TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb5a0…60c3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
65
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Us Politics, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Us Politics at 53 out of 100; worst Crypto Milestones at 49.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT430%0 W · 43 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 43 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.24
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$349Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$349.3
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$237Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$237.27
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.38
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.84
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$126.39
Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.27
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$161.19
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$486Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$485.97
Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$57
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$438Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$438
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$279Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$278.97
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.17
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$499.93
Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$152.18
Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$231Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$231.03
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$431Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$430.54
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$229Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$228.9
Will Ethereum reach $4,200 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$148.77
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$990Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$989.66
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$144.18
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$411Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$410.9
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$587Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$587.06
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$739Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$738.65
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$589Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$589.49
Showing 25 of 43 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST812.5%1 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick5cpaid-8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$948Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$948.32
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$287Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$287.26
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$311Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+633.3%+$1,971.25
Will Gold close between $4700 and $4800 at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$43.44
Will Gold close between $4900 and $5000 at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$51.2
Will Gold close between $4600 and $4700 at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$160.1
Will Gold close between $4800 and $4900 at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$55.57
Will Gold close above $5000 at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$125.21
All 8 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-67.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick39cpaid+582%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid-22.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NVIDIA dip to $144 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$14.83
Bitcoin outperforms S&P 500 in December?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+54.1%+$18.62
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$333Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$333.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
Space Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Space — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Interstellar object confirmed aliens?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$254Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$253.74
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Artemis II launch by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$598Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$598.16
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.