Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xddcfd0baea9146bf38a67b32d9115e65784d881308f1799b531d9f237e271c2f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,913,769
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,960,102
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,913,769 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,665 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf7a1…9dcebacked Yes | 16c | 627,896$102,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102,135.82 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1963…dd0cbacked Yes | 6c | 230,085$14,534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,534.48 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf705…3ca7backed No | 78c | 206,919$160,773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46,145.71 | 351 | 23.9%84 W · 267 L | +15.9wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1461…22d8backed No | 75c | 194,991$145,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49,499.81 | 27 | 77.8%21 W · 6 L | +7.0wins | +0.26per pick | 52cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked No | 68c | 152,968$103,802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49,166.24 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0970…5ae4backed Yes | 15c | 135,148$20,486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,486.1 | 280 | 21.1%59 W · 221 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe4…01b7backed No | 66c | 126,280$83,796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42,483.32 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc2…2f88backed Yes | 1c | 109,415$1,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,043.19 | 32 | 0%0 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fdf…4452backed Yes | 4c | 106,640$4,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,270.84 | 101 | 5.9%6 W · 95 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | +121.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x075e…1840backed Yes | 9c | 103,792$9,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,469.33 | 29 | 10.3%3 W · 26 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 17cpaid | -81%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa55c…74babacked Yes | 4c | 100,000$3,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,999.24 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…9c10backed No | 68c | 91,831$62,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,579.46 | 143 | 37.1%53 W · 90 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b05…096dbacked Yes | 2c | 88,208$1,675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,675 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6402…2fa1backed Yes | 9c | 81,835$7,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,301.7 | 64 | 3.1%2 W · 62 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 14c | 80,000$11,352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,352.29 | 120 | 25%30 W · 90 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb807…99cbbacked Yes | 1c | 69,041$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.04 | 54 | 1.9%1 W · 53 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 7cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81a5…5e5ebacked Yes | 3c | 63,895$1,659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,659 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -82.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x716d…4206backed Yes | 33c | 55,240$18,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,163.91 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b45…05ddbacked Yes | 5c | 55,137$2,528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,527.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef72…3c45backed Yes | 24c | 49,529$11,734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,733.95 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed No | 76c | 48,064$36,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,546.99 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0594…e07cbacked Yes | 0c | 44,718$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.52 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x922f…a1a8backed No | 77c | 42,173$32,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,753.54 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 76cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x802b…d0cabacked Yes | 24c | 40,432$9,704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,703.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44fb…4ababacked Yes | 0c | 40,113$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.73 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3fe…3f4fbacked No | 41c | 38,261$15,759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,502.22 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a06…201bbacked Yes | 32c | 34,111$10,873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,872.57 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8392…b94ebacked Yes | 30c | 31,727$9,514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,513.53 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90bb…531fbacked Yes | 0c | 30,769$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.77 | 71 | 0%0 W · 71 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b76…c036backed Yes | 0c | 30,627$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.63 | 26 | 0%0 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 7c | 30,376$2,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,173.21 | 131 | 17.6%23 W · 108 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c0…fad2backed Yes | 0c | 30,286$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.29 | 31 | 0%0 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6590…3a26backed Yes | 0c | 30,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 229 | 0%0 W · 229 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f88…b10ebacked Yes | 6c | 28,390$1,789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,788.71 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1414…18fcbacked Yes | 0c | 28,087$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a59…a364backed Yes | 2c | 24,498$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.51 | 46 | 6.5%3 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -81.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf915…8720backed No | 32c | 24,314$7,762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,552.23 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.28per pick | 62cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd561…9b7bbacked Yes | 62c | 22,963$14,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,288.77 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73b1…a882backed Yes | 3c | 21,616$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702.76 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d6d…0a6cbacked Yes | 54c | 20,603$11,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,082.77 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d89…36f5backed Yes | 5c | 20,025$934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$934.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead4…a46abacked Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b89…fdf9backed Yes | 2c | 20,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 21cpaid | -79.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7277…ab80backed Yes | 49c | 19,194$9,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,330.26 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.26per pick | 29cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x507a…be1fbacked Yes | 4c | 18,169$797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$796.95 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -48%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Yes | 42c | 17,962$7,544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,544.12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a9…b9e9backed Yes | 1c | 17,647$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.96 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8509…dee2backed Yes | 19c | 17,625$3,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,431.94 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +167.