NHL · resolved market
Penguins vs. Flyers: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1e4b45c031b829db79760630d725bd5f6f023e0ea21631003f13c56e864eaf67
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $74,852
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $71,877
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,852 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3c9f…08f9backed Under | 0c | 20,681$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.68 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 22cpaid | -78%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47a8…52f9backed Under | 45c | 10,352$4,658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,658.45 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 55c | 8,472$4,659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,812.27 | 418 | 42.8%179 W · 239 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 69c | 5,465$3,756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,708.63 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 39c | 5,133$2,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,131.43 | 138 | 41.3%57 W · 81 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed Under | 61c | 5,014$3,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,058.71 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 45c | 2,890$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300.41 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Over | 55c | 2,500$1,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125 | 318 | 48.7%155 W · 163 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Under | 27c | 2,400$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.39 | 295 | 33.6%99 W · 196 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over | 54c | 2,032$1,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$928.25 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Under | 27c | 1,891$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.41 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 33c | 1,440$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.94 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Under | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.95 | 229 | 46.3%106 W · 123 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 45c | 1,100$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.95 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7a…bc22backed Under | 44c | 1,098$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.2 | 358 | 29.3%105 W · 253 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9916…bcb2backed Under | 35c | 1,093$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.57 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 55c | 1,079$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.65 | 287 | 49.8%143 W · 144 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2f…9123backed Under | 29c | 1,022$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.7 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 54c | 997.77$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.74 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa676…a4c5backed Under | 30c | 985.04$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.51 | 134 | 37.3%50 W · 84 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Over | 53c | 944.57$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.95 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf63a…90e6backed Over | 49c | 882.1$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.86 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c5b…cc75backed Under | 47c | 825$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.27 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe479…70dfbacked Under | 27c | 812.49$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.24 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -5.3wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Under | 28c | 776.38$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.38 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 46c | 753.59$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.21 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Under | 42c | 731$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.4 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 26c | 690.76$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.02 | 1,028 | 53.2%547 W · 481 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Over | 65c | 638.83$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.52 | 115 | 43.5%50 W · 65 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 65c | 621.98$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.57 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 45c | 619.98$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.99 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under | 36c | 534.22$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.32 | 318 | 28.3%90 W · 228 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3b…7928backed Over | 56c | 521.76$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Under | 44c | 452.98$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.31 | 184 | 53.8%99 W · 85 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 47c | 415.42$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.82 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…643cbacked Over | 52c | 396.91$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.78 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbba5…cb7dbacked Over | 60c | 381.45$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.22 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b84…6accbacked Under | 36c | 373.96$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.62 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc81a…c368backed Under | 46c | 330$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.8 | 244 | 42.6%104 W · 140 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…fde8backed Over | 54c | 305.94$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.73 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 45c | 300.6$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.27 | 381 | 47.2%180 W · 201 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 54c | 267.55$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.1 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 45c | 245.2$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.34 | 145 | 51%74 W · 71 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 33c | 226.61$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.16 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1f…48a4backed Under | 62c | 204.84$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.03 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 40c | 200.27$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.83 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6077…3231backed Under | 28c | 197.32$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.99 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5782…8ce5backed Over | 55c | 194.6$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.57 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 57c | 185.18$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.63 | 140 | 45.7%64 W · 76 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed Under | 17c | 181$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.2 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3492…969abacked Under | 27c | 177.07$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.81 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d6a…26f7backed Over | 55c | 176.91$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.61 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Under | 43c | 175.88$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.63 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Under | 45c | 168.6$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.87 | 477 | 53.9%257 W · 220 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc596…2a8bbacked Under | 46c | 148.01$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.09 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…3590backed Under | 46c | 148.01$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.09 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Under | 45c | 138.45$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.3 | 355 | 51%181 W · 174 L | +18.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 52c | 136$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.98 | 222 | 50.5%112 W · 110 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3468…e71ebacked Under | 58c | 130$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.4 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9342…4d78backed Over | 43c | 120$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.4 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd8…eecabacked Over | 55c | 119.38$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.21 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb91…f1edbacked Under | 47c | 101.97$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.93 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Under | 44c | 97.09$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.72 | 106 | 63.2%67 W · 39 L | +7.7wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 40c | 96.4$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.84 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Over | 54c | 93.08$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.08 | 123 | 57.7%71 W · 52 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad9e…53c2backed Over | 79c | 88.75$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.64 | 23 | 87%20 W · 3 L | +3.0wins | +0.13per pick | 74cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 45c | 83.15$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.95 | 618 | 48.1%297 W · 321 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Over | 42c | 81.08$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.9 | 283 | 40.3%114 W · 169 L | -24.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x10a1…97e6backed Under | 58c | 77.04$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.05 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 64cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ad…5097backed Under | 38c | 74.21$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.99 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d0…8dcebacked Over | 55c | 72.98$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.84 | 180 | 46.7%84 W · 96 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5e…95e3backed Under | 35c | 70.42$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40e1…65a4backed Under | 36c | 68.38$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.62 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -4.1wins | -0.26per pick | 57cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0d30…5f85backed Under | 36c | 68.38$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.62 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 28c | 66.01$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.59 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef2…5584backed Under | 44c | 65.89$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.99 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 47c | 64.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.77 | 657 | 21.9%144 W · 513 L | -105.6wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x9f28…d173backed Over | 70c | 63.99$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 108 | 65.7%71 W · 37 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa11f…1252backed Under | 36c | 62.81$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.51 | 52 | 69.2%36 W · 16 L | +8.9wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 55c | 60$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.2 | 823 | 53.1%437 W · 386 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8f…de8abacked Under | 25c | 59.97$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b3e…b265backed Under | 41c | 58.75$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.12 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x008d…b839backed Over | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 450 | 69.3%312 W · 138 L | +51.6wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Under | 45c | 49.8$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.23 | 502 | 51.2%257 W · 245 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeca6…08ffbacked Under | 41c | 49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.09 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61d3…189abacked Under | 36c | 48.85$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.59 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Under | 46c | 48.38$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.25 | 189 | 41.8%79 W · 110 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x033c…b4afbacked Over | 55c | 46.79$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.06 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Under | 30c | 46.75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.14 | 345 | 47.8%165 W · 180 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f5a…669bbacked Over | 55c | 43.79$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.59 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9865…f6afbacked Under | 27c | 43.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.79 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Over | 55c | 41.42$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.58 | 84 | 69%58 W · 26 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82d7…9900backed Under | 47c | 40.79$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.17 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf6a…959fbacked Over | 55c | 38.04$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.12 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8769…04aebacked Over | 75c | 34.15$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Over | 46c | 33.94$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.45 | 145 | 42.8%62 W · 83 L | +9.4wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x89d1…55b8backed Under | 47c | 30.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd281…d824backed Under | 47c | 29.75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 100 | 33%33 W · 67 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Over | 72c | 29.21$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.29 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.19per pick | 59cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0c38…291fbacked Over | 73c | 23.27$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.28 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Penguins vs. Flyers: O/U 5.5this page
- Penguins vs. FlyersPenguins won
- Penguins vs. Flyers: O/U 4.5Over won
- Penguins vs. Flyers: O/U 6.5Under won
- Penguins vs. Flyers: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Flyers (-1.5)Penguins won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.