Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in February?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb08e5d3c35323aaef8b46c7bb3466df0b51ee87e1c38faa2ccc5c1a00e88c9a5

Rebuilt 28 minutes ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Mar 1, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $3,710,666
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $2,937,315

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,710,666 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 297 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x6916…2fd4backed Yes	6c	189,439$11,348 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,347.71	638	35.4%226 W · 412 L	+18.1wins	+0.03per pick	33cpaid	-26.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x256b…cd5dbacked Yes	4c	154,977$5,485 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,485.3	20	15%3 W · 17 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-67.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf705…3ca7backed Yes	9c	121,882$11,347 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,346.77	351	23.9%84 W · 267 L	+15.9wins	+0.05per pick	19cpaid	-36.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3d6d…0a6cbacked Yes	3c	115,835$3,066 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,066.39	33	18.2%6 W · 27 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	18cpaid	-31.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Yes	2c	115,033$2,496 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,496.42	120	25%30 W · 90 L	+3.2wins	+0.03per pick	22cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30e4…5102backed Yes	6c	88,285$5,023 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,023.25	30	10%3 W · 27 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-43.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x51ba…bc23backed Yes	2c	55,477$981 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$981	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.8wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes	1c	54,047$277 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$277.34	149	0.7%1 W · 148 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	1cpaid	-80.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf7d7…cf9bbacked Yes	2c	51,462$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.4wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa39…977fbacked Yes	0c	50,231$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.64	148	8.8%13 W · 135 L	+6.6wins	+0.04per pick	4cpaid	-49.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d64…738ebacked Yes	3c	45,136$1,381 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,381.31	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6590…3a26backed Yes	0c	40,894$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.89	229	0%0 W · 229 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcba3…6055backed Yes	1c	40,000$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240	15	0%0 W · 15 L	-0.6wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc747…324bbacked Yes	2c	39,158$657 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$657.01	66	22.7%15 W · 51 L	+12.3wins	+0.19per pick	4cpaid	+272.5%equal weight	65+0.14 edge/pick
0x11e5…ee4dbacked Yes	2c	39,020$936 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$936.47	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b22…c824backed Yes	3c	38,767$1,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,300	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	3c	36,053$1,079 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,078.88	678	5.9%40 W · 638 L	+11.9wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	-7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x177e…a2babacked Yes	0c	31,336$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.34	3	0%0 W · 3 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x97d4…d66abacked Yes	0c	30,000$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes	1c	28,680$368 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$368.42	20	10%2 W · 18 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-83.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x422e…8a52backed Yes	1c	26,239$191 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$191	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5145…2dd5backed Yes	8c	24,899$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	+2.5wins	+0.23per pick	14cpaid	+155%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x250c…2774backed Yes	0c	22,702$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.61	416	3.1%13 W · 403 L	+5.8wins	+0.01per pick	2cpaid	+21.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe44a…c4f8backed Yes	3c	22,198$647 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$647.02	35	22.9%8 W · 27 L	+1.2wins	+0.03per pick	19cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52b3…3a58backed Yes	3c	21,564$611 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$610.69	90	22.2%20 W · 70 L	+8.4wins	+0.09per pick	13cpaid	-28.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0acc…9dc1backed Yes	2c	21,546$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1af1…7b88backed Yes	1c	20,000$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	34	14.7%5 W · 29 L	+2.6wins	+0.08per pick	7cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbe49…27a9backed Yes	1c	19,744$151 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150.51	10	10%1 W · 9 L	+0.5wins	+0.05per pick	5cpaid	-61.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b09…015cbacked Yes	5c	19,345$1,062 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,061.61	50	16%8 W · 42 L	+3.2wins	+0.06per pick	10cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x75dc…239dbacked Yes	4c	19,038$791 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$790.75	18	22.2%4 W · 14 L	-0.7wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-67.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x53c2…6758backed Yes	0c	18,784$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.78	3	0%0 W · 3 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf31a…bfbabacked Yes	4c	18,531$667 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$666.83	26	26.9%7 W · 19 L	+4.3wins	+0.17per pick	10cpaid	+100.4%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc2c4…ed1fbacked Yes	3c	18,526$501 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$501	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3746…f6aabacked Yes	2c	15,000$360 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$360	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.7wins	-0.09per pick	38cpaid	-47.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4fdf…4452backed Yes	2c	14,925$276 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$276.05	101	5.9%6 W · 95 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	5cpaid	+121.