Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in February?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x85cd8c640cd4a0b7018dc36523d097390a8ec1aa185a8fb0f1b37e20195db4de
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,356,963
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,063,179
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,356,963 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 174 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x51d9…cb1abacked Yes | 0c | 200,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5c…3036backed Yes | 1c | 161,000$1,961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,961 | 102 | 2%2 W · 100 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -91.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ee…5864backed Yes | 0c | 148,252$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa33…944fbacked Yes | 0c | 148,152$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9104…9a7fbacked Yes | 0c | 146,052$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f88…b10ebacked Yes | 0c | 109,253$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf856…4f09backed Yes | 0c | 103,834$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fdf…4452backed Yes | 1c | 68,182$818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$817.77 | 101 | 5.9%6 W · 95 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | +121.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a0…60c3backed Yes | 1c | 63,962$739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738.65 | 43 | 0%0 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9285…c19dbacked Yes | 0c | 58,428$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.43 | 79 | 2.5%2 W · 77 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -96%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20f7…382bbacked Yes | 2c | 47,547$1,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,012 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf779…d36fbacked Yes | 1c | 42,600$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.2 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 1c | 28,631$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.76 | 149 | 0.7%1 W · 148 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -80.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda17…d901backed Yes | 0c | 24,409$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.23 | 107 | 0%0 W · 107 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90bb…531fbacked Yes | 0c | 24,000$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 71 | 0%0 W · 71 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa39…977fbacked Yes | 0c | 20,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 148 | 8.8%13 W · 135 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa92d…4e71backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 50 | 6%3 W · 47 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -90.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b67…9a9dbacked Yes | 1c | 19,200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9044…e5e7backed Yes | 1c | 19,098$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x253b…0ae7backed Yes | 2c | 15,384$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 68 | 16.2%11 W · 57 L | +8.3wins | +0.12per pick | 4cpaid | +273.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa740…ee18backed Yes | 2c | 15,375$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.09 | 47 | 8.5%4 W · 43 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -85.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2f…d043backed Yes | 3c | 15,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 2c | 12,654$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.79 | 678 | 5.9%40 W · 638 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb49f…f084backed Yes | 0c | 12,450$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.9 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b48…ecadbacked Yes | 2c | 12,288$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.69 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf575…0791backed Yes | 3c | 11,298$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +4.0wins | +0.25per pick | 13cpaid | +315.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x52b3…3a58backed Yes | 1c | 11,087$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.6 | 90 | 22.2%20 W · 70 L | +8.4wins | +0.09per pick | 13cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6590…3a26backed Yes | 0c | 11,000$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 229 | 0%0 W · 229 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaade…4d4fbacked Yes | 2c | 10,876$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4dc…0da7backed Yes | 2c | 10,718$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 26 | 7.7%2 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87f6…a919backed Yes | 1c | 10,673$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x363c…9b0ebacked Yes | 2c | 8,950$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.92 | 43 | 2.3%1 W · 42 L | -5.4wins | -0.13per pick | 15cpaid | -96.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2cdf…22e9backed Yes | 0c | 7,920$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd980…5be0backed Yes | 1c | 7,656$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 112 | 10.7%12 W · 100 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | +120.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…02d6backed Yes | 1c | 7,143$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17f1…0528backed Yes | 1c | 7,001$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.05 | 30 | 6.7%2 W · 28 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa0…ac87backed Yes | 1c | 7,000$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd16c…f14bbacked Yes | 6c | 6,723$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -89.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 1c | 6,395$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.92 | 131 | 17.6%23 W · 108 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25af…bcafbacked Yes | 1c | 6,153$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.47 | 399 | 8.5%34 W · 365 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1c2…89abbacked Yes | 1c | 6,000$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 40 | 2.5%1 W · 39 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -63%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf741…ca9ebacked Yes | 1c | 5,999$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f0…d29dbacked Yes | 3c | 5,357$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e56…1c96backed Yes | 1c | 5,350$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bff…3322backed Yes | 1c | 5,191$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.48 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -57%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39ef…99e9backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a3a…ee52backed Yes | 1c | 5,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6896…361dbacked Yes | 2c | 4,954$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…51a0backed Yes | 2c | 4,900$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 133 | 3.8%5 W · 128 L | -10.2wins | -0.08per pick | 11cpaid | -83.