Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe00d6ce6106b54b8f13fbe935e529ea7aab9e3ace9ae3fcc4f7c65372eb0b8ef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,282,066
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,978,092
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,282,066 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,899 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed Yes | 15c | 798,985$123,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123,325.59 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6810…38a3backed Yes | 2c | 256,848$5,758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,758.42 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 22cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1963…dd0cbacked Yes | 13c | 228,157$29,428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,428.38 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09d3…4e84backed Yes | 4c | 194,423$7,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,129.47 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf705…3ca7backed Yes | 18c | 174,903$31,511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,510.77 | 351 | 23.9%84 W · 267 L | +15.9wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0970…5ae4backed Yes | 18c | 163,007$28,789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,789.19 | 280 | 21.1%59 W · 221 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc2…2f88backed Yes | 2c | 147,550$2,829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,829.31 | 32 | 0%0 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked No | 73c | 110,653$81,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,402.73 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed No | 72c | 110,000$79,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,735.61 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +3.4wins | +0.20per pick | 57cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…9c10backed No | 69c | 109,316$75,341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,974.48 | 143 | 37.1%53 W · 90 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a87…4e00backed Yes | 2c | 103,204$2,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,103.87 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f1…2417backed Yes | 4c | 86,921$3,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,203.35 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 9cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Yes | 28c | 85,578$24,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,332.16 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95d4…c38cbacked No | 53c | 85,000$44,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,349.99 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4da…f756backed Yes | 34c | 65,446$22,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,050.62 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | +6.7wins | +0.18per pick | 12cpaid | +349.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4fdf…4452backed Yes | 6c | 59,041$3,723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,722.73 | 101 | 5.9%6 W · 95 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | +121.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf31a…bfbabacked Yes | 17c | 53,953$9,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,222.14 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | +4.3wins | +0.17per pick | 10cpaid | +100.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x51d7…238cbacked No | 58c | 52,852$30,628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,223.89 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb26…03febacked Yes | 29c | 50,550$14,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,499.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd599…bf55backed Yes | 29c | 50,253$14,796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,795.61 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2424…3b61backed Yes | 16c | 50,000$7,893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,893.3 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 12cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55e2…5fc9backed Yes | 24c | 47,056$11,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,461.86 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6402…2fa1backed Yes | 18c | 46,940$8,428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,427.83 | 64 | 3.1%2 W · 62 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01e7…d932backed Yes | 46c | 44,888$20,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,457.32 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +110.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe24f…bae5backed Yes | 3c | 33,913$1,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,084.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4851…1e94backed No | 70c | 33,426$23,407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,018.62 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -29%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41ae…51e0backed Yes | 11c | 29,822$3,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,307.7 | 140 | 19.3%27 W · 113 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +119.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8e5…a18dbacked Yes | 1c | 29,419$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.99 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x174e…b3c0backed Yes | 42c | 29,243$12,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,411.37 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d6d…0a6cbacked Yes | 32c | 28,132$9,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,012.26 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e0…016abacked Yes | 6c | 25,353$1,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,505.09 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ad…f13ebacked No | 69c | 24,915$17,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,611.54 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b45…05ddbacked Yes | 10c | 23,843$2,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,289.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd99f…4768backed Yes | 14c | 22,338$3,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,183.36 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28ef…df7dbacked Yes | 2c | 22,245$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.33 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 1c | 21,848$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.49 | 416 | 3.1%13 W · 403 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 2c | 21,171$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.02 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -81.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb148…bb0ebacked Yes | 11c | 20,988$2,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,209.29 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x421b…ac12backed No | 74c | 20,557$15,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,344.78 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceec…4ad9backed Yes | 4c | 19,921$836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$836.05 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa183…a3d8backed Yes | 34c | 18,810$6,456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,455.52 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4dfd…6e4abacked Yes | 25c | 18,324$4,578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,578.42 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 4c | 17,541$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.42 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -83.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd30…814abacked Yes | 2c | 17,468$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.58 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e09…c7fabacked Yes | 15c | 17,416$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbeda…4acbbacked Yes | 3c | 17,288$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.97 | 142 | 2.1%3 W · 139 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -73.