NHL · resolved market
Penguins vs. Flyers: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa91f1b6b7bbcb7d30a002d50013cb53852c1c3222c9f97eeb8ea48b697da1bc1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $190,353
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $191,010
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $190,353 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x47a8…52f9backed Under | 59c | 120,500$70,974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49,525.6 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Over | 41c | 105,830$43,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,390.31 | 403 | 51.9%209 W · 194 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85a4…9aabbacked Under | 59c | 23,906$14,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,812.49 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 66cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9f…08f9backed Over | 0c | 22,561$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.56 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 22cpaid | -78%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Over | 41c | 21,342$8,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,750.26 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 42c | 11,582$4,865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,864.61 | 418 | 42.8%179 W · 239 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 27c | 3,050$816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$815.98 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c55…97d4backed Under | 64c | 2,417$1,541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$876.07 | 56 | 62.5%35 W · 21 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Over | 31c | 2,237$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.51 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 41c | 2,061$845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$845.03 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe65b…271bbacked Under | 70c | 2,000$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 41c | 1,230$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.24 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Over | 40c | 1,173$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.79 | 261 | 54%141 W · 120 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…3d6abacked Over | 41c | 1,013$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.14 | 177 | 61.6%109 W · 68 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 33c | 947.96$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.74 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Over | 42c | 804.36$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.83 | 294 | 48.6%143 W · 151 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 30c | 646.61$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.97 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 62c | 635.3$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.54 | 254 | 49.6%126 W · 128 L | -15.0wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbba5…cb7dbacked Over | 60c | 488.17$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.03 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Over | 19c | 480$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.23 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Over | 41c | 474.46$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.38 | 502 | 51.2%257 W · 245 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 41c | 456$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.96 | 145 | 51%74 W · 71 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 67c | 445.21$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.4 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 37c | 438.97$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.1 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7a…bc22backed Over | 46c | 396.17$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.94 | 358 | 29.3%105 W · 253 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 41c | 330$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.3 | 381 | 47.2%180 W · 201 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Over | 32c | 321.69$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.63 | 115 | 43.5%50 W · 65 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Over | 36c | 250.09$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.19 | 295 | 33.6%99 W · 196 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 41c | 231.21$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.8 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5529…86d2backed Under | 60c | 217.28$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.5 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 66c | 211.82$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.02 | 336 | 47.9%161 W · 175 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Under | 66c | 211.82$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.02 | 332 | 51.5%171 W · 161 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4a…f43dbacked Over | 8c | 210.65$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.92 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26fb…67b8backed Over | 65c | 200$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 128 | 59.4%76 W · 52 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 33c | 180$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.28 | 140 | 45.7%64 W · 76 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under | 61c | 175.2$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.33 | 318 | 28.3%90 W · 228 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 30c | 167.71$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.97 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5e…95e3backed Over | 33c | 162.48$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.62 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0764…41d1backed Under | 54c | 162.33$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.67 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc510…5c9fbacked Under | 69c | 158.51$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Over | 37c | 152.75$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.58 | 208 | 55.8%116 W · 92 L | +10.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0199…4e86backed Under | 59c | 141.59$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.05 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Over | 36c | 131.79$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.1 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d78…7b8dbacked Under | 71c | 128.26$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under | 78c | 127.01$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.35 | 103 | 67%69 W · 34 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 42c | 105$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.1 | 287 | 49.8%143 W · 144 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…2e02backed Under | 77c | 102.5$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.54 | 44 | 77.3%34 W · 10 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe479…70dfbacked Over | 31c | 97.47$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.69 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -5.3wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a11…db4bbacked Under | 75c | 93.79$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.61 | 141 | 53.9%76 W · 65 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 43c | 84.27$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.73 | 657 | 21.9%144 W · 513 L | -105.6wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 28c | 83$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.24 | 222 | 50.5%112 W · 110 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 59c | 81.93$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.59 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc921…d6f3backed Over | 42c | 80.3$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.72 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Over | 28c | 80$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 315 | 40.3%127 W · 188 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16db…8d0fbacked Over | 37c | 75.41$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.9 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d0…8dcebacked Over | 43c | 72.44$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.15 | 180 | 46.7%84 W · 96 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ab…f338backed Over | 42c | 70.09$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.44 | 143 | 51.7%74 W · 69 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28af…7de0backed Over | 42c | 69.49$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.19 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +4.4wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 35c | 69.02$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.6 | 618 | 48.1%297 W · 321 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2baf…8023backed Under | 58c | 68.72$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.86 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0eb…af1ebacked Over | 43c | 68.12$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.97 | 172 | 27.3%47 W · 125 L | -17.4wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc0…af1abacked Over | 43c | 68.04$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.97 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Over | 35c | 65.22$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.07 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Under | 58c | 50.39$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.15 | 719 | 52.4%377 W · 342 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c9…a454backed Over | 41c | 50.39$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.66 | 96 | 47.9%46 W · 50 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeca6…08ffbacked Over | 41c | 48.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.09 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Over | 39c | 48.22$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.81 | 123 | 57.7%71 W · 52 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6762…a9a5backed Over | 37c | 47.44$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.75 | 102 | 60.8%62 W · 40 L | +9.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed Under | 59c | 44.01$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.02 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 37c | 41.29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.84 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x008d…b839backed Over | 54c | 40.93$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.1 | 450 | 69.3%312 W · 138 L | +51.6wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe583…95ebbacked Under | 77c | 40.55$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 26 | 80.8%21 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 75cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31c8…9487backed Over | 32c | 40.2$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.78 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Under | 57c | 36.79$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.82 | 311 | 48.2%150 W · 161 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2e…7f4ebacked Under | 59c | 32.72$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.41 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x303a…7c84backed Under | 46c | 31.93$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.24 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +71.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1df6…cba0backed Over | 37c | 30.59$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 120 | 45.8%55 W · 65 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19d0…d20bbacked Under | 68c | 28.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed Under | 64c | 27.8$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.02 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bac…f1a6backed Under | 53c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.69 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 41c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 42c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77f8…9e14backed Under | 59c | 24.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.17 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Under | 45c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.32 | 345 | 47.8%165 W · 180 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 61c | 22.91$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.87 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc451…958cbacked Under | 59c | 21.18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.68 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6077…3231backed Over | 63c | 19.56$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Under | 73c | 15.52$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.19 | 288 | 47.2%136 W · 152 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Penguins vs. Flyers: O/U 6.5this page
- Penguins vs. FlyersPenguins won
- Penguins vs. Flyers: O/U 4.5Over won
- Penguins vs. Flyers: O/U 5.5Over won
- Penguins vs. Flyers: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Flyers (-1.5)Penguins won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.