Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in February?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7089de8cf7217169574e5f8d685ab28bdb95e155eb581315ded106c8678cdb2e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,755,833
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,979,462
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,755,833 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 645 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x95d4…c38cbacked No | 35c | 273,097$96,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96,406.51 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…e311backed No | 0c | 199,905$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.9 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +5.7wins | +0.44per pick | 10cpaid | +801.5%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x1461…22d8backed Yes | 59c | 96,705$56,971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,733.68 | 27 | 77.8%21 W · 6 L | +7.0wins | +0.26per pick | 52cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xf705…3ca7backed Yes | 77c | 91,634$70,914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,719.5 | 351 | 23.9%84 W · 267 L | +15.9wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d1…8ce8backed Yes | 69c | 49,093$33,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,233.39 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed Yes | 71c | 46,856$33,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,612.29 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed94…e73dbacked No | 0c | 46,730$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd561…9b7bbacked No | 23c | 43,246$9,951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,951.28 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6030…d09cbacked No | 0c | 41,890$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked Yes | 57c | 34,868$19,735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,133.54 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed No | 21c | 32,819$7,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,031.4 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x421b…ac12backed Yes | 79c | 31,924$25,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,773.23 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…4c82backed Yes | 62c | 18,080$11,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,781.48 | 581 | 26.9%156 W · 425 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8803…eb1dbacked No | 20c | 18,001$3,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,580.31 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -38%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc2…597abacked No | 19c | 17,600$3,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,262.21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda17…d901backed No | 0c | 15,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 107 | 0%0 W · 107 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cce…6e85backed No | 5c | 14,883$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673 | 66 | 13.6%9 W · 57 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e1…f2fbbacked Yes | 55c | 14,659$8,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,659.38 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x530e…cc11backed Yes | 21c | 14,308$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,307.94 | 61 | 23%14 W · 47 L | +6.6wins | +0.11per pick | 12cpaid | +143.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Yes | 73c | 13,956$10,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,749.6 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15e6…3c2bbacked Yes | 29c | 13,568$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,568.33 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 27cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01e7…d932backed Yes | 67c | 13,427$8,991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,435.98 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +110.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4da…f756backed Yes | 22c | 12,701$2,768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,932.92 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | +6.7wins | +0.18per pick | 12cpaid | +349.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcf05…2a23backed Yes | 70c | 12,103$8,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,679.27 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51d7…238cbacked No | 56c | 10,503$5,882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,881.58 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33c2…9818backed Yes | 28c | 10,305$2,885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,419.7 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f56…ea17backed No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb0…70e6backed No | 80c | 10,000$7,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,969.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…3d69backed Yes | 56c | 9,930$5,539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,390.4 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dba…c5ffbacked Yes | 35c | 8,637$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,636.96 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +92%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked No | 68c | 8,529$5,758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,757.91 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6131…fd16backed No | 38c | 8,491$3,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,202.96 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 24c | 7,463$1,821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,820.72 | 648 | 12%78 W · 570 L | -61.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb148…bb0ebacked No | 74c | 7,000$5,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,180 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc1f…7631backed No | 45c | 6,620$2,975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,975.4 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8212…5933backed Yes | 27c | 6,529$1,749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,780.02 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +8.1wins | +0.22per pick | 21cpaid | +189.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0e60…bbeebacked Yes | 76c | 6,435$4,919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,516.76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb73…53b0backed Yes | 24c | 6,250$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,750 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5235…c04abacked Yes | 78c | 5,794$4,522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,272.19 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b2c…d7e6backed No | 70c | 5,555$3,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,888.49 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 72cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…c5b7backed Yes | 19c | 5,393$1,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,368.12 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 30cpaid | +215.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa183…a3d8backed Yes | 77c | 5,187$3,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,189.45 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7967…f4a0backed No | 40c | 5,166$2,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,078.57 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x707e…1960backed No | 77c | 5,119$3,939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,938.73 | 225 | 50.2%113 W · 112 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad1f…6c61backed Yes | 58c | 4,851$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,051.02 | 121 | 29.8%36 W · 85 L | +10.3wins | +0.09per pick | 21cpaid | +142.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked No | 5c | 4,810$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.98 | 169 | 3.6%6 W · 163 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc589…0bd6backed Yes | 21c | 4,762$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,761.9 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.40per pick | 20cpaid | +159.