Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in February?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbfccf9f1597b7c4a06d72f39ddb81f0347c4555b98e578f546bdfb2d5af6b18e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,831,697
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,492,149
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,831,697 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 795 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1963…dd0cbacked Yes | 2c | 488,109$7,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,969.74 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fdf…4452backed Yes | 4c | 218,910$7,861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,860.95 | 101 | 5.9%6 W · 95 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | +121.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1461…22d8backed No | 75c | 79,327$59,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,164.64 | 27 | 77.8%21 W · 6 L | +7.0wins | +0.26per pick | 52cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed Yes | 6c | 77,917$5,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,038.95 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0970…5ae4backed Yes | 12c | 76,248$9,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,122.75 | 280 | 21.1%59 W · 221 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…51a0backed Yes | 5c | 73,782$3,506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,506.16 | 133 | 3.8%5 W · 128 L | -10.2wins | -0.08per pick | 11cpaid | -83.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f88…b10ebacked Yes | 4c | 66,961$2,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,900 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4da…f756backed Yes | 31c | 62,432$19,331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,330.56 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | +6.7wins | +0.18per pick | 12cpaid | +349.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7804…7025backed Yes | 1c | 61,798$743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$743.48 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -74.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4399…e034backed Yes | 1c | 61,012$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6402…2fa1backed Yes | 7c | 53,154$3,816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,816.09 | 64 | 3.1%2 W · 62 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c1…8a69backed Yes | 14c | 48,457$6,784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,784 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6590…3a26backed Yes | 0c | 47,959$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.96 | 229 | 0%0 W · 229 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8e5…a18dbacked Yes | 0c | 37,500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f64…52d2backed Yes | 1c | 35,362$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.16 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17f5…cbbebacked Yes | 1c | 35,317$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.56 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…9c10backed No | 79c | 33,922$26,813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,108.05 | 143 | 37.1%53 W · 90 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf18b…0f98backed Yes | 1c | 33,686$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.32 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70da…fc5bbacked Yes | 11c | 31,306$3,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,410.9 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3822…b720backed Yes | 12c | 31,217$3,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,789.95 | 86 | 34.9%30 W · 56 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7277…ab80backed Yes | 19c | 28,605$5,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,555.32 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.26per pick | 29cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x944f…28dabacked Yes | 29c | 28,178$8,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,298 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 18cpaid | +139.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 3c | 23,627$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736.01 | 678 | 5.9%40 W · 638 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d7…cf9bbacked Yes | 13c | 22,880$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x102f…7a56backed Yes | 19c | 22,592$4,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,372.02 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x422e…8a52backed Yes | 2c | 22,247$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.82 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x477a…2d8ebacked Yes | 36c | 22,227$8,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,083.27 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +4.1wins | +0.31per pick | 30cpaid | +562.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe4…01b7backed No | 73c | 20,667$15,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,494.92 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90bb…531fbacked Yes | 0c | 19,237$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 71 | 0%0 W · 71 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 1c | 19,175$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.5 | 416 | 3.1%13 W · 403 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3fe…3f4fbacked No | 74c | 18,580$13,698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,882.84 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507d…4ff0backed Yes | 8c | 18,462$1,487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,486.66 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.24per pick | 9cpaid | +275.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c0…fad2backed Yes | 0c | 18,307$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.31 | 31 | 0%0 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bef…62a4backed Yes | 7c | 18,243$1,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,189.6 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef03…eb12backed Yes | 1c | 18,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17f1…0528backed Yes | 1c | 17,704$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.82 | 30 | 6.7%2 W · 28 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…3d69backed Yes | 32c | 16,869$5,394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,394.4 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f69…d657backed Yes | 4c | 16,860$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.2 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 9cpaid | +184.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b76…c036backed Yes | 0c | 16,282$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.28 | 26 | 0%0 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0bf…2032backed Yes | 12c | 16,020$1,968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,968.15 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -66.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d7…45f2backed Yes | 9c | 16,000$1,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,480 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x716d…4206backed Yes | 37c | 15,000$5,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,500 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5533…51babacked Yes | 1c | 14,637$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.22 | 197 | 0%0 W · 197 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44fb…4ababacked Yes | 2c | 14,421$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.07 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4af2…c0d6backed Yes | 7c | 14,411$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4661…a2a8backed Yes | 2c | 14,144$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25af…bcafbacked Yes | 6c | 14,074$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880.36 | 399 | 8.5%34 W · 365 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97bc…30cdbacked Yes | 26c | 13,233$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 67 | 23.9%16 W · 51 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 18cpaid | +111.