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb715…16cebacked Yes	1c	13,787$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199.89	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3a59…a364backed Yes	1c	13,000$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170	46	6.5%3 W · 43 L	-2.1wins	-0.05per pick	11cpaid	-81.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x328c…cbbcbacked Yes	4c	12,500$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	18	16.7%3 W · 15 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-66.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x90bb…531fbacked Yes	0c	12,467$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.47	71	0%0 W · 71 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8508…9fdabacked Yes	4c	12,002$501 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$501	23	21.7%5 W · 18 L	+3.0wins	+0.13per pick	9cpaid	+22.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x25af…bcafbacked Yes	3c	11,660$335 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$335.28	399	8.5%34 W · 365 L	+6.2wins	+0.02per pick	7cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f55…e9a4backed Yes	2c	10,454$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	142	13.4%19 W · 123 L	+5.0wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	+58.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x50a5…bafebacked Yes	4c	10,221$360 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$359.96	234	11.1%26 W · 208 L	+9.2wins	+0.04per pick	7cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a27…66dfbacked Yes	10c	10,018$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe38b…8996backed Yes	2c	10,000$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240	37	40.5%15 W · 22 L	+1.0wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27af…2127backed Yes	2c	10,000$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.24per pick	24cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7dba…0c23backed Yes	2c	10,000$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-1.0wins	-0.09per pick	46cpaid	-37.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3690…de80backed Yes	2c	10,000$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	+0.7wins	+0.07per pick	15cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfabf…55f1backed Yes	2c	10,000$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x15e6…3c2bbacked Yes	1c	9,975$137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$137	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	+1.5wins	+0.11per pick	27cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2698…a979backed Yes	3c	9,920$325 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$324.75	32	25%8 W · 24 L	+2.0wins	+0.06per pick	19cpaid	+15%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc241…1487backed Yes	3c	9,478$305 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$305.22	29	51.7%15 W · 14 L	+7.0wins	+0.24per pick	28cpaid	+122.8%equal weight	64+0.13 edge/pick
0xf9c4…f9fcbacked Yes	0c	9,245$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.49	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes	1c	9,091$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.91	37	24.3%9 W · 28 L	+2.0wins	+0.05per pick	19cpaid	-33.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes	3c	8,768$263 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$263.39	268	3.4%9 W · 259 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	5cpaid	-53.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd27…b1dbbacked Yes	3c	8,710$271 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$270.77	137	5.8%8 W · 129 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94ac…cd94backed Yes	1c	8,433$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x63e9…cb1ebacked Yes	2c	7,950$152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$151.6	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.3wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb619…5068backed Yes	3c	7,523$262 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$262.14	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	-54.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes	11c	7,512$857 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$857.19	648	12%78 W · 570 L	-61.6wins	-0.10per pick	22cpaid	-53.2%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xfea2…581ebacked Yes	5c	7,319$383 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$382.92	68	13.2%9 W · 59 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	14cpaid	+46.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1bc1…89e0backed Yes	7c	7,000$474 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$474	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	+0.5wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8304…8526backed Yes	4c	6,804$248 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$247.77	128	5.5%7 W · 121 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0066…394fbacked Yes	1c	6,667$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	61	19.7%12 W · 49 L	-5.2wins	-0.09per pick	28cpaid	-40.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5629…de17backed Yes	8c	6,638$512 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$511.52	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3247…4254backed Yes	15c	6,600$975 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$974.6	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-0.7wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c81…db22backed Yes	5c	6,478$332 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$331.65	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x00c1…50cfbacked Yes	4c	6,200$265 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$265.3	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	+0.4wins	+0.05per pick	7cpaid	+25%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa416…025ebacked Yes	9c	6,140$575 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$575.38	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	+0.5wins	+0.07per pick	21cpaid	-30.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99f8…f072backed Yes	0c	6,104$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.9	30	0%0 W · 30 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd33…5310backed Yes	3c	5,778$156 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$156	16	12.5%2 W · 14 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	-30.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ff3…a188backed Yes	7c	5,694$377 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$377.24	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	+1.0wins	+0.16per pick	17cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4382…1d63backed Yes	2c	5,560$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.95	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224c…ee07backed Yes	2c	5,558$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95	30	20%6 W · 24 L	+4.4wins	+0.15per pick	5cpaid	+142.4%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x777f…a1bbbacked Yes	3c	5,504$186 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$186.04	85	40%34 W · 51 L	+4.2wins	+0.05per pick	35cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8212…5933backed Yes	12c	5,498$649 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$649	37	43.2%16 W · 21 L	+8.1wins	+0.22per pick	21cpaid	+189.3%equal weight	64+0.13 edge/pick