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x768b…9c01backed Yes | 10c | 17,188$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.18per pick | 19cpaid | +159.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1aea…10c9backed Yes | 3c | 17,123$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51d7…238cbacked No | 67c | 17,000$11,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,670 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbeda…4acbbacked Yes | 3c | 16,936$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.38 | 142 | 2.1%3 W · 139 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -73.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7127…6a60backed No | 78c | 16,162$12,598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,564.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf26…319bbacked Yes | 42c | 15,410$6,476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,476 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7c9dbacked Yes | 39c | 15,292$5,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,909.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc6…43c4backed Yes | 0c | 15,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c6…043dbacked Yes | 8c | 14,889$1,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,227.74 | 113 | 16.8%19 W · 94 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9034…f7dfbacked Yes | 46c | 14,720$6,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,800 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 3c | 14,713$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.36 | 678 | 5.9%40 W · 638 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36bc…d8cdbacked Yes | 1c | 14,335$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d7…45f2backed Yes | 23c | 14,227$3,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,308.27 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 13c | 13,596$1,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,739.58 | 89 | 20.2%18 W · 71 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xede5…7802backed Yes | 4c | 13,524$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.21 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25af…bcafbacked Yes | 7c | 13,385$991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991 | 399 | 8.5%34 W · 365 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33d2…952ebacked No | 76c | 13,268$10,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,203.68 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 1c | 13,100$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 416 | 3.1%13 W · 403 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63ed…b0f4backed Yes | 64c | 12,750$8,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,185 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef03…eb12backed Yes | 0c | 12,691$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecc4…7a2abacked Yes | 46c | 12,492$5,709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,708.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97bc…30cdbacked Yes | 18c | 12,446$2,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,262 | 67 | 23.9%16 W · 51 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 18cpaid | +111.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9e…bff4backed Yes | 65c | 12,000$7,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,800 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe94b…5abebacked Yes | 0c | 11,886$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.66 | 86 | 25.6%22 W · 64 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8734…a7b2backed Yes | 3c | 11,599$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d48…6573backed Yes | 30c | 11,523$3,493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,492.59 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc01…d914backed Yes | 11c | 11,465$1,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,286.76 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3822…b720backed Yes | 24c | 11,034$2,631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,630.93 | 86 | 34.9%30 W · 56 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 31c | 10,785$3,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,342.21 | 648 | 12%78 W · 570 L | -61.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9df6…2c65backed Yes | 9c | 10,727$942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$942.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Yes | 33c | 10,721$3,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,524.71 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fba…56d0backed No | 71c | 10,629$7,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,054.6 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.27per pick | 61cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd3…5c96backed Yes | 4c | 10,595$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdda6…925abacked Yes | 38c | 10,371$3,975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,975.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x707e…1960backed No | 64c | 10,182$6,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,631.85 | 225 | 50.2%113 W · 112 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Yes | 0c | 10,005$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.15 | 136 | 0%0 W · 136 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36c8…53a9backed Yes | 65c | 10,000$6,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…0b11backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28ef…df7dbacked Yes | 2c | 9,765$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8d…299cbacked No | 74c | 9,717$7,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,541.28 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb3…f8d6backed Yes | 61c | 9,669$5,897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,897.19 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86e7…613ebacked No | 41c | 9,500$3,907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,593.52 | 31 | 9.7%3 W · 28 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -80.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8337…e800backed Yes | 13c | 9,188$1,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,227.68 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -79.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17f1…0528backed Yes | 6c | 8,855$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.94 | 30 | 6.7%2 W · 28 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c35…feebbacked Yes | 4c | 8,770$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.89 | 27 | 0%0 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x057f…9a25backed Yes | 3c | 8,690$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9714…3014backed Yes | 38c | 8,517$3,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,247.97 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb890…8da7backed Yes | 3c | 8,484$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd911…515dbacked Yes | 37c | 8,240$3,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,013.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc5…a303backed Yes | 30c | 8,236$2,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,505 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3823…792fbacked Yes | 36c | 8,185$2,942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,942 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x478f…f5d9backed Yes | 37c | 8,044$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in February?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in February?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in February?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in February?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.