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x177e…a2babacked Yes | 4c | 17,027$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d85…228ebacked Yes | 3c | 15,926$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.06 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b64…707bbacked Yes | 3c | 15,869$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.15 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed No | 69c | 15,105$10,453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,652.41 | 131 | 17.6%23 W · 108 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xede5…7802backed Yes | 11c | 15,071$1,689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,689.3 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37b4…d5e5backed Yes | 2c | 15,050$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.49 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6271…784ebacked Yes | 2c | 15,044$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.55 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x707e…1960backed No | 71c | 14,218$10,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,160.34 | 225 | 50.2%113 W · 112 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9981…dec4backed No | 75c | 14,000$10,548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,452.46 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 72cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f09…2848backed Yes | 31c | 13,427$4,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,102.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Yes | 26c | 13,257$3,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,383.21 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7447…a16dbacked Yes | 33c | 13,160$4,327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,326.81 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 31c | 12,298$3,785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,784.79 | 648 | 12%78 W · 570 L | -61.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1b92…45eebacked Yes | 33c | 12,001$3,986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,986.07 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +72.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 9c | 12,000$1,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,117 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78d1…ef8dbacked Yes | 17c | 11,658$1,969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,969.07 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8869…c975backed Yes | 3c | 11,596$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.27 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71ca…3501backed No | 73c | 11,111$8,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,999.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2e…c770backed Yes | 4c | 11,102$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.93 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 18c | 10,943$1,919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,919 | 89 | 20.2%18 W · 71 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a59…a364backed Yes | 2c | 10,542$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.59 | 46 | 6.5%3 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -81.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd61e…c34fbacked Yes | 2c | 10,227$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.99 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc5…a303backed Yes | 13c | 10,149$1,329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,329 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6590…3a26backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 229 | 0%0 W · 229 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d8…3ce3backed No | 70c | 9,600$6,686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,913.48 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…92f9backed No | 74c | 9,504$6,988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,516.17 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 3c | 9,328$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.79 | 678 | 5.9%40 W · 638 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd93e…cbd5backed Yes | 4c | 9,210$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.01 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7804…7025backed Yes | 1c | 9,209$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.88 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -74.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6561…c074backed Yes | 28c | 9,000$2,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,524.91 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe468…3b50backed Yes | 45c | 8,869$3,987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,987 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25af…bcafbacked Yes | 9c | 8,839$836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$836.05 | 399 | 8.5%34 W · 365 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb73…53b0backed Yes | 20c | 8,827$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6aee…f783backed No | 54c | 8,824$4,790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,034.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +84.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb95…d95cbacked No | 76c | 8,771$6,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,105.16 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +57.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1396…0a30backed Yes | 34c | 8,759$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd3…7c76backed Yes | 23c | 8,728$2,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,014.51 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 34cpaid | -84.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6dba…c5ffbacked Yes | 41c | 8,697$3,601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,600.73 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +92%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x846f…750ebacked Yes | 30c | 8,524$2,576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,575.83 | 130 | 38.5%50 W · 80 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef72…3c45backed Yes | 24c | 8,336$1,964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,964.28 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ade…b5bcbacked Yes | 5c | 8,307$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1385…1cf9backed Yes | 29c | 8,235$2,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,381 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…b5b0backed Yes | 29c | 8,129$2,358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,357.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fac…4723backed Yes | 9c | 8,033$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.91 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 19cpaid | -89.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80a0…5708backed Yes | 11c | 8,000$915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$915 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 15cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5a…0a4fbacked Yes | 1c | 7,456$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.95 | 475 | 4.6%22 W · 453 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 2cpaid | +144.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17f1…0528backed Yes | 2c | 6,966$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.65 | 30 | 6.7%2 W · 28 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33c2…9818backed Yes | 33c | 6,918$2,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,306.33 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd14…1c17backed Yes | 35c | 6,840$2,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,410.92 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80b6…1284backed Yes | 20c | 6,806$1,329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,329 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15e6…3c2bbacked Yes | 37c | 6,769$2,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,475.19 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 27cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7c9dbacked No | 53c | 6,704$3,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,150.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe4…01b7backed No | 79c | 6,615$5,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,392.48 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c23…bfecbacked Yes | 19c | 6,476$1,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,243.52 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in February?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in February?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in February?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in February?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.