TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will Chelsea FC vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$76,106
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$73,163

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $76,106 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 169 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x37e0…024ebacked No75c10,000$7,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5007346.6%34 W · 39 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27c9…2278backed Yes25c8,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.28per pick39cpaid+75.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No75c4,570$3,449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,120.581,99443.9%875 W · 1,119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ec2…aebbbacked Yes25c4,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002040%8 W · 12 L-2.5wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-26.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5369…aac5backed Yes26c3,846$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked No75c3,689$2,767 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$922.2810443.3%45 W · 59 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xecd3…4285backed No76c3,350$2,546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$803.992100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf43…ae9abacked No75c3,290$2,467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$822.492770.4%19 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick73cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed No74c3,000$2,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$779.9716349.1%80 W · 83 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+19%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed Yes23c2,000$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46022147.5%105 W · 116 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8944…41d5backed Yes20c1,902$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380.631323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.15per pick38cpaid-58.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked No74c1,634$1,209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424.9217853.9%96 W · 82 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8aa8…debfbacked Yes24c1,464$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.2440%0 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d73…044bbacked No76c1,349$1,026 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.862536%9 W · 16 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-37.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d16…85f3backed Yes2c1,250$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292236.4%8 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-23.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x495f…06b0backed Yes21c1,177$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2503836.8%14 W · 24 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes24c1,054$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.6437544%165 W · 210 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc5b0…f981backed Yes13c1,008$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13020%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x518b…cf8abacked Yes7c977.27$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6510647.2%50 W · 56 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfcf1…99d3backed Yes25c880.84$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.212445.8%11 W · 13 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-20.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x74cd…2319backed Yes2c841.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.4110717.8%19 W · 88 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick14cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2891…8d93backed Yes12c833.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10040%0 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x09ad…04e4backed Yes25c817.92$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.33100%0 W · 10 L-2.6wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe471…c87cbacked Yes5c800$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408720.7%18 W · 69 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-17.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x49b2…4aeebacked Yes25c800$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004339.5%17 W · 26 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf209…97e1backed Yes25c794.76$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.693531.4%11 W · 24 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick33cpaid+4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f9f…2a51backed Yes13c769.23$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004257.1%24 W · 18 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1402…4853backed Yes25c721.28$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.324918.4%9 W · 40 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick23cpaid-15.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes3c721.16$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6138343.1%165 W · 218 L-0.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x873a…2066backed Yes6c652.67$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.118027.5%22 W · 58 L-9.8wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-50%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x06e6…87e6backed No76c650$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1564744.7%21 W · 26 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec73…6af3backed Yes25c628$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1571442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ef5…325ebacked Yes25c600$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502347.8%11 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes25c600$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1508345.8%38 W · 45 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d65…7d4abacked Yes9c581.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502718.5%5 W · 22 L-3.2wins-0.12per pick30cpaid-47.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc44d…935cbacked Yes25c575.04$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.761855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1231…2a02backed Yes26c510.92$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.8440%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7e12…1c24backed Yes25c500$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick30cpaid-82.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe831…a42abacked Yes25c500$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1253847.4%18 W · 20 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c67…63fcbacked No76c500$381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.86159%36 W · 25 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7441…cb79backed Yes24c499.99$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1202429.2%7 W · 17 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick22cpaid-12.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x056a…611fbacked Yes24c427.14$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.294131.7%13 W · 28 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-11.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb31…b83fbacked Yes12c416.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xebc7…92c6backed Yes12c408.33$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49825%2 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-30.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd572…a526backed Yes25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001546.7%7 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.13per pick34cpaid+44.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd538…317cbacked Yes25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005121.6%11 W · 40 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-26.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64ae…ead9backed Yes25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011135.1%39 W · 72 L-6.1wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb0ff…ca90backed Yes24c394.8$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.758151.9%42 W · 39 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ac9…92d3backed Yes25c360.28$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.072634.6%9 W · 17 L+2.8wins+0.11per pick24cpaid+55.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf3e5…092ebacked Yes12c333.33$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+53.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No75c332.01$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.2339746.9%186 W · 211 L+9.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x41fc…a467backed Yes11c317.27$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.91154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+23.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3f8…1afcbacked Yes25c303.22$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7580%0 W · 8 L-2.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4c6c…f7cdbacked Yes17c300.5$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.0150%0 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked No76c298$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.526558.5%38 W · 27 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+24.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xda8f…1d91backed Yes22c292.61$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.21911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick30cpaid-75.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x61a1…6657backed No76c278.3$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.792445.8%11 W · 13 L-4.4wins-0.18per pick64cpaid-35.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x658f…f68bbacked Yes12c250$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303423.5%8 W · 26 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-53.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x19d4…ef88backed Yes13c226.03$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3020%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6673…8a4cbacked Yes25c212$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533432.4%11 W · 23 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb36…9545backed Yes25c209.34$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.925742.1%24 W · 33 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-21.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed No75c209.21$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.279159.3%54 W · 37 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes24c208.35$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5038748.3%187 W · 200 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x45eb…dcb7backed Yes25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd2f…37ddbacked Yes25c200$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4911132.4%36 W · 75 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-23.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf515…0805backed Yes25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503256.3%18 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4702…457fbacked Yes25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502751.9%14 W · 13 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No75c195$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.7533851.5%174 W · 164 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8496…27b6backed Yes26c192.31$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502133.3%7 W · 14 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-43.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6157…932abacked Yes25c171.32$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.83333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce49…c3b9backed Yes24c170.2$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.555939%23 W · 36 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick32cpaid+14.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x25bf…7a56backed Yes18c166.67$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301216.7%2 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick28cpaid-60.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes25c160$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4028639.9%114 W · 172 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-0.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9418…4f2abacked Yes25c160$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4011429.8%34 W · 80 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes23c159.9$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.7819028.9%55 W · 135 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick28cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fc9…fa88backed No76c156.26$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.24746.8%22 W · 25 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa50…dc15backed Yes24c150$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3620%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x722c…09ebbacked Yes25c150$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.5520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-58.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb54…8a7ebacked Yes25c150$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-12.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x25e1…1046backed Yes16c140$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick31cpaid+93.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked No76c131.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.5812546.4%58 W · 67 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8147…ab6cbacked Yes12c125$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152231.8%7 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-39%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeb89…46f1backed No78c123.28$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.455246.2%24 W · 28 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3cd9…49f6backed Yes25c120$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick24cpaid+55.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05e2…c5c6backed Yes25c120$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302458.3%14 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb251…6f5bbacked Yes25c112$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.884143.9%18 W · 23 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x297d…ab75backed Yes23c104.05$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.47333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick27cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b9b…bc4abacked Yes25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252035%7 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c25…606ebacked Yes25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252040%8 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-25.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6e30…01b0backed Yes25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251758.8%10 W · 7 L+2.3wins+0.14per pick45cpaid+24.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6305…cb88backed Yes25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-67.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x105a…50ddbacked Yes12c100$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick26cpaid-36.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3bf…e70fbacked Yes24c100$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245722.8%13 W · 44 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick20cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e3b…f1c5backed Yes25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2550%0 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked Yes21c100$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214032.5%13 W · 27 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0774…da5dbacked Yes25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick25cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98fa…d698backed Yes26c100$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262030%6 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-26.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5362…d3fbbacked Yes25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257341.1%30 W · 43 L-5.5wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-23%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xae2a…179cbacked Yes12c100$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121020%2 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-54.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x13c0…911dbacked Yes23c100$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.