Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in February?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x22e4572de2b7b70bf1b2dd0bbf05cc2b1e9dd1258cba4b23012e394e003645f7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,028,857
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,251,252
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,028,857 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 786 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc9a9…9bf7backed No | 0c | 268,532$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95d4…c38cbacked No | 27c | 242,884$64,983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64,982.6 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x926d…635ebacked Yes | 72c | 182,323$131,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51,175.02 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…5fe0backed No | 0c | 88,000$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…cb10backed Yes | 66c | 86,000$56,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,630.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd561…9b7bbacked No | 4c | 74,383$3,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,024.42 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked No | 40c | 60,271$24,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,103.34 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1461…22d8backed Yes | 73c | 45,566$33,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,259.83 | 27 | 77.8%21 W · 6 L | +7.0wins | +0.26per pick | 52cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xa4da…f756backed Yes | 48c | 39,083$18,628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,454.94 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | +6.7wins | +0.18per pick | 12cpaid | +349.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked No | 42c | 38,018$16,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,038.2 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed No | 43c | 28,106$11,956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,955.71 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed No | 46c | 26,461$12,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,078.28 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a1…9dcebacked Yes | 38c | 24,471$9,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,263.05 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3526…aababacked Yes | 45c | 21,987$9,872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,115.13 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | +8.0wins | +0.15per pick | 11cpaid | +83.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x01e7…d932backed Yes | 48c | 20,666$9,938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,727.3 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +110.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x291b…e36cbacked No | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff30…4a37backed No | 12c | 20,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 25c | 19,768$4,959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,959.05 | 648 | 12%78 W · 570 L | -61.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xee25…7cd3backed No | 9c | 16,248$1,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,403.35 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02c1…2e70backed No | 19c | 15,734$2,989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,988.57 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…1434backed Yes | 64c | 15,626$9,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,686.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1309…ad99backed No | 22c | 15,550$3,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,418 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda17…d901backed No | 0c | 15,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 107 | 0%0 W · 107 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x953c…1aacbacked No | 22c | 14,611$3,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,216.41 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15e6…3c2bbacked Yes | 53c | 14,074$7,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,587.29 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 27cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc504…7a4cbacked No | 15c | 12,581$1,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,940.36 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65a8…8da4backed Yes | 80c | 11,521$9,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,311.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked Yes | 58c | 11,391$6,597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,793.91 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09a5…612ebacked No | 9c | 10,837$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50a9…1221backed No | 38c | 10,268$3,949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,949.36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f62…2ce6backed Yes | 30c | 10,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,000 | 103 | 13.6%14 W · 89 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c5b…c2e9backed No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa183…a3d8backed Yes | 44c | 9,149$3,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,151.38 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6978…08d8backed No | 41c | 8,964$3,716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,716.32 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…4c82backed No | 55c | 8,902$4,922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,922.1 | 581 | 26.9%156 W · 425 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c2…640fbacked No | 10c | 8,855$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1714…1cdebacked Yes | 51c | 8,609$4,419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,190.41 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +76.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4774…db3ebacked Yes | 48c | 8,511$4,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,397.73 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.23per pick | 50cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…b2d3backed No | 31c | 8,370$2,612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,611.82 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8172…abeabacked Yes | 35c | 7,880$2,758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,122.25 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f02…1395backed Yes | 40c | 7,596$3,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,557.61 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +4.2wins | +0.22per pick | 31cpaid | +332.5%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf95b…3af6backed Yes | 79c | 7,206$5,696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,510.11 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +98.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…604ebacked No | 4c | 7,205$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.33 | 172 | 29.7%51 W · 121 L | -13.0wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 55c | 7,184$3,977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,976.5 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -5.0wins | -0.15per pick | 39cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5145…2dd5backed Yes | 43c | 6,980$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,980.2 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.23per pick | 14cpaid | +155%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…6c6fbacked Yes | 44c | 6,857$3,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,851.25 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +66.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51d7…238cbacked No | 52c | 6,845$3,583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,583.27 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa1…e821backed No | 2c | 6,316$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b92…45eebacked Yes | 45c | 6,029$2,698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,331 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +72.