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6648…fe09backed Yes | 68c | 4,630$3,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,461.94 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…b2d3backed No | 15c | 4,428$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.71 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee25…7cd3backed No | 49c | 4,400$2,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,138 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbb…dc2bbacked No | 13c | 4,300$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cbb…2587backed Yes | 80c | 4,022$3,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$824.49 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e4…5bbcbacked Yes | 57c | 4,000$2,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,720 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +3.9wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +76.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…9fdabacked Yes | 21c | 3,919$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,094.68 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | +3.0wins | +0.13per pick | 9cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb5…a393backed Yes | 74c | 3,585$2,657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$927.71 | 167 | 61.7%103 W · 64 L | +19.6wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbac9…ca59backed Yes | 48c | 3,537$1,697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,839.77 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 13cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a5…83dbbacked Yes | 15c | 3,518$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,986.93 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +6.4wins | +0.18per pick | 24cpaid | +109.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5840…97fbbacked Yes | 59c | 3,273$1,945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,327.56 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…9c10backed No | 70c | 3,181$2,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,214.61 | 143 | 37.1%53 W · 90 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5db7…d0acbacked Yes | 41c | 3,175$1,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,863.69 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd14…1c17backed Yes | 67c | 3,167$2,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,045.06 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed No | 71c | 3,120$2,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,218.45 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…9b5ebacked Yes | 16c | 3,118$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,617.65 | 44 | 22.7%10 W · 34 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +23%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x732b…c1b5backed Yes | 75c | 3,094$2,329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.93 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +61.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e2…5ac1backed Yes | 67c | 3,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc747…324bbacked Yes | 23c | 3,000$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,309.99 | 66 | 22.7%15 W · 51 L | +12.3wins | +0.19per pick | 4cpaid | +272.5%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc4…6770backed No | 74c | 3,000$2,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,219.98 | 112 | 44.6%50 W · 62 L | -10.1wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc903…b175backed Yes | 27c | 2,917$787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,129.09 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c6…043dbacked No | 53c | 2,769$1,477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,477.07 | 113 | 16.8%19 W · 94 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec5…257ebacked No | 71c | 2,750$1,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,949.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa846…ad47backed Yes | 18c | 2,737$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,244.7 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.59per pick | 16cpaid | +437.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7bdc…e8b0backed Yes | 34c | 2,581$877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,703.21 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +3.4wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc56a…85d7backed No | 72c | 2,486$1,794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,793.98 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda6a…4694backed No | 61c | 2,468$1,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,503.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 68cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10bc…9212backed Yes | 75c | 2,383$1,788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34b1…bc54backed No | 54c | 2,372$1,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,277.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3629…44ccbacked Yes | 16c | 2,313$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,942.97 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.46per pick | 37cpaid | +316.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcf64…ad49backed No | 31c | 2,288$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703.78 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5c…6c0fbacked No | 33c | 2,267$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$737.09 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf350…f3ffbacked Yes | 60c | 2,253$1,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$895.47 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd4a…07c0backed No | 25c | 2,253$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.23 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…c2ddbacked No | 61c | 2,247$1,363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,362.51 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fbf…5c41backed Yes | 43c | 2,151$916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,234.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +134.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5c…3036backed Yes | 17c | 2,115$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,748.97 | 102 | 2%2 W · 100 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -91.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x285c…3583backed No | 45c | 2,087$939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.12 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f7f…2352backed Yes | 31c | 2,058$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,423.46 | 57 | 26.3%15 W · 42 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5950…8c48backed Yes | 21c | 2,024$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,592.31 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Yes | 43c | 2,004$853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,151.86 | 77 | 67.5%52 W · 25 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85c9…8beabacked No | 80c | 2,000$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…a469backed Yes | 36c | 2,000$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,280 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fa…1a14backed No | 28c | 2,000$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.15 | 33 | 12.1%4 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -48%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77c7…e53fbacked Yes | 72c | 2,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46eb…ba8cbacked No | 12c | 2,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2680…faf5backed No | 71c | 1,986$1,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,406.09 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd958…6745backed No | 12c | 1,949$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.68 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad23…47c4backed No | 75c | 1,936$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,450.22 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5254…891bbacked Yes | 35c | 1,927$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,244.67 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224c…ee07backed Yes | 26c | 1,923$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,423.08 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | +4.4wins | +0.15per pick | 5cpaid | +142.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…ed17backed Yes | 8c | 1,905$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,753 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 6cpaid | +525%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa488…4a49backed No | 61c | 1,892$1,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,155.45 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -3.6wins | -0.30per pick | 39cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in February?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in February?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in February?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in February?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.