$2,011 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,011.123658.3%21 W · 15 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb4b…ab60backed No57c3,519$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,999.69616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.16per pick32cpaid-72.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb96c…6cc6backed No56c3,515$1,968 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,968.410660.4%64 W · 42 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe85e…0f89backed No57c3,487$1,988 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,987.68333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-47.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeb89…46f1backed No35c3,473$1,224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,224.225246.2%24 W · 28 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x90e0…ff4cbacked No14c3,300$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462382.6%1 W · 37 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick4cpaid+31.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd7b0…bd69backed Yes53c3,114$1,641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,473.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+89.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7087…c61fbacked No57c3,000$1,710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7102445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5eb0…5012backed Yes44c3,000$1,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,679.992236.4%8 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-39.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb0ec…7f1cbacked No24c2,995$729 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$729.17425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-51%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d7d…ec26backed Yes59c2,946$1,733 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,212.02955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes39c2,787$1,088 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,698.9833851.5%174 W · 164 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No30c2,591$783 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$783.4716047.5%76 W · 84 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes47c2,529$1,194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,335.6437544%165 W · 210 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33c2…9818backed No59c2,500$1,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,48010845.4%49 W · 59 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+31.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5293…2f35backed Yes43c2,500$1,075 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,424.96475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick43cpaid+110.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x736f…d0c5backed No56c2,411$1,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,350.243265.6%21 W · 11 L+2.9wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+24.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes37c2,400$898 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,50219028.9%55 W · 135 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick28cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x014c…f5b6backed Yes45c2,398$1,079 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,319.13751.4%19 W · 18 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+7.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed Yes40c2,293$920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,372.9122147.5%105 W · 116 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes44c2,273$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,272.7311737.6%44 W · 73 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb4d…de5abacked Yes45c2,224$1,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,223.254254.8%23 W · 19 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf795…ea82backed No55c2,000$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,099.99922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.28per pick50cpaid-65.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5ba9…59cbbacked Yes43c2,000$860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,139.95560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+19%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7cc1…fdc6backed No56c2,000$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,119.92650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+40.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7441…cb79backed Yes43c1,900$817 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0832429.2%7 W · 17 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick22cpaid-12.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes39c1,843$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,133.2230657.5%176 W · 130 L+11.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d16…85f3backed No57c1,789$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0202236.4%8 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-23.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x202d…c3b1backed No57c1,774$1,016 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,015.871233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-51.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0dd6…5f62backed No56c1,500$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8404860.4%29 W · 19 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick59cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f83…6cd9backed No1c1,500$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-42.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2be4…01adbacked No15c1,344$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.192832.1%9 W · 19 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-47%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7db…c00cbacked No1c1,300$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.82737%10 W · 17 L+2.8wins+0.10per pick27cpaid+9.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed No16c1,300$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20825450%127 W · 127 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7990…c870backed Yes42c1,300$546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$754475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.31per pick44cpaid+47.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe612…abc9backed Yes40c1,287$515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$772.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+129.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b51…e165backed No57c1,250$713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$712.53056.7%17 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed Yes40c1,250$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7505843.1%25 W · 33 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed No38c1,200$452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45213048.5%63 W · 67 L+11.7wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+6.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed No38c1,200$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461.6120643.2%89 W · 117 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.