Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in February?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa1ab45628b9938d5d9365291740e9833fc112d9a52b61c9b6a2e623cf3fe5275
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,901,726
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,189,496
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,901,726 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 273 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4fdf…4452backed Yes | 2c | 142,997$2,437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,436.54 | 101 | 5.9%6 W · 95 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | +121.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa39…977fbacked Yes | 0c | 97,252$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.52 | 148 | 8.8%13 W · 135 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f88…b10ebacked Yes | 1c | 88,694$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17f1…0528backed Yes | 1c | 79,588$1,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,056.19 | 30 | 6.7%2 W · 28 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9285…c19dbacked Yes | 0c | 72,439$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.44 | 79 | 2.5%2 W · 77 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -96%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…51a0backed Yes | 1c | 63,323$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.57 | 133 | 3.8%5 W · 128 L | -10.2wins | -0.08per pick | 11cpaid | -83.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5c…3036backed Yes | 3c | 62,800$1,702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,702.4 | 102 | 2%2 W · 100 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -91.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44fb…4ababacked Yes | 1c | 56,870$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2a2…b04dbacked Yes | 1c | 52,164$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b3a…783ebacked Yes | 1c | 50,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -26%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fa…1a14backed Yes | 6c | 50,000$3,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,050 | 33 | 12.1%4 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -48%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 0c | 41,393$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.56 | 149 | 0.7%1 W · 148 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -80.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a0…60c3backed Yes | 1c | 40,391$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.06 | 43 | 0%0 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x061e…5ab8backed Yes | 6c | 31,472$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -80.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x723f…e169backed Yes | 4c | 30,593$1,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,334.34 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda17…d901backed Yes | 0c | 29,498$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.84 | 107 | 0%0 W · 107 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c5f…7e9abacked Yes | 2c | 28,650$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf346…5701backed Yes | 4c | 26,580$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 12cpaid | +452.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c1…8a69backed Yes | 5c | 25,091$1,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,246.62 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17f5…cbbebacked Yes | 0c | 23,768$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 3c | 21,760$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.33 | 678 | 5.9%40 W · 638 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40f1…8c65backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa92d…4e71backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 50 | 6%3 W · 47 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -90.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd16c…f14bbacked Yes | 7c | 19,952$1,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,334.67 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -89.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92bb…1afbbacked Yes | 0c | 19,658$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.66 | 40 | 0%0 W · 40 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f6c…a70fbacked Yes | 4c | 19,176$815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$815.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f0…d29dbacked Yes | 5c | 19,066$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14ab…a6fdbacked Yes | 5c | 19,059$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2f…d043backed Yes | 5c | 18,661$995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$995.05 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca5…8727backed Yes | 5c | 18,327$869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$869 | 45 | 15.6%7 W · 38 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 8cpaid | +280.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4dc…0da7backed Yes | 4c | 15,078$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 26 | 7.7%2 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x253b…0ae7backed Yes | 4c | 15,025$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 68 | 16.2%11 W · 57 L | +8.3wins | +0.12per pick | 4cpaid | +273.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9488…d531backed Yes | 1c | 14,838$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.6 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 11cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf779…d36fbacked Yes | 1c | 14,800$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.7 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x363c…9b0ebacked Yes | 3c | 14,546$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.61 | 43 | 2.3%1 W · 42 L | -5.4wins | -0.13per pick | 15cpaid | -96.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf1c2…89abbacked Yes | 2c | 14,440$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.48 | 40 | 2.5%1 W · 39 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -63%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed Yes | 5c | 12,658$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.45 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45bf…9563backed Yes | 0c | 11,409$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.64 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…820cbacked Yes | 0c | 11,080$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.24 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80cc…b5a4backed Yes | 2c | 11,052$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.54 | 32 | 12.5%4 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x869c…63d5backed Yes | 5c | 10,772$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.39 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6590…3a26backed Yes | 0c | 10,710$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.71 | 229 | 0%0 W · 229 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c1…0f60backed Yes | 3c | 10,492$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.51 | 36 | 2.8%1 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -79.