TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x05e2…c5c6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
187
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Premier League, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 57 out of 100; worst NBA at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
La Ligalast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT3548.6%17 W · 18 L-5.1wins-0.15per pick63cpaid-22.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
La Liga — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$39.89
Will Malaga CF achieve promotion from LALIGA 2 to LALIGA for the 2026-27 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+81.2%+$17.86
Will Jose Mourinho be appointed as manager of Real Madrid?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will RC Deportivo La Coruña win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+71.8%+$71.79
Will Girona FC win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$24.63
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$16.67
Will CA Osasuna vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.2
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.12
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.74
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+25%+$12.35
Will Atlético Madrid win Copa Del Rey?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$196.52
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.18
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$59.09
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$195.56
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+92.4%+$92.38
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+37%+$36.99
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$120
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+39.9%+$39.87
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+56.3%+$28.13
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+28.2%+$14.1
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT3256.3%18 W · 14 L-5.0wins-0.16per pick72cpaid-23.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
NBA — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$14.1
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$23.53
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$15.79
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$14.94
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$5.64
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.92
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
76ers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$62.25
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.68
Thunder vs. Sunsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$27.83
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$62.25
Spurs vs. Warriorsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+42.9%+$12.86
Mavericks vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Pelicans vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+29.9%+$8.96
Raptors vs. Hornetsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Timberwolves vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+28.8%+$38.24
Knicks vs. Hornetsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+35.1%+$17.57
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST2860.7%17 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get at least 150M views in its first 7 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+31.7%+$6.33
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+44.9%+$44.93
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+39.7%+$39.72
Texans vs. Patriotsbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$30
49ers vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+31.6%+$31.58
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Texans vs. Steelersbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+63.9%+$63.93
Chargers vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+53.8%+$26.92
Seahawks vs. 49ersbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+33.3%+$10
Falcons vs. Buccaneersbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Eagles vs. Chargersbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Texans vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Broncos vs. Raidersbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+26.6%+$13.29
Seahawks vs. Falconsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+29.9%+$14.94
Cowboys vs. Lionsbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$44.67
Giants vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+29.1%+$29.08
Jaguars vs. Titansbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+44.7%+$35.72
Spread: Eagles (-7.5)backed Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+85.2%+$17.04
Bengals vs. Ravensbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$38.6
Chiefs vs. Cowboysbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Buccaneers vs. Ramsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+30.4%+$45.66
Buccaneers vs. Rams: O/U 49.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Colts vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+33.3%+$16.67
Cowboys vs. Raidersbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+53.8%+$26.92
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT2458.3%14 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$265Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+118%+$312.72
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Will Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) reach the UEFA Champions League final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+94.8%+$100.45
Will Arsenal reach the UEFA Champions League final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+47.6%+$95.14
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$44.93
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$40.85
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Will Atlético Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$523Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+38.2%+$199.71
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.88
Manchester City FC vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$18.39
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Real Madrid CF vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+49.3%+$9.85
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+44.9%+$8.99
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+25%+$12.5
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+33.3%+$16.67
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+31.6%+$15.79
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+127.3%+$30.55
FC Internazionale Milano vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$20
FC Barcelona vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will Chelsea FC vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+127.3%+$38.18
All 24 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT2171.4%15 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+6.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will USA reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$67
Will Brazil reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Morocco reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+37%+$33.7
Will Portugal reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$42.82
Will Austria reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will England win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$33.47
Will Brazil reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+38.1%+$42.86
Will Canada reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+37%+$11.1
Will Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$21.67
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$38.19
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$21.98
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$19.77
Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$8.17
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$20.42
Will France win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$24.63
Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$26.67
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$12.26
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$21.43
All 21 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT1266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.1wins0.00per pick66cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wimbledon ATP: Roman Safiullin vs Novak Djokovicbacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+28.4%+$21.09
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$440Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+34.9%+$153.61
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$56.41
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$17.57
Will Casper Ruud win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Bustabacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$6.32
Roland Garros ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Martin Landalucebacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$10
Madrid Open: Rafael Jodar vs Alex de Minaurbacked Alex de Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.15
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+35.7%+$7.14
Australian Open Women's: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakinabacked Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$30
ATP World Tour Finals, Final Stage: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+61.3%+$30.65
ATP World Tour Finals, Bjorn Borg Group: Ben Shelton vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 12 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1090%9 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.22per pick68cpaid+35.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$31.58
Will Manchester City win the 2025-2026 FA Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$17.57
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$58.73
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+37%+$18.49
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$108.17
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+48.4%+$32.41
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$25.23
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+100%+$32.98
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+51.5%+$16.48
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+38.9%+$7.78
All 10 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+26.7%+$26.68
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+57.4%+$28.7
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+59.4%+$23.78
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+37%+$18.49
Hyperliquid all time high by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+26.6%+$13.29
Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Ethereum dip to $3,000 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+37%+$36.99
All 9 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick70cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Buffalo vs. Central Michiganbacked Central Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+78.6%+$78.57
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crystal Palace win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa Conference League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$25.76
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Penguins vs. Flyersbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$19.12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.