0x7c9e…db3dbacked Yes	0c	5,461$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.6	48	2.1%1 W · 47 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	2cpaid	-93.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7be3…a32fbacked Yes	2c	5,349$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-0.6wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x565a…7fb5backed Yes	1c	5,312$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.5	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2424…a4a2backed Yes	7c	5,301$345 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$345.38	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes	3c	5,213$138 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$137.58	89	20.2%18 W · 71 L	+5.0wins	+0.06per pick	15cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa4dc…0da7backed Yes	4c	5,202$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	26	7.7%2 W · 24 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-56.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5950…8c48backed Yes	8c	5,100$387 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$387.39	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	+1.0wins	+0.07per pick	16cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa682…2303backed Yes	12c	5,091$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600.16	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1c2…89abbacked Yes	3c	5,074$148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$148.06	40	2.5%1 W · 39 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	-63%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x042a…b153backed Yes	3c	5,008$155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$154.7	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xda17…d901backed Yes	0c	5,000$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	107	0%0 W · 107 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4150…ebdabacked Yes	5c	4,639$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.4wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x11ab…c8a7backed Yes	2c	4,545$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.44	17	5.9%1 W · 16 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	6cpaid	-26.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb807…99cbbacked Yes	0c	4,532$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.13	54	1.9%1 W · 53 L	-2.6wins	-0.05per pick	7cpaid	-69.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4c1…0f60backed Yes	4c	4,238$155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$154.71	36	2.8%1 W · 35 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	4cpaid	-79.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3085…7568backed Yes	2c	4,159$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.9	258	1.2%3 W · 255 L	-8.0wins	-0.03per pick	4cpaid	-84%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c5d…41b9backed Yes	4c	4,147$162 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$161.7	106	7.5%8 W · 98 L	+2.3wins	+0.02per pick	5cpaid	+32.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	4c	4,142$182 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$182.24	1,844	4.4%81 W · 1,763 L	-13.1wins	-0.01per pick	5cpaid	-42.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8fb…3d0ebacked Yes	0c	4,000$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+1.5wins	+0.25per pick	25cpaid	+126%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0b52…4db0backed Yes	4c	4,000$178 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$178.5	60	53.3%32 W · 28 L	+7.7wins	+0.13per pick	40cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xade3…3b44backed Yes	3c	3,846$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.72	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9337…9dd3backed Yes	2c	3,741$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.11	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xeee9…f66fbacked Yes	2c	3,626$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.99	18	0%0 W · 18 L	-1.2wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbca5…8727backed Yes	2c	3,552$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.14	45	15.6%7 W · 38 L	+3.6wins	+0.08per pick	8cpaid	+280.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.

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Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in February?this page
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in February?No won
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in February?No won
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in February?No won
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February?No won
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?Yes won
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?No won
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in February?Yes won
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in February?Yes won
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in February?Yes won
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in February?No won
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in February?No won
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in February?No won
Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in February?No won
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in February?No won
Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 in February?No won
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February?No won
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?No won
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in February?No won
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February?No won
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in February?No won
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in February?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in February?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

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