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a93…4fecbacked No | 62c | 6,000$3,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,720 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad23…47c4backed No | 48c | 5,817$2,766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,766.15 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8d…299cbacked Yes | 45c | 5,594$2,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,091.63 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe796…7f5ebacked No | 22c | 5,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd5…6428backed No | 15c | 5,000$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…c691backed No | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,449.88 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed No | 55c | 4,961$2,728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,727.78 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35fa…2bd4backed Yes | 35c | 4,947$1,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,227.14 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +5.1wins | +0.22per pick | 26cpaid | +84.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…a979backed No | 43c | 4,871$2,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,073.34 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81fa…c4d6backed Yes | 46c | 4,815$2,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,616.02 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c6…043dbacked No | 51c | 4,763$2,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,411.65 | 113 | 16.8%19 W · 94 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde47…d724backed No | 55c | 4,613$2,528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,527.7 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56b2…0559backed Yes | 46c | 4,357$2,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,345.24 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7637…de5dbacked No | 22c | 4,340$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe65e…05e6backed Yes | 53c | 4,240$2,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,993.17 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0bf…2032backed No | 12c | 4,224$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.91 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -66.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc1f…7631backed No | 63c | 4,200$2,646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,646 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1af3…1d1ebacked No | 57c | 4,198$2,384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,383.54 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77c7…e53fbacked Yes | 57c | 4,193$2,384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,809.3 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccff…e845backed No | 68c | 4,183$2,845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,844.6 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4cbd…3d51backed No | 16c | 4,182$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a16…ad87backed No | 0c | 4,160$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa78a…2f5cbacked Yes | 44c | 4,055$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,254.78 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.38per pick | 34cpaid | +93.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3436…6e37backed Yes | 37c | 4,025$1,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,517.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9630…249abacked No | 15c | 4,000$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce8f…4400backed No | 13c | 4,000$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.99 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x443e…b8dfbacked Yes | 68c | 3,793$2,594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,198.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd14…1c17backed Yes | 50c | 3,786$1,886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,900.14 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0066…394fbacked No | 26c | 3,767$997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996.73 | 61 | 19.7%12 W · 49 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…9c10backed Yes | 65c | 3,736$2,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,293.74 | 143 | 37.1%53 W · 90 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd512…79b3backed Yes | 58c | 3,730$2,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,561.85 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 34cpaid | +202.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x65be…4c2abacked Yes | 41c | 3,570$1,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,106.3 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb57a…b8c3backed Yes | 61c | 3,500$2,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,365 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed2f…8f01backed No | 30c | 3,370$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b6…af8bbacked Yes | 57c | 3,250$1,842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,407.11 | 140 | 75.7%106 W · 34 L | +17.6wins | +0.13per pick | 63cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9984…96b4backed Yes | 40c | 3,141$1,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,876.83 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb65…71b1backed Yes | 48c | 3,063$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,592.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbe…776dbacked Yes | 41c | 2,999$1,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,769.52 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.14per pick | 31cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5682…97afbacked Yes | 77c | 2,929$2,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.67 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -40%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…9b5ebacked Yes | 35c | 2,856$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,856.38 | 44 | 22.7%10 W · 34 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +23%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa461…6bbabacked No | 14c | 2,822$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ed…47d8backed No | 47c | 2,775$1,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,290.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43a5…55e9backed Yes | 38c | 2,660$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,660.4 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7de1…e0debacked No | 58c | 2,591$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +3.4wins | +0.17per pick | 38cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5714…119dbacked Yes | 46c | 2,500$1,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,358 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Yes | 62c | 2,459$1,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$943.59 | 77 | 67.5%52 W · 25 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcee8…2d37backed No | 16c | 2,400$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c6…1c37backed Yes | 42c | 2,389$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,389.09 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +4.7wins | +0.52per pick | 25cpaid | +743.8%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x04d2…af9fbacked Yes | 47c | 2,375$1,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +113%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x357e…2a0cbacked No | 1c | 2,258$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.58 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 43cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaec1…ddfebacked Yes | 45c | 2,229$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,231.01 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in February?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in February?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in February?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in February?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.