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x27e1…704bbacked Yes | 0c | 4,698$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 14cpaid | -85.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c6…043dbacked Yes | 3c | 4,538$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.27 | 113 | 16.8%19 W · 94 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd27…b1dbbacked Yes | 1c | 4,408$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.55 | 137 | 5.8%8 W · 129 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8304…8526backed Yes | 2c | 4,393$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.57 | 128 | 5.5%7 W · 121 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70e7…a700backed Yes | 1c | 4,286$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 4cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 1c | 4,272$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.99 | 169 | 3.6%6 W · 163 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa10…8da4backed Yes | 1c | 4,200$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x601a…c57ebacked Yes | 1c | 4,200$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc80…89e8backed Yes | 1c | 4,200$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7d8…0947backed Yes | 1c | 4,200$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes | 1c | 4,200$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.9 | 268 | 3.4%9 W · 259 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63dd…7336backed Yes | 2c | 4,164$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.15 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5ea…4524backed Yes | 4c | 4,150$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.56 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e5…c597backed Yes | 1c | 4,100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c8…5696backed Yes | 1c | 4,100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5e…5285backed Yes | 1c | 4,100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x738f…cb96backed Yes | 1c | 4,100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73b5…f657backed Yes | 1c | 4,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55f2…df6bbacked Yes | 1c | 4,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe23c…66b5backed Yes | 1c | 4,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed66…e84cbacked Yes | 1c | 4,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9404…7cf2backed Yes | 3c | 3,927$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd760…db85backed Yes | 1c | 3,900$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5d…9df8backed Yes | 1c | 3,900$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0a…fe24backed Yes | 1c | 3,870$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x469c…309bbacked Yes | 2c | 3,804$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.62 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14fb…71e6backed Yes | 1c | 3,800$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x473b…7a0dbacked Yes | 1c | 3,800$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd677…0d24backed Yes | 1c | 3,800$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…a554backed Yes | 1c | 3,800$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…f66fbacked Yes | 0c | 3,775$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.33 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x431a…6984backed Yes | 2c | 3,648$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.09 | 24 | 0%0 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5d…41b9backed Yes | 2c | 3,581$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.54 | 106 | 7.5%8 W · 98 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe86c…739bbacked Yes | 1c | 3,333$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe46…721cbacked Yes | 9c | 3,204$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 13cpaid | +216.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe52…32c5backed Yes | 5c | 3,200$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.37 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 20cpaid | -77.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bbe…1808backed Yes | 1c | 3,196$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa50c…6f84backed Yes | 3c | 3,047$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2955…b736backed Yes | 1c | 3,010$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 29 | 6.9%2 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -84.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1657…e510backed Yes | 1c | 3,007$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7567…c2a7backed Yes | 3c | 2,971$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.68 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -69%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a01…29bbbacked Yes | 2c | 2,856$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb2…fef4backed Yes | 1c | 2,714$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 1c | 2,700$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 416 | 3.1%13 W · 403 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61e2…4958backed Yes | 0c | 2,500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6afe…1bbebacked Yes | 2c | 2,490$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c1…0f60backed Yes | 2c | 2,381$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 36 | 2.8%1 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -79.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec83…ecc4backed Yes | 2c | 2,285$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c1…1b90backed Yes | 3c | 2,100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.6 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…4f44backed Yes | 1c | 2,031$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.49 | 98 | 5.1%5 W · 93 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 3cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae2…ce78backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in February?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in February?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in February?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in February?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in February?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.