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b3…3a58backed Yes | 2c | 10,358$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.39 | 90 | 22.2%20 W · 70 L | +8.4wins | +0.09per pick | 13cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0873…09e8backed Yes | 0c | 10,189$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 30 | 0%0 W · 30 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f64…52d2backed Yes | 1c | 10,098$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.49 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1084…21f2backed Yes | 5c | 10,007$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e7…ebd3backed Yes | 2c | 10,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa40e…ba87backed Yes | 1c | 10,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19ec…c986backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa556…5c0ebacked Yes | 4c | 10,000$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3e…abeabacked Yes | 0c | 9,946$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.78 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -91.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25af…bcafbacked Yes | 2c | 9,663$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.29 | 399 | 8.5%34 W · 365 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88dc…92b1backed Yes | 1c | 9,533$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x069f…66bcbacked Yes | 0c | 9,395$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfea2…581ebacked Yes | 3c | 8,873$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.78 | 68 | 13.2%9 W · 59 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8304…8526backed Yes | 3c | 7,315$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.86 | 128 | 5.5%7 W · 121 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd27…b1dbbacked Yes | 3c | 7,258$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.95 | 137 | 5.8%8 W · 129 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes | 2c | 7,181$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.72 | 268 | 3.4%9 W · 259 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b67…9a9dbacked Yes | 1c | 7,143$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf575…c1d5backed Yes | 3c | 6,667$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.01 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…6f57backed Yes | 5c | 6,572$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd980…5be0backed Yes | 3c | 5,319$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 112 | 10.7%12 W · 100 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | +120.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…f66fbacked Yes | 0c | 5,205$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.08 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5fa…83b5backed Yes | 2c | 5,169$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5d…41b9backed Yes | 4c | 5,143$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.7 | 106 | 7.5%8 W · 98 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x345e…6bc7backed Yes | 10c | 5,120$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.25 | 34 | 17.6%6 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9573…f39dbacked Yes | 2c | 5,100$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27e1…704bbacked Yes | 1c | 5,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 14cpaid | -85.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb0f…a7e4backed Yes | 1c | 5,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0729…04e5backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22e6…409fbacked Yes | 1c | 5,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x944f…28dabacked Yes | 10c | 4,981$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 18cpaid | +139.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c6…043dbacked Yes | 5c | 4,470$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.08 | 113 | 16.8%19 W · 94 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 4c | 4,239$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.04 | 89 | 20.2%18 W · 71 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x502c…c96bbacked Yes | 7c | 4,175$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.24 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 8cpaid | +219.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd18d…fc51backed Yes | 1c | 4,000$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 1c | 3,900$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 416 | 3.1%13 W · 403 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf575…0791backed Yes | 5c | 3,771$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +4.0wins | +0.25per pick | 13cpaid | +315.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb5ea…4524backed Yes | 6c | 3,731$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.82 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 3,726$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.89 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7044…cfb6backed Yes | 3c | 3,723$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfd4…bda6backed Yes | 1c | 3,674$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa740…ee18backed Yes | 3c | 3,584$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.57 | 47 | 8.5%4 W · 43 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -85.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1385…1cf9backed Yes | 1c | 3,571$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a25…c24dbacked Yes | 6c | 3,534$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.91 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbcb…575ebacked Yes | 1c | 3,421$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81b1…74ebbacked Yes | 6c | 3,300$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…4f44backed Yes | 2c | 3,260$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.89 | 98 | 5.1%5 W · 93 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 3cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7af4…ddddbacked Yes | 10c | 3,048$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.83 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -71.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2596…81f3backed Yes | 3c | 3,027$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x431a…6984backed Yes | 4c | 3,003$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 24 | 0%0 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd996…2ababacked Yes | 4c | 2,990$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.74 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3db6…5514backed Yes | 1c | 2,857$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e2…0040backed Yes | 4c | 2,591$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.93 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 11cpaid | +66.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d64…738ebacked Yes | 2c | 2,542$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.52 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2955…b736backed Yes | 2c | 2,528$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.75 | 29 | 6.9%2 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -84.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fee…c478backed Yes | 0c | 2,500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fef…5946backed Yes | 10c | 2,500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe940…0fc4backed Yes | 0c | 2,500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in February?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in February?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in February?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in February?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in February?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.