NHL · resolved market
Penguins vs. Flyers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb2c5e24d5fc75b10f3e592e51ce9c41efa38d1d4725655dd2bfb1aac53226267
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Penguinsof Penguins, Flyers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,236,938
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,278,576
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,236,938 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 923 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Penguins | 46c | 755,446$351,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404,444.26 | 203 | 54.2%110 W · 93 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Flyers | 54c | 514,703$275,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275,940.05 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Flyers | 54c | 264,698$142,906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142,905.94 | 287 | 49.8%143 W · 144 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47a8…52f9backed Flyers | 54c | 152,000$81,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81,680 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Flyers | 54c | 125,000$67,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66,999.93 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd92…6b2abacked Penguins | 46c | 119,536$54,987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64,549.58 | 146 | 50.7%74 W · 72 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Penguins | 71c | 88,236$62,668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,567.47 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bec…b215backed Penguins | 46c | 82,247$37,833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,413.11 | 164 | 42.7%70 W · 94 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9976…67dabacked Penguins | 47c | 72,760$34,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,272.47 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Penguins | 46c | 67,640$31,341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,299.07 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Flyers | 53c | 62,349$33,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,032.04 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Flyers | 53c | 55,000$29,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,200 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Flyers | 54c | 45,273$24,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,224.25 | 403 | 56.3%227 W · 176 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Penguins | 55c | 44,744$24,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,312.05 | 184 | 52.7%97 W · 87 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Penguins | 54c | 44,374$23,984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,390.07 | 377 | 54.4%205 W · 172 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Penguins | 46c | 42,070$19,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,717.57 | 188 | 53.2%100 W · 88 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked Penguins | 55c | 25,217$13,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,386.77 | 91 | 57.1%52 W · 39 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c4…475dbacked Flyers | 19c | 24,269$4,559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,559.18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Penguins | 54c | 21,872$11,803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,068.94 | 92 | 60.9%56 W · 36 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Penguins | 53c | 21,111$11,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,938.89 | 334 | 50.9%170 W · 164 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5954…7d41backed Penguins | 46c | 20,966$9,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,321.91 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Penguins | 46c | 13,565$6,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,334.78 | 485 | 49.7%241 W · 244 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99e0…5052backed Flyers | 53c | 11,487$6,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,087.9 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Penguins | 45c | 11,352$5,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,191.12 | 594 | 50.8%302 W · 292 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…c67ebacked Flyers | 52c | 10,248$5,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,326.44 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +4.8wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Penguins | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,199.88 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Penguins | 46c | 9,999$4,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,399.48 | 129 | 50.4%65 W · 64 L | +10.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd344…6862backed Flyers | 53c | 9,535$5,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,053.36 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Flyers | 32c | 9,489$3,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,024.28 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Flyers | 26c | 9,389$2,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,465.32 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Flyers | 53c | 8,337$4,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,418.77 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Penguins | 46c | 8,084$3,726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,358.17 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…f361backed Flyers | 53c | 7,334$3,887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,887.2 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Penguins | 46c | 7,110$3,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,812.73 | 331 | 51.7%171 W · 160 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ac…1eebbacked Flyers | 54c | 6,504$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500.25 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Penguins | 66c | 6,369$4,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,143.38 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Flyers | 52c | 6,149$3,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,197.35 | 193 | 53.9%104 W · 89 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed Flyers | 35c | 6,117$2,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,141.03 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Flyers | 53c | 6,028$3,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,173.56 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Flyers | 53c | 5,943$3,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,150.03 | 315 | 50.8%160 W · 155 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Penguins | 45c | 5,599$2,542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,057.3 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Penguins | 48c | 5,323$2,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,767.94 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb19f…dd0ebacked Flyers | 55c | 5,307$2,919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,919 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Penguins | 69c | 5,230$3,612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,618.3 | 403 | 51.9%209 W · 194 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…9858backed Penguins | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,649.98 | 291 | 46.7%136 W · 155 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Flyers | 53c | 4,733$2,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,508.44 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked Penguins | 48c | 4,553$2,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,367.75 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x630e…3a86backed Penguins | 64c | 4,522$2,912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,609.93 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f08…5afbbacked Penguins | 45c | 4,435$1,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,439.16 | 90 | 38.9%35 W · 55 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…17bfbacked Penguins | 46c | 4,294$1,968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,326.45 | 254 | 47.2%120 W · 134 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Penguins | 56c | 4,108$2,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,794.75 | 197 | 59.4%117 W · 80 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b3…0329backed Penguins | 48c | 4,037$1,938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,099.07 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00ff…f7adbacked Penguins | 48c | 4,027$1,923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,104.29 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Penguins | 71c | 4,000$2,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,160 | 154 | 48.1%74 W · 80 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Penguins | 46c | 4,000$1,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,139.99 | 267 | 50.2%134 W · 133 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83a0…eabbbacked Penguins | 46c | 3,934$1,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,124.43 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Penguins | 65c | 3,628$2,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,252.17 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Penguins | 50c | 3,476$1,732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,744.54 | 228 | 53.9%123 W · 105 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Flyers | 26c | 3,423$876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875.51 | 112 | 51.8%58 W · 54 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c55…97d4backed Flyers | 55c | 3,216$1,769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,768.91 | 56 | 62.5%35 W · 21 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Flyers | 52c | 3,129$1,638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,637.83 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Penguins | 46c | 3,121$1,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,685.53 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef2…ccfbbacked Penguins | 61c | 2,998$1,833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,165.17 | 126 | 54.8%69 W · 57 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Penguins | 74c | 2,920$2,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748.03 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Penguins | 75c | 2,862$2,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.24 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3354…5042backed Flyers | 54c | 2,835$1,523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,522.51 | 45 | 68.9%31 W · 14 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Flyers | 50c | 2,704$1,352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,352.18 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc521…b46abacked Flyers | 53c | 2,682$1,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,422.03 | 72 | 58.3%42 W · 30 L | +6.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Flyers | 53c | 2,673$1,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,413.48 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ac…8de4backed Penguins | 47c | 2,575$1,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,364.75 | 77 | 61%47 W · 30 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Flyers | 54c | 2,500$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 227 | 47.6%108 W · 119 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Flyers | 25c | 2,492$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.54 | 138 | 41.3%57 W · 81 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Flyers | 53c | 2,472$1,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,310.05 | 270 | 48.1%130 W · 140 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Penguins | 48c | 2,404$1,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,261.83 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe988…cf23backed Penguins | 45c | 2,300$1,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,265 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 40cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41dc…6bbebacked Flyers | 31c | 2,260$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693.41 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9c7…5d22backed Flyers | 21c | 2,110$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.9 | 84 | 45.2%38 W · 46 L | +14.8wins | +0.18per pick | 28cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…03c2backed Flyers | 41c | 2,108$868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$868.44 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8d…8b2cbacked Flyers | 16c | 2,039$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.23 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Penguins | 61c | 2,015$1,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$794.57 | 149 | 46.3%69 W · 80 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8af8…adc5backed Flyers | 17c | 2,005$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.85 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed Flyers | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.99 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Penguins | 45c | 2,000$908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,091.81 | 204 | 50%102 W · 102 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9116…f76abacked Flyers | 52c | 1,911$994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$993.78 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed Flyers | 54c | 1,801$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$972.4 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa969…1a84backed Penguins | 46c | 1,799$826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$973 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Flyers | 18c | 1,761$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.96 | 295 | 33.6%99 W · 196 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Penguins | 73c | 1,647$1,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.65 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Penguins | 60c | 1,607$958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.3 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Penguins | 45c | 1,606$723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$883.06 | 106 | 63.2%67 W · 39 L | +7.7wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc5c8…76b4backed Flyers | 31c | 1,545$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.15 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Flyers | 54c | 1,521$816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$815.98 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ad…45f9backed Penguins | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.99 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -5.8wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -30%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf429…969ebacked Flyers | 32c | 1,471$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.99 | 340 | 40.3%137 W · 203 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Flyers | 8c | 1,444$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.64 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5db9…e95fbacked Penguins | 47c | 1,400$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741.94 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Flyers | 53c | 1,400$744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$743.73 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Flyers | 52c | 1,361$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$706.82 | 123 | 55.3%68 W · 55 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Penguins | 69c | 1,356$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.77 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e59…1520backed Flyers | 29c | 1,343$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.35 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Penguins vs. Flyersthis page
- Penguins vs. Flyers: O/U 4.5Over won
- Penguins vs. Flyers: O/U 5.5Over won
- Penguins vs. Flyers: O/U 6.5Under won
- Penguins vs. Flyers: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Flyers (-1.5)Penguins won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.