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb061…5b1cbacked Yes | 13c | 13,075$1,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,709.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3b…1d77backed Yes | 10c | 13,000$1,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,308.81 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -59%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7257…fc40backed Yes | 1c | 12,257$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.52 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -50%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28ef…df7dbacked Yes | 2c | 11,765$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 17c | 11,031$1,883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,883.39 | 648 | 12%78 W · 570 L | -61.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x51ba…bc23backed Yes | 9c | 10,983$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc6…43c4backed Yes | 0c | 10,837$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf26…319bbacked Yes | 17c | 10,596$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,750 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d35…23c1backed Yes | 10c | 10,460$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008.1 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +46%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5c…3036backed Yes | 23c | 10,350$2,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,410.49 | 102 | 2%2 W · 100 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -91.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4124…8af2backed No | 66c | 10,326$6,815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,510.84 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8dda…6ec7backed Yes | 29c | 10,276$2,985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,985.08 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -40%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x057f…9a25backed Yes | 1c | 10,226$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.7 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1be…3772backed Yes | 13c | 10,000$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b89…fdf9backed Yes | 1c | 10,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 21cpaid | -79.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb715…8924backed Yes | 12c | 9,946$1,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,193.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b91…e572backed Yes | 9c | 9,700$899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.42 | 37 | 16.2%6 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 5c | 9,441$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.27 | 89 | 20.2%18 W · 71 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6756…8edcbacked No | 73c | 9,184$6,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,473.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e7…55b5backed Yes | 8c | 8,992$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.04 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.32per pick | 11cpaid | +424.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f7c…d582backed Yes | 8c | 8,255$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.51 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbeda…4acbbacked Yes | 1c | 8,240$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.66 | 142 | 2.1%3 W · 139 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -73.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb956…a190backed Yes | 7c | 8,068$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.52 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.39per pick | 11cpaid | +357.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0e09…05bbbacked Yes | 5c | 7,648$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9762…3febbacked Yes | 16c | 7,637$1,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,244 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c6…043dbacked Yes | 6c | 7,601$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.08 | 113 | 16.8%19 W · 94 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf466…cc9fbacked Yes | 0c | 7,472$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81f4…b6dcbacked Yes | 10c | 7,152$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.81 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07bd…d1cdbacked Yes | 4c | 7,140$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.49 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33c2…9818backed Yes | 26c | 7,101$1,873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,873.24 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00ee…54f8backed Yes | 1c | 7,099$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbe…776dbacked Yes | 29c | 7,035$2,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,021.08 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.14per pick | 31cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x478f…f5d9backed Yes | 15c | 6,706$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes | 3c | 6,542$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.85 | 268 | 3.4%9 W · 259 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83e8…7b89backed Yes | 5c | 6,246$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.83 | 35 | 14.3%5 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6561…c074backed Yes | 6c | 6,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f15…3e1dbacked No | 78c | 6,000$4,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,299.97 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f8…e95bbacked Yes | 15c | 6,000$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$869.99 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 26cpaid | -82.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01cd…7bacbacked Yes | 6c | 5,936$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.86 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 9cpaid | +315.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff2…5113backed Yes | 18c | 5,763$1,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5080…d89abacked Yes | 29c | 5,691$1,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,660.01 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +22%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x068d…70d3backed Yes | 2c | 5,610$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.52 | 45 | 17.8%8 W · 37 L | +5.2wins | +0.12per pick | 6cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3085…7568backed Yes | 4c | 5,493$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.64 | 258 | 1.2%3 W · 255 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -84%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb619…5068backed Yes | 12c | 5,376$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.25 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd16c…f14bbacked Yes | 19c | 5,192$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -89.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0490…2a0dbacked Yes | 13c | 5,092$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.81 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x423d…54eebacked Yes | 6c | 5,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.66 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5590…8e3dbacked Yes | 1c | 5,000$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81a5…5e5ebacked Yes | 2c | 4,823$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -82.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2828…5cdcbacked Yes | 4c | 4,698$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee45…e055backed Yes | 15c | 4,574$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.1 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c92…c646backed Yes | 6c | 4,547$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.29 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.21per pick | 33cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in February?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in February?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in February?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in